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We added a couple more 90°+ days this past weekend... It hit 91° at ORD and 92° at MDW on Friday. It topped out at 95° at ORD and 96° at MDW on Saturday. ...2025 90°+ Day Tally... 28 - MDW 28 - PWK 27 - ORD 27 - DPA 26 - ARR 22 - LOT 20 - RFD 17 - UGN

Not surprised we made the mid 70s today

All the models dont show anyhting anymore

The monsoon season is primarily July/August. When you compare the trend the past 20 years for Phoenix and Flagstaff for those two months avg temps, you get the following. Phoenix: +1.3F/decade Flagstaff: +.9F/decade That's a 44% difference, quite significant.

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/05L_intensity_latest.png

2:00 PM EDT Tue Aug 19 Location: 26.1°N 72.5°W Moving: NNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 958 mb Max sustained: 105 mph

with variance due to climate change, I would argue that the large storms that do occur, even with lower frequency, would be bigger than the ones that we've classically seen. 2016 wouldn't have been quite as impactful 30 years ago

I suppose you can say that the Pacific jet helped the for parts of the MA and South then, which saw snowfall far above normal last winter

it isn't. last year is actually the best analog that i've found

Maybe your wife needs to check more closely.

Second day of drizzle/mist. I just want to cut the lawn!!! FFS.

Fine, I'll take one more day of legend-level temps.

Particularly impressive given its size.

That is a gutted storm right there. Nothing really showed that happening

I see nothing notable on the 12Z Euro regarding 99L. I don’t see any TC through at least 240 hours.

It’s a new moon on 22nd and when tides are agitated, that usually enhances them .

The system is still really far South and there’s plenty of OHC to be had. If the shear relaxes enough there could be another period of steady intensification tonight. The fact that the core was destroyed might actually be better off because it was never the same after the first EWRC and was headed towards that hollowed out tire mess.

if that asshole has any proxy in the matter, no one will survive the cold and flu season anyway

We just had the yard sprayed yesterday for ticks and skeeters. (Sorry Dendrite). I'd like to be disease free.

The core was essentially completely destroyed. Will be a little surprising to see it rebuild, but that convection is really impressive so we'll see.

Morning 50s next week

Do we get some rain tonight? I have barely accumulated a quarter of an inch this month. Seeing a lot of early leaf drop and grass looks worse than even last year.

12Z Euro hour 24 isn’t nearly as strong as the 919 mb of the 6Z as this run gets it down “only” to 945 and is WNW of the 6Z.

Throw in the exceptional amount of SAL for this time of year and it will be on the struggle bus for a spell.