Jump to content

All Activity

This stream auto-updates

  1. Past hour
  2. I don't think so.....once we hit solar min and flip the Pacific we will get a good stretch around the turn of the decade. Some are getting carried away with the CC/addiction analogies and such.
  3. Mesoscale Discussion 0167 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1157 AM CST Sat Mar 07 2026 Areas affected...eastern Ohio...northwestern West Virginia...western Pennsylvania...southwestern New York Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely Valid 071757Z - 072000Z Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent SUMMARY...Intensifying thunderstorm development may become capable of producing marginally severe hail, increasing risk for damaging wind gusts and perhaps accompanied by potential for a couple of tornadoes by 3-5 PM EST. DISCUSSION...Boundary-layer layer moisture return across the upper Ohio Valley into lower Great Lakes region is ongoing, but remains somewhat modest with surface dew points increasing through the mid/upper 50s. However warming and mixing with continuing insolation is contributing to steepening low-level lapse rates and thermodynamic profiles with weak to modest CAPE increasing in excess of 500 J/kg, beneath southwesterly deep-layer mean ambient flow increasing to near 50 kt. Deepening convective development now appears underway along and discretely ahead of a convectively generated pre-cold frontal surface boundary now advancing across central into eastern Ohio. As this continues into the Allegheny Plateau through 21-22Z, developing thunderstorm activity appears likely to intensify and organize. This may include a few evolving supercell structures within and ahead of an evolving line, accompanied by a risk for severe hail and damaging wind gusts. With surface winds generally veered to a fairly prominent westerly component, the degree to which low-level hodographs will become supportive of tornadic potential remains unclear, particularly given the still sizable boundary-layer temperature/dew point spreads. However, as 850 mb winds strengthen to 50+ kt across eastern Ohio into western Pennsylvania, various model derived output suggests that profiles could become locally conducive to a supercell tornado threat by late afternoon. ..Kerr/Guyer.. 03/07/2026
  4. This...I declared the season over in mid February last season, as I had always expected a mild March...not this time.
  5. Gotta get one to go underneath us, not the barrage of FROPAs modeling has
  6. Fuck it. I'm just going to root for the wedge lol
  7. I still think we snow alittle
  8. Police confirm it was a 12-year-old boy who died in Cass County. Based on police reports and scanner traffic, there was no warning when the house was struck.
  9. I don’t think that’s true at all. There might be some who don’t like bitter cold with nothing to show for it, but most enjoy winter as it should be.
  10. Hopefully Euro skynet has the right idea for the 16th.
  11. just miss to the north, but mitch and TSSN get hit pretty solidly
  12. Sorry to hear that. Even a snowblower is work, if you do it right. I normally have to pull up on the handle a little to make sure the front of the snowblower is getting all the way down to the pavement. It gets a little tiring after a while. Sure beats shoveling. I shoveled a few mounds on the road and piled them on my lawn, hoping to sculpt a polar bear. By the time I got started, I realized that it would all be melted in less than a week, so I abandoned the idea...
  13. Although the sun has quickly won the battle against the overcast here in Charlottesville... Blue skies have quickly appeared..
  14. and still possible up to 1 inch or more equivalent frozen precip in some still to be determined areas of the region over the next 5 weeks - this time of the year models have difficulty until a day or more before frozen events example 4/7/2003 and 4/6/82 and various other storms
  15. I was through your quaint little town yesterday. I got rear-ended in York last week with $11K+ in damages. At first the insurance company was going to pay to repair but more work was probably needed so they totalled it. Not happy. Anyway, near identical car to mine was for sale at a dealer in Selinsgrove, so I went up there and got it. Accidents suck, but fortunately my wife and I weren't hurt because the jeep that hit us slid above the bumper and crinkled the body lessening the impact, but causing more damage. I gotta shlep up there next week to pick it up and pay. I'll wave as I come through.
  16. Same people who complained about the last several winters are the ones who can't wait for this winter to end. As I have previously mentioned there aren't all that many winter lovers here. The majority only tolerate winter because of the increased chances for snow..they are snow lovers not winter lovers..
  17. FWIW, is it to much to ask for one decent late snow? Ensemble Average 10 day snowfall Individual Ensemble 10 day Runs Select City Temp Cross Sections
  1. Load more activity
×
×
  • Create New...