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A low of 65 here felt like fall at this point. 83 low at home. Already up to 96 there.
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
midatlanticweather replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
Anyone have thoughts after 12z runs?- 920 replies
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Most of the heavier rain has missed me over the last couple days, but I still accumulated a decent 1.15".
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Down to 72 and already 89. Last day of this crap
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Happy Birthday America, the greatest country on earth!
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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BOS had back-to-back 100+ highs and 80+ lows - that's pretty insane, AND they stayed above 80 again overnight.
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The timing is pretty late though. Both HRRR and NAM3km don't have storms hitting our area until 9 or 10pm. Looks ok for late afternoon cookouts but it will be a close call for fireworks here. Hoping to get them in before storms hit.
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a couple DE mesonets already up to 96. certainly feels that way outside. but the dew has dropped all the way to 65. surely that bodes well for storms later. 0.7" since june 1st
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94 at 10am at DCA - but dews are back into the 60s, so it actually doesn't feel as horrible.
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baseball and fireworks is a 100/100 America score
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They won't have a thread for one of the worst heatwaves on record for their area, but will have a thread for an hr 240 Noreaster on Nov 15th...
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Synoptic thoughts... Tomorrow should be cooler on the coast where there's likely to be the nascent yet still feeble onshore wind developing... In the interior, probably still makes the low 80s. The hydrostatic heights are not really falling very much below 570 dm, which is technically a very warm atmosphere relative to our climate. What could offset this, however ...is if we get more organized convection sparked off and rumbling through late today and night. SPC is currently loaded everything well SW so ... not sure what there why - haven't read. Anyway...if it stays dry, 80s in the interior tomorrow looking at that soundings. But if gets wet, that would process out the "non-Markovian" memory of the system and we'd end up more shallow cool below synoptic inversion ... There really isn't a BD front being analyzed by WPC ( tho they seldom do)...but looking around at area obs/sat, there isn't one. The main b-c axis is up along the ST S-way, pretty far NW. But, with heights receding it's like the NAM is sort of instantiating a boundary - which isn't physically impossible to see a frontogenesis of sorts, if the flow aloft has height falls while speeding up.. The Euro and GFS seem to be doing the same thing.... It's why we get all that rain ( maybe...) the day after tomorrow. That nascent boundary provides an isotropic lifting interface, and because the flow to push it south is ultimately too weak to actually do so... we may start training a bit. It's an interesting set up. Very weak synoptic forcing, with high volatility/PWAT access... The latter is pseudo-adiabatically very unstable. It can over perform with less motivation to do so. But ... it doesn't set well with me that the NAM, which is a sneaky great tool for 'convective initiation' that few know about or use ... (sorry to see this aspect be lost by the majority that don't), has paltry totals through Monday night. Maybe 12z comes around a bit...
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Yea Upton did mention the storms will be quick moving like yesterday
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I doubt they will even do that because of TV schedules - but chances are there will not be anything severe over that particular area of the Hudson at the exact time the fireworks are scheduled
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They'll just wait for the storms to pass....
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More rain early this morning brings us to 2.70" total since Thu evening. Great soaker.
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97 yesterday for a high. Headed up to York later today to watch baseball and fireworks. We got a suite box so I will be incredibly glad for the inside AC part of our box
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I think heat lightning rolls off the tongue better than lightning from a distant thunderstorm.
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Really hoping today bust or stays away from the city
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they already said it will not be cancelled - too many $$ involved...........
