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EPS have them too. The 10th in particular looks interesting

Some of yall are already trying my patience and it’s only December 1st

The amount of digital snow we lose each year is absurd. Why does it never happen in reverse… i dont get it? Models have a 2-3 degree cold bias for mid Atlantic? .

Ceilings lowered, flurries have commenced here as well.

That's okay, I just said this morning to my other half that I forgot to start up the snow blower yesterday to make sure everything is good. And then today everything went to s***. I don't even think we'll see a trace LOL. Well if I see some flakes in the air I guess that's good enough for now.

Final call for this storm, shifting everything to the north and west by a ton. The storm keeps trending slower and slower AND warmer, both horrible for our storm for everyone. I'm thinking I-95 will start as a wintery mix and areas just NW of 95 will start as some flakes before quickly shifting over. Far NW suburbs + mountains will still likely see some decent accumulations, but I removed the 6-8 contour for the poconos as totals downtrend even for up there. Schuylkill, Carbon, and Monroe counties are the only areas on this map that will remain all snow. Still can't rule out isolated 6"+ for those areas but not widespread enough to add the 6-8 contour back

The Mid-Atlantic would be an extraordinarily snowy climate if water froze at 36 instead of 32.

this started off last week with the GFS giving us 17 inches.

paging the PDO Nazi @psuhoffman

It is not the surface that most are worried about.

It is hard for the coast to get decent snows this early in the season. I remember years in the past crossing over the bridges from Long Island was like going to a different world, no snow on the Island to snow and large piles of snow in parking lots

So is the basic structure of the storm that there is a coastal front associated band that Ray hopes to get, an interior band that I hope to get, and then a brief CCB that Scott and Will hope to get?

41.5 here for the high... already back to 39.6

Wasted half my day finding a coil for my snowblower. Runs great, Now southborough looks like it's going to get an inch. My apologies for ruining others snowfalls.

did anyone notice how i used a black snowflake there ... ha?

I need to come to this forum more often as it is a different world up here and I understand the lack of enthusiasm down there. With that being said, I need to get access to the models so I don't have to ask here but until then, are the mesos still showing the R/S line little north of Sussex Co or back down a bit? I know 1-84 is a good spot for this one but northern half of Sussex was looking great until this morning. This will be my only IMBY type question.

FWIW PDO is almost positive now

On Nov 29th, the WCS daily PDO rose from ~-0.81 to -0.52, the fastest daily rise since Sept. 2nd:

Perfect!

Pixie fest has begun here at ORD, pouring.

He’s just NW of that

To all the clouds: you shall not pass.

Doesn't he even live right in the middle of that gray na na na-na na rub-it-in region ?

Based on what