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I see thanks jaxjagman good to know .

It was 10 degrees warmer at 3am than it is now.

Not all winters work like that in a strong NINO.2015-2016 was quite unique an active year.EF3 tornado in Wayne Co in Dec 2015 and a big snow storm in Mid Tn. The 97-98 winter if i recall right,had a big snow around the Cumberland in early Feb driven by dynamical cooling.Over a foot and a half in some areas 1982-83 saw some snow but very little. I still dont see why 2015-2016 gets thrown around in social media.There was some fairly different differences compared to 82-97 and for that matter even this year. 2014 was the early onset of that strong NINO into winter,unlike 1982-1997 and 2026.While no denying 2015 wasnt strong,it still has some repercussions. Into Dec the thermocline of the last three strongest NINOS,the thermocline was much more shallow in the east in 2015,compared to 82-97 just as well pushed even further west past the IDL comparing it to 97. All 3 of the last strongest NINOS were basically just as well NINAS the following winters and resurgent just as well,you can argue 1999 wasnt,but it really was to an extent

Their methodology has a pretty good track record. This does not seem too far fetched

Warm

This would be a much better post if I had a photo, but the fall colors are peaking across Michiana. Just a beautiful drive across the area today.

the agenda of noticing what co2 induced warming is doing to the climate

The norway maples may leaf out before the oaks drop their leaves.

vortex95 showed up in the middle of the night and paid extra to keep them like that

https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/50329330/ravens-qb-lamar-jackson-expected-return-vs-bills

Do you still have large beech there? I've got a lot of 30-40 footers in the back woods, but old ones died in the past 10+ years.

It’s funny driving around there’s a lot of oaks that lost a lot of leaves, and then literally right in my specific neighborhood, they’re all laughing at me.

Temps dropping faster than your boy's approval rating

Oaks dropping leaves faster than Dendy’s chickens with Wolfie angry and prowling

Temps dropping quicker than our 401ks at Dendy land.

Nature man.

Temps have been going downhill all afternoon. 57.8/39

yeah looks gone...long gone

I'm being followed by a rain shadow....

yeah, some good reds happening right now want that day 8 rainer to materialize, hoping to apply some lawn food before it gets any later in the season

Was just looking at that. Unbelievable. Not a drop until the last few frames.

I feel like we know what every winter forecast is going to be. Overall above average temps and precip. Snowfall predictions will come down to either keeping it in the single digits because of the above average temps, or calling your shot on 15”-20”+ because of a big one having just the right timing. Then there will be those that just take the “safe” route and go in-between those two options. The funny thing being that the people shouting that a shutout type of winter is in play, and the ones saying the big one is in play, don’t have much different winter outlooks. It’ll ultimately come down to luck with timing.

Gorgeous.