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I dunno why I even look at it. Especially for long range when it can’t get under 72 hours right.

Give it another decade or two…

Yep.

On to football

IDK, the vorticity looked pissah at initalization.

Just have this one happen . Sunday night is on thin ice

also, yeah, the GFS was obv going to be flatter lmao

the climate is abandoning the hobby haha

lol summer (weather wise) sucks balls. we get no legit severe weather and watching my street flood a few times a year does nothing for me. sure, socially it’s more fun the tropics are cool at times

Idk how you could determine if it’s going to be better until about 36hr in. By then it was pretty clear it was going to be flatter.

Your analysis is stupid...always. Take your 30 days of MJO 8 and shove it.

I honestly wish it would all go away...I don't want to deal with it on or offline.

Dont be stupid

GFS has rain to snow for a little bit of NC down to GA.

I’ve come to love summer. Really enjoyed this past year. Can’t wait to be back to warm weather, longer days. Really does wonders for mental health

Is that with or without the pasty inch on the grass and car tomorrow? Disaster.

Getting any amount of measurable snow here is a win these days.

Yea, better at hour 6.

GFS model comes in further east than 6z. AIGFS is correcting east as well. I think the NWS is really honing in on that this is a positively tilted trough that is pretty much being shunted out to sea. Not enough tilt to the trough to bring this up the coast. usually NWS Upton is pretty bullish with snowfall, but considering they have literally nothing for Sunday gives me pause

Agreed, a shift to that extent is going to be a very difficult task if we don't see some significant improvements by 0z tonight. If I were in eastern areas though I think I might feel a bit better about this because the shifts needed will be much less. It's really hard to go one way or another with this because we have seen some pretty drastic shifts with the handling of that northern stream energy and how it interacts with the southern stream

Right. This is why I said yesterday, people need to let the runs play out at least a little bit before spitting out “ it’s west” you can’t tell shit 8 hours into the model run. There is really nothing worse than people jumping to conclusions and the end result being garbage, again.

I have had like 6" events of 1/4" and 12 events under 3". JUST STOOOOP.

I'd have to go back and look in the thread, but I think we ended up with 25-30" here. Crazy, crazy month.

Meteorological solitary confinement continues baby. And people wonder why more and more are converting to the warm season. This hobby sucks out loud.