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Euro total QPF

That is absolutely not sleet via the 00z Euro in the Atlanta metro during the peak of the event.

For GA folks, this starts on the EURO about 7AM Saturday morning and doesn't stop freezing rain / sleet until Sunday at midnight. Dare I say this will be the ice storm of the century as modeled? That just seems insane to type. I hope it's a raging sleet storm otherwise, we are in deep poo.

This is a 30+ hour event on the euro as well.

That is a ridiculous amount of sleet for VA. Shoveling 1 inch is bad enough…7 inches would be torturous.

00Z Euro still good except it really gets mixing and change over to rain into NE NC/SE VA at the end of the event.

Big cold still shows up Saturday and Sunday. A little more muted further north.

Being in Greeneville and seeing that new Euro run. Here we go with the warm nose. It’s impossible for it not to happen in the last 8 years or so

Don, what’s it phase with? The energy over the upper Midwest? Does it eject the Baja low into the set up?

1.5+" of ice for much of the Atlanta metro/N GA thanks to an extremely strong CAD wedge. This is a nightmare.

I think the areas in the wedge core like GA and SC will get mainly sleet, but those outside of it like N AL/N MS AR/TX would likely be FZRA. They all could use a CMC or UKIE solution which spares many areas down there from a FZRA event but to me that hard early phase is not likely.

Basically along 40 and south has about .5 to .7 freezing rain on top of that 6 to 7 inches of snow.

0z Euro is long duration beauty!

The Euro is a different evolution than we’ve seen: essentially a multipronged event with initial overrunning, a lull, and then transfer into a coastal where it bombs. Not far off from a February 2014 setup as a first thought. If the second piece comes in, that ups the ante and I really think HECS potential could be on the table. Fitting it’s basically on the 10 year anniversary of the last one.

Euro and the para Canadian now i can get some sleep

Seeing this much agreement among the suites is scary. Something historic is going to happen (not in a good way!)

Euro phases and that triggers a coastal that tracks under New England. That’s one way to do it. Somebody is going to get obliterated in this setup—Grid collapse from Texas to Virginia Beach?

Euro warm noses all the way to just north of 40 this run. Lots of ice just below the pink areas.

Wow! The Euro has some crazy convective bands showing up! I wonder if someone in our area will get thundersnow! This looks like a pretty long event!

0z Euro is long duration beauty.

Correct. Definitely sleet (at least in central Maryland) with the '96 storm. In Germantown at one period during that heavy snow we had "thunder sleet." That was a spell of winds high enough to sharply bend tall bare trees, frequent lightning (multiple hits per minute at peak,) and raging sleet. Never seen anything like it before or since.

He is jipping you

Absolutely historic, devastating ice storm on that 00z Euro run for a wide swath of the Southeast. You do not want that verifying.

2003 Pd2ish?

Ditto. The EURO is going to be a DRUNK RAGER of an ice storm. I think you boys up in NC are going to score a pile of snow. Upstate SC, your power is not on and neither is mine Saturday afternoon. I will be asleep to the hum of the generator Sunday morning.