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That's what I was thinking however we did just jump to 33F here west of Madison. Reports of snow just to my NW.

Can’t really compare that. That day was almost 100 with ton of cape. Also wasn’t even in an Spc outlook for severe in the morning that day.

Going to go outside to enjoy the couple of hours above 50 here before the quick temp crash. It’s going to be a wild ride

Yeah I think we are going to have changeover sooner than expected here.

Going to be interesting to see the evolution of this SPC outlook. HRRR and NAM both seem like the cool off a good bit as soon as the line enters Eastern Berks, Western Montco/Chesco. NAM also has been hinting at a later arrival time for the Philly burbs which might tamp down the storms a bit.

I could be wrong but if memory serves me right with these severe storms in March we (Philly forum) wind up with a more wind driven event than severe lighting and tornados and such. West of us could be an issue but the daytime heating is gone, and we get the leftovers especially east of 95.

Northwest wind ripping. Temp has dropped 4 degrees quickly back to 51. Here we go.

68.7 on my tempest right now

Chaser in WI and into MI. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dxFBUJmARtU

A lot of the mesos fail to advance the most favorable severe parameters past Berks/Lebanon counties tomorrow. This doesn’t diminish the wind threat much but the chance for supercells could be confined to central PA.

How does this event compare to the 2012 derecho?

I came home after a trip earlier this week to find 3 feet of meltwater in my basement after a sump pump failure. Should be under control now but the pump will certainly keep working with another inch of rain incoming

Been hovering right around freezing. Rain with sleet mixed in during the heavier returns. No ice on roads but sidewalks are definitely slippery ETA this is definitely running a bit colder than models showed yesterday

Lived in Wausau back in the day. That place is cold and snowy.

The storm motions are going to be very rapid so it will basically be one shot at each storm for most chasers.

Cmc way north but thats going to most likely come south over time.

Speaking as a past and current employee at other universities around town, and veteran of midwestern tornadoes and being an RA through a couple EF3s, here’s a couple things she can do: - Does the building have a designated floor marshal or safety officer on staff, and does she know how to contact them? They’ll have exact info on where the shelters are and how to access them. I don’t know how AU’s program works, but Georgetown and UMD have had them in the buildings I’ve worked in to support evacuations and corralling personnel to safe locations. - If she can’t contact a floor marshal or one doesn’t exist, AU’s police department might have advice if she emails them. - If she’s got to ensure production safety in a weather event, I’m pulling from documentation that just got circulated to us at Maryland: get below ground, somewhere interior to the building, and stay away from walls and windows, doors with glass, etc. Ideally, the room shouldn’t have a lot of unsecured *stuff* in it like a media production room would, or electrical cables. If anyone has bike helmets or the like, put them on. Flash flooding in buildings can be a risk (this happened to me in grad school, and it happened at one of UMD’s libraries too), and that’s an evacuate ASAP situation. I hope that helps, and that it’s all just precautionary!

Whoops, didn’t refresh and was looking at old model data. Riding the border of meh and an actual legit storm IMBY

Pretty quiet here, maybe 2-3" so far

I was born here and still live in the same town and I can't really remember a setup where I was genuinely this worried. Normally severe weather excites me but I'm not really feeling it with this scenario. Definitely very concerning setup

Maybe slightly but still projected to be neutral or slightly negative.

Big

Yep and also a wind advisory out too .

West Tennessee is under enhanced storm risk and also has a freeze warning posted. That is pretty wild!!!

Ai euro would help the cause up north next weekend. AI’s held onto the snow for tomorrow’s hot garbage too long so I’m not getting overly interested until after tomorrow’s garbage moves out!