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At least you have a chance, think this one will miss me

WB 0Z AI EPS.... the NW screw zone remains even on the snowiest model.

Thats why Ninas blow 95% of the time. You get early cold and chances with shortwaves racing thru the flow, but getting something to produce is a real challenge. Usually dry, suppressed, or sheared out. Then we end up losing the cold (usually) toward the holidays when the storm chances actually increase. Patience won't help us.

That Ryan Leonard goal was sick

Damn. Not what I wanted to wake up to.

23.5 this AM. But not to worry, I will be plenty warm enough for rain later on. But not too much rain, lol. Maybe, a tenth of an inch. Maybe. Good luck to you higher elevation guys! I'm always hoping that at least someone in our area gets some snow.

Hug the WB 6Z 12K NAM. What could possibly go wrong?!

26° enjoying the warmth while I can.

Finally got some flakes flying at 4am here in Fayetteville.

Ashe-Alleghany NC-Watauga-Tazewell-Smyth-Grayson- Including the cities of Independence, Boone, Whitetop, Volney, West Jefferson, Tazewell, Troutdale, Marion, and Sparta 326 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Wet snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches. * WHERE...Portions of the northwest North Carolina High Country and southwest Virginia from Mount Rogers to Tazewell. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions are expected to impact the Friday morning commute.

Madison-Haywood-Buncombe-Northern Jackson-Southern Jackson- Transylvania- Including the cities of Cashiers and Faust 105 AM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY ABOVE 3500 FEET... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected above 3500 feet. Total snow and sleet accumulations up to one half of an inch and ice accumulations around two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Elevations above 3500ft in Jackson, Haywood, Transylvania, Buncombe, and Madison Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 10 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Snow and ice accumulations will make many roads treacherous and impassable. The weight of the snow and ice on tree limbs and power lines could produce isolated outages. The hazardous conditions could impact the Friday morning commute.

Do you think this pattern is permanent because it looks like it.

Looks like a solid 1-2" Snow for northern NC/southern VA with some locally getting 3".

But Nam 3k destroys our soul

Hrrr took everything away but then the Nam destroys us

Not a single post about ANY of the 00z runs of the models tonight. Just a massive snorefest.

OHX has issued WWA for snow, sleet, and freezing rain for their Plateau areas.

0z gefs etc. look (relatively) cold through 12/20

or bust

Nature Retracts Study Predicting Catastrophic Climate Toll - The New York Times https://share.google/xRSyFAwbx54BMddiW

Touche

Interesting, the dam is actually on the north side of town but they're low elevation so maybe that explains the lower total? I'd say close to 2" where I am but not entirely sure because it flipped to rain way before I got home.

If you complained twice a year you could comment.