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  2. Honestly that radar depiction doesn’t even make sense with the Synoptics above. I wouldn’t buy that void. I do wish pivitol had RH% for the HRRR though
  3. I’m heading over to the sanitarium boys. Feel free to meet me over there.
  4. But he also says that HRRR and NAM are both showing this.. and we would like to see them getting snowier, not less
  5. Yeah at the end of the day Brad is the best metrologist in the Carolinas. I have alot of trust in what he puts out.
  6. Bottomed out @ -.6° for the fourth time below zero in this frigid stretch‼️
  7. Finally getting that foggy look, the flakes are small, the temp has dropped a degree and snow is beginning to cover up raised surfaces where the snow had melted off.
  8. Anything can happen and the models are all over the place. But I’m in the Triad and Brad is bearish on snow there. I don’t want to be on the other side of what he’s thinking. Or apparently the NAM lately (and now HRRR) .
  9. HRRR at 32 hrs is a stretch. It's not always wrong, but it's a short range model designed for really 12-18 hrs out at most. If that look is real, I would not be surprised to see this be pretty dry forum wide. But based on how the storm is already developing, I would say this is not going to develop and be shunted further East like the HRRR appears to be showing.
  10. Yeah would suck to get a total of 2 inches of snow before the flip to sleet and then watch a storm hit south... Seriously though it is what it is and we'll have more chances. Don't need to doom and gloom yet.
  11. Its quite interesting noticing the same precip maximums as the meso low snow that forms in 2003. Obviously that was more of a strong clipper but this could have the same footprint but with more widespread totals. I could see someone getting 12-15" out of this in a small area.
  12. Both the HRRR and the Nam 3K are showing that huge snow void.
  13. Also the arctic blast coming in next Sunday looks extremely impressive. Maybe even colder than the one we're having now, which is crazy. It has been a long time since we've had a truly cold winter like this.
  14. yep when that ULL forcing arrives it'll be hours of .5 hour rates all night into the day tomorrow.
  15. Beautiful day to radar hallucinate. Did you see how far north the virga is getting?
  16. My soul is a bit crushed yall, not gonna lie. My toddler has come down with some sort of virus. Shes by far the most sick she’s ever been. Luckily, she’s negative for the big 3 (rsv, flu and covid) but man am I bummed. She loves snow and I really wanted to take her out.
  17. No model that I saw leading up to this had snow starting before around 7pm in the central valley. Temps were shown to creep up to around 36 and then crash down hard by the time snow starts. So far it looks to me like we are about on track for that.
  18. Let’s hope the hrrr is a big pile of trash. How does it go to that extreme in one run? If I recall it busted badily on the high end for last storm so here’s to hoping it’s just trash.
  19. Cheer up fellers! Sunset is in only three hours! Kidding aside, upper low is still up north Chicago and all we have is some broad divergence ands little bit of a leeside low for now.
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