All Activity
- Past hour
-
33 for the low in Great Falls
-
Next week extreme will probably exceed 25% of the state
-
-
KFOK 19°
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
Spring 2026 Pattern Discussion Thread
Carvers Gap replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Ditto. My garden has been doing decently well so far, but I too have fought the urge to plant the warm wx stuff. I may risk planting 1-2 in a cold frame next week. This pattern seems pretty stable, but we have both seen warm, spring patterns flips to one frost after another. The drought monitor has drought expanding across much of Tennessee.- 166 replies
-
- severe
- mountain snow
-
(and 1 more)
Tagged with:
-
Frosty 26°
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
can't remember the last time chicago was in D6 and D7 outlooks
-
27 here as well. Time to start that growing season for real.
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
44 .. up from 23 Probably heading for MOS+routine bust ticks. Little or no wind and now late summer solar rad will certainly max out the nape factor. Psycho babble this will put mindsets and posting vibe some distance from this morning's disgruntling bite. I'm not sure it's the last of the freeze chances (season) though, due to further below... But yeah, the models do shows some elevating thickness out there. It's just that the ambient polar boundary is still gradient packed and that's not a good look. Pattern is trying, but it is as though the models in an internal war to prevent seasonal change. That's that tongue-in-cheek vibe in the current modeling cinemas. The problem is ... it wouldn't look that way if we could just at last remove that 90/60 PV. 00z ensembles re-invigorated it, after a couple cycles whence it finally looked - after 7 months of it no less... - like it was going away. Until that succeeds, we'll keep seeing these wild temperature ranges, S-N, at mid latitude continent. We'll also suffer greater than normal BD in the means... I just recall at least 3 Mays since 2019 whence there were flurries at mid day with blown out virga cu passages, and I don't recall those years having this PV plague. Case in point, this next Wednesday. Seems with the above concepts in mind, then combining with base-line climo, there's a pretty good gamble that frontal arm ends up down near DCA with NE drill. Right now, the models are tussling with a boundary, selling a precariously float near Brain or myself latitudes. But 1030 mb and +PP N of that boundary like that? feels like a 10 year old wondering if Dad'll be mad when he gets home from work to find out he was playing with old man's gun
-
Nice stretxch upcoming. Noticed the first tiny leaves on maples in my yard yesterday evening. A bit early maybe?
-
it literally says L2 sig drought for the cape
-
Naw I just like good pool weather.
-
-
2026-2027 El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, subtle shift with the "angle of the dangle" of that vortex, and whole new pattern. It was not only the -WPO ridge shifting east, but the /AONAO blocking dissipated, so we got the dreaded elongation of the "football" shaped PV. -
Back to back lows of 24 and 22; chilly for sure.
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
-
-
-
-
Luckily it’s largely fake.
-
27 this morning, yesterday's low was 28. Hopefully last freeze until the fall.
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
- Today
-
IT'S GOING TO RAIN ALL DAY! WEEKEND RUINED!1!111!!
-
Let’s get these freezing morning the F outta here! And don’t let the door hit em in the ass.
-
I’ll enjoy the nice weather coming up but dear lord we need buckets of rain. If you believe the climate models, seems like Nino kicks in precip-wise in August?
-
Low was 27⁰ here with lots of frost.
- 266 replies
-
- april showers bring may..
- rain
-
(and 2 more)
Tagged with:
