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For sure. If not this weekend, then probably late next week a lot of folks are going to be doing their first mowing of the season.

Even if we get some breaks of sun I don't think we are going to see any sufficient mixing. Forecast soundings (both NAM/GFS) are overly enthused with mixing potential. Obviously if we are able to break and mix (maybe happens locally) temperatures will jump quickly.

Precisely, there is a delicate balance and that needs to be understood.

Sun coming out here

At precisely 5:05pm yesterday, the temperature in Fairbanks, Alaska reached 33 degrees. This marked the first time the temp climbed above freezing since October 31st, 2025. 153 consecutive days below freezing. You needed to know this.

I'm out from under it and can say it gets nice fast! Mostly sunny with a light breeze and 67

2.33" yesterday, and some nice elevated boomers. not bad

I will go with a B. 11 inches of snow. Reached 0 degrees, which that had been a while. A nice snow in the teens. Pretty good winter.

It’s wild how tall gras. A very warm, wet March makes everything explode.

It’s still low 40s in CT

That's what I have always maintained...if we hit like 2035 and are still in that pattern, then I'll capitulate....but the tide already seems to be turning. Obviously the word is warming....I'm not disputing that, but I'm just referring to the ability to discern the degree to which these patterns/phenomena are a byproduct of CC versus how much they are attributable to natural variation. The atmosphere is still cyclical...it's just warmer, and some of said cycles are becoming augmented and somewhat increasingly stagnated.

I’m basically filtered sun now. The low level fog is gone. Just need these t-showers to kick through and we’re good.

36.4° +SHRA (RW+ for vortex)

Imagine that 152 days below 32

43/41

That’s SW downslope off the Catskills. But yeah it will slowly improve SW to NE. But I think we’re skunked most of the day. Maybe SW flow off the Monads will work in our favor.

Given that the greater Kyoto area has a population of 3.6 million people (with I'm sure a similar but upward-sloping curve), and is thus subject to UHI effect - I'd say yeah you could adjust that. Not saying UHI accounts for that - just saying that it can account for some portion of it. I'll reiterate what I have often before - IMO the only fully valid datasets with regards to MMGW are ones from truly remote areas. Sea ice, ocean temps, and fully-rural sensors - thumbs up. City-based or even suburban sensor data - not so much.

These next 10-15 years will be critical in the CC aspect and exactly how much of an influence CC has had. So much has been talked about regarding the lack of Arctic ice cover, the abundance of active Atlantic hurricane seasons and increasing number of storms undergoing RI, the western/mid-western droughts and excessive heat waves...all of these are also a result of the PDO/AMO state we have been in. So the question is, did CC just further exacerbate the intensities? But what happens once we get the PDO/AMO to flip? If we're continuing to see these recent trends continue with a flipped ATL/PAC that could speak volumes. Even though we are barely into spring, it is definitely encouraging looking at some of the very early analogs for the upcoming winter. Would much rather be seeing looks similar to the 1957-1958, 1969-1969, 2002-2003 versus something along the like of a say 1997-1998 or 2015-2016. Obviously those were in the super category but the point is...the very early signs at least yield some encouragement TBH, if any of the early signs pointed to one of those years I'd probably just not even bother doing any digging for the upcoming winter lol

It's lifting north at a good pace now. I'm just breaking into sun as I type this as confirmed by the satellite image.

Thunderstorms and southwest winds before 18z on April 3 don’t fit the mold of sunrise to sunset mank. Clearing starts solidy once these t-showed roll through. Can see the sky clearing in Albany and southern VT with the drying air mixing in. It’s coming.

I noticed that Box stealthily removed mention of it "becoming M Sunny", and now simply describes the day as "M Cloudy".

The NAM guidance which is usually the most bearish —and correct—on setups like this continues to show sky clearing 18z. It’s not going to be everywhere but do think it materializes imby.

This wedge can go now.

42.3 1/4mi Visibility Rectal Plaque+