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  2. So feeling, this could be one of those winters where it shows the storm.It shows a storm and then it stops.And we move on to the next storm, rinse and repeat, and all this cold air goes the waist and then we warm up
  3. This one’s very easy . Put the qpf maps away. You’ve done this long enough. Though we may do better here farther East
  4. New clipper thread started. The Shameless crew are ignoring it lol
  5. May be the last snows for most of the Sub for 2025. All models are showing decent 2 day accumulations of 3 to 6in or more from IA into Central/S IL, Central/S IN through N KY and E/SE OH with wiggle room a plenty. Go
  6. I appreciate his positivity…but he seems to be in the “convince yourself mode” and hoping for some good trends tonight.
  7. I see you're using the 40 to 1 ratio rule!
  8. Two Decembers that flipped very greatly from cold first half (+2-4 days) to mild second half would be 1875 and 1895. The means changed as follows: 1895 ___ mean 1-17 30.7 ___ mean 18-31 47.7 ___ overall 38.4 1875 ___ mean 1-20 29.1 ___ mean 19-31 41.3 ___ overall 33.4 The largest upward shifts in recent Decembers are 2003 ___ mean 1-21 34.5 ___ mean 22-31 44.2 ___ overall 37.6 2005 ___ mean 1-22 32.0 ___ mean 23-31 43.2 ___ overall 35.3 The most prolific change was in Dec 1895 and most of the rest of the winter (Jan-Mar 1896) turned quite cold again. Winter 1875-76 remained mild well into Feb 1876, March was cold.
  9. My stance is by 12z runs tomorrow any guidance that was ticking more “favorable” will revert back leaving an outcome of just some snow showers. Maybe someone gets a coating
  10. Reasonable at this point. Hopefully it amps up a little more and we can get those 3"+ amounts.
  11. "finally" Anybody who posts a snowfall map over 3 days in advance is dumb.
  12. Midwest is getting more heavy snow through this weekend. Clipper moving in tonight, and then another snowstorm that's in Montana/the Northwest tonight moving in through this weekend. It's good to see snow to our north, west, and south. Winter definitely off to a good start for much of the northern tier. Hopefully we get ours this weekend and then we can reset later this month and start off January strong. I'm just concerned about torching late month and then that lasting through January like December 2022. Lots of similarities that month.
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