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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Baum replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
AIGFS now on TT looked a bit snowier than the 6z GFS overall -
Just gunna' post that the 6z Gfs has a couple of threats and the run hasn't ended. I think as the operational models detect that block, we'll start to see threats showing up along the cold air boundary.
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Meanwhile, could really blow tomorrow.
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Got to watch Christmas Day too. Models are waffling on timing.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Damage In Tolland replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Tuesday snow -
6z GFS back to saving Christmas
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- Today
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0z AIGFS has 2 snow threats. One starting at 210hrs: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=aigfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025121800&fh=210 The other threat starting at 288hrs: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=aigfs®ion=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn&runtime=2025121800&fh=288 Unfortunately, neither Tropical Tidbits nor Pivotal have pretty surface maps showing snow, only precip. But if you use those TT links and look at Pivotal 850, 925 and surface temps, it's snow, or rain to snow depending on exact location.
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In a word...blocking. See JI's post above.
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0z euro is acceptable
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Euro bombs Northern half of NC and most of Virginia with a monster New Years snow, due to a clipper that rains on us and goes full Miller B on them, after it develops off the coast it spins in place giving them a mega storm. The GFS looks like it may have been loading up to send something our way by the 3rd. Too far out to take seriously of course, but possibly a sign that the NAO is working a bit and use getting scraps while east of the Apps would fit in with the pattern we've seen as far as precip goes. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Trash night too -
Heads up, there's black ice out there right now. Be wary on the roads.
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Thought the same last night when it was 29°.
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Not saying it's right but the 0z euro run would make many happy if it actually happened. Long duration event for sure.
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December 2025 Short/Medium Range Forecast Thread
Golf757075 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
We haven't had a clipper in my area in a long time. Many years. -
I'd take an inch for Christmas. That would be cool!!
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Yes I know. Was a poor attempt at humor lol
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Would be real nice is this verified lol
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
it's wild how warm 40's feel after the very cold month or so.
