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Definitely something passing through Saturday. Now can it get out of here by aftn or does it pivot and linger into Sunday.

Driving where?

no

Visited my mom on her 86th. Got home, did some mulch/garden work, split some wood. Cut lawn next. Turned out nice. 1.25". 67f Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

With 5-1/2 hours of serviceable daylight left in this 3 day weekend blue skies and sunshine have returned. Will fire up the grill later.

At least it’s warm. 70/61

Why do you think the PNA and Southern Hemisphere High pressure is not responding so far? The same thing happened in 23-24. There's definitely an El Nino building in many aspects, but it's not propagating to the northern and southern latitudes as much as past examples, thus far, not a global dominating event. The +AAM should produce more of a northern latitude favorable H5 pattern, let's see what happens there in the next few weeks.

How do you explain the +AAM, -SOI, convective standing wave, WWBs/westerlies, raging STJ? Those are all blatant Nino atmospheric coupling responses

Just not really seeing the corresponding pressure patterns in the North and South Pacific so far, in the mid latitudes. 1997 and 1982: notice how -SLP stretched in the Hadley Cell from 180E to 360E

It is coming. Hang on.

70/58

Sun popping out here, its a humid 73° now. Sweet

3.90" total at 2:30. Hope for 5.00" by Wednesday 8 pm.

The clearing line is like watching paint dry.

Total rainfall since last Thursday - 2.48".

GFS has us mostly drive for the 2 week period after Tuesday. And no big heat.

For our region a vast majority of it given the 5 day forecast. For the south I can’t answer that.

What a nice afternoon. Shut the pellet stove off last night and now its 75. This is whats going on around my house. Merlin app is fantastic.

First 80 of the season, and about as warm as I like it. When it comes to heat I’m a puss.

Massive +AAM spike coming and an El Nino standing wave is developing. It’s absolutely coupling (ocean-atmosphere) and coupling strongly Per Paul Roundy we are about to pull ahead of 1997

Some of the 12z models are interesting for Northern New England.. let's trend that west and bit colder..

I do wonder if a couple El Niño induced paste bombs are in store for next winter. Sure seems plausible looking out from here. The inflows into the lake this morning were incredible to watch, need some sun or that water is going to stay cold. A little surreal seeing so little traffic on the water for a holiday weekend.

Incoming Wake County.

Raleigh is finally getting in on the action!

There’s a lot of bipartisan chatter again about making DST year-round like they tried in 1974. That was a failure due to morning darkness leading to school children being killed. So, they prematurely terminated the experiment: https://washingtonian.com/2022/03/15/the-us-tried-permanent-daylight-saving-time-in-the-70s-people-hated-it/# The reason I’m posting about it here is because that would unfortunately mean all wx models coming out an hour later than they would during standard time in winter. Can you say 2AM 0Z Euro in winter? That would be absolutely horrible. The president, once again, calls for year-round daylight saving time Joe Gatling, a golfer and a gardener, favors year-round Daylight Saving Time. “This would give me more opportunities … in golf [and] gardening]that is a little bit longer, so I’ll go for it,” said Gatling. https://www.yahoo.com/news/politics/articles/president-once-again-calls-round-213659665.html