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Might change thread title to Potential Convection Crapfest.
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Unless this somehow drops a foot of rain here, I’d bet we aren’t anywhere near wettest July ever, and in fact, we’re running a deficit going back several years. This system looks to follow a familiar trend. Western CT going to get smoked. Not sure where people are seeing an eastern MA jack with this, I don’t see that anywhere in guidance.
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Hard to tell if it has legs or if it’s legit too. HRRR and Rufus couldn’t be any further apart.
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if the strongest nino ever can't give us a cool summer then what can
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We’re going to need a bigger wall filter.
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I think besides that localized deluge a week or so ago, storms have been drying up before they hit the coast. My area in Somerset Co storms have been splitting a little drier here.
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Im all in on a snowy winter given the active STJ.
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Which means get your snowblowers ready
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HRRR sounding in the triad Tuesday evening. I do kinda wonder if upper level wildfire smoke will tamp down the potential somewhat
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surprised you could get it under 20% moisture with those dews.
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It’s Oregon smoke now. Different terroir
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Interesting to see SE jersey that dry-they are usually a hotbed of T-storm activity in the summer
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To be expected. They got their eyes/ears and funding slashed.
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the spc is so bad.
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keep this negativity out of my thread.
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Sounds about right. There's scattered tree damage throughout the neighborhood, and a few people lost some siding. Nothing too crazy, but certainly the most wind we've had from a storm this year.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Actually viewing the data that you're using is overrated.
