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Trajectory looks good. I know it's tropical but I don't hate seeing these big slugs of moisture coming from the south with cold air around this fall. I want my cabin in NY under the snow by February.

Also I don't see any convection along the coast that will rob us of moisture...

Getting some heavy rainfall here already this morning.

Yeah this plus the winds will cause some major issues in the mountains.

This thing is moving its rain shield north so fast it is almost in south Virginia!

I was on your side earlier with some of the points you were trying to make. Now you're just becoming annoying. I repeat. It didn't make landfall as a major hurricane.

Okay.. .give me 1 land report of 105 MPH sustained winds??? You will not even come close.

NHC had it at 105mph when it came ashore, so it wasn't major.

BS and prove it... give me one reporting station on land that had major sustain wind speed.

It didn't make landfall as a major.

Per this chaser who was right in the eye, the lowest SLP was 976.2 mb: https://twitter.com/JustonStrmRider/status/2108736015250702614?

I am with Coach... weakest major hurricane to hit the US. Yes the name will not be removed from the cycle.

What is this F*** double front Bull*** next weekend... all weekend. Another weekend ruin when I have a baseball tournament.

In other news, 2026 has now surpassed 1983. Now, 2026 is the season that has produced the second least ACE in the satellite era. We'll see if that holds or if some late season storm ups the ACE further. In an interesting parallel, the EPAC is to date at its second highest ACE recorded in the season, but it should soon reach #1.

At the risk of contributing further to a pointless argument: Maximum sustained winds should be the most intense (sustained) winds measured anywhere in the hurricane. The strongest winds are probably going to be offshore or right on the beach. What are the odds that there's an anemometer at that exact location? Then, there's the issue that the power could be out when the highest winds hit, and of course, winds of this intensity aren't exactly gentle to meteorological equipment. The maximum sustained winds I've seen recorded with this storm on land is 92.8 mph, which is 88% of NHC's max sustained winds at landfall and is nearly Category 2 strength. That's about as good as you're gonna get since we don't have recon over land to drop a sonde over the exact point with the most intense winds. Anyways, I'm now seeing nearly 700k customers without power in the region, I hope the recovery goes smoothly

What was the actual lowest SLP at landfall ? -Lowest Destin SLP was at 8:20PM CDT per this link at ~982 mb (28.99” altimeter setting): -As this shows, winds were NNE at landfall time at Destin. That says landfall was just E of Destin. -Per Dr. Knabb per Cantore’s report of winds shifting to S off the Gulf at Miramar Beach before and during landfall time says landfall was just W of Miramar Beach. -There are 8 miles between those 2 locales. Thus, a good estimate is that landfall was 4 miles E of Destin. -How much lower than Destin’s 982 mb would SLP be 4 miles to the E? Anyone have a guess as to the gradient over those 4 miles W of the center?