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Thank you friend, sometimes you need friends to talk to

Perfect. The way it should be.

Nobody knows.

Wishing you both the very best. It is a hard road to venture down. Prayers for safety traveling and hopefully a full recovery.

Thank you my friend

Stay strong, sending good thoughts your way. Otherwise, hope southern end of this forum gets a dumping tomorrow. My brother in law is an asst. principal in Richmond public schools, and he for sure could use a day off!

The HRRR is to far north compared to almost every other piece of guidance. Let's see what the 0z Nam. NEST shows

what would you consider “this?” i’d think there’s still a good bit of regression and generally unfavorable -ENSO/-PDO type stuff going on as well along with the compression you always mention

32.5/29.3 currently good bit lower than predicted thus far.

Local Lynchburg meteorologists as well as the Blacksburg NWS are staying pretty conservative (all are saying 1-3). Interestingly Richmond meteorologists and the Wakefield NWS have higher totals which leads to the weird cutoff with watches versus advisories and in the NWS snow maps. Of course a 1-3" deal still could happen and honestly its my gut feeling, but if the Euro is right, a lot of people will be very surprised tomorrow and there could be quite a mess in Lynchburg/Roanoke.

Had my share, relaxing now. Made the weekly 2 week pilgrimage to a Duke cancer center for wife’s direct chemo infusion. We are fighting the good fight. She is walking the walk with incredible grace. I usually don’t share this with folks I don’t really know, but I think I do know the good people in here. Thanks for listening. Happy Holidays.

February 2006 would like to have a word...

HRRR

might help the psycho babble if folks finally accept this as the new paradigm

Temperature down to 31.8 here.

I mean basically this is what we are seeing if you look towards Eastern Aussie land,not saying we will torch but its not gonna get that cold,cold air is gonna be trapped in Canada,Upper Plains

I have seen so much convoluted crap in these long range models last week or so.- it is so sickening. These LR models are so undependable when the southern jetstream gets cutoff and whisked away along the carolina coast for snow making in our region. All I am saying is you all better hope we get some deep moisture storms coming from the gulf or the atlantic, or we are going to be in one hell of a drought come spring. Right now I see no significant precip in the next 2-3 weeks. These clippers are bone dry. Less then . 25 inch of any type of precip is absolutely worthless when the dewpoints are in the single digits and below zero and the winds are at 25 mph after the clipper goes by. Its a dam desert out there. Snow will sublimate and rain will evaporate within hours. My humidifier is running like gangbusters right now and its not even mid-January. We really need the gulf moisture and it it just cannot get to our neck of the woods because the barrage of bone dry clippers keep it at bay below Memphis Tn. I have never seen such a relentless pattern in my 50 years of studying weather for the eastern US. It will take a very deep low pressure sitting in the gulf and spinning shortwaves toward until the pattern breaks. When this will form I have no idea but frankly the only outcome we are all going to see is fricking utility bills that will be doubled or tripled from last year with all of these cloudy, dreary cold days under 32 degrees. My november bill nearly doubled because this dam dry and cloudy weather pattern already. Snow weenies, lets hope for a good and really an original four corners low to reform in the gulf and head up the spine of the appalachians at the same time the SE ridge is retreating, especially around Christmas. Thats the only chance of a good storm I see worth tracking in December. Anything else is a shot in the dark right now as everything and I mean everything has to line up perfectly to see a 6+ in snow event before Christmas. Signed debbie downer LMAO

Close up view of 18z Euro Kuchera

18z Euro was big time for yall and near us... the kuchera i think was higher than the 10:1

I’ve dipped below 33. But unconvinced there will be any actual moisture at this point. Same as last year.

Very possible it doesn't get above freezing tomorrow. Currently, the NWS forecast high is 39. If it's 33-32, might get 3 inches.