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  2. It’s picking-up on its convective nature to wrap-in. A LIS or RI special, while the Globals are tuned differently…. You take the middle road at this timeframe.
  3. If the NAM is correct, we back our way into this storm at such short lead time... everyone would be shouting for joy if this was January.
  4. You said the boss edited it. You will learn who the boss is when you get married.
  5. I'm at the Manasquan Inlet prepping for a 5pm live and it's not too bad here yet. The Stevens tide model is showing major here for Saturday morning, a bit higher than the NOAA guide which keeps it just at moderate/minor levels.
  6. The 12k NAM takes the center to basically Cape May by 06z Sunday.
  7. Seaside Parks reverse OEM reverse call is going to panic a lot of people. Probably rightfully so.
  8. The 18z 3k NAM has quite a bit of rain Friday night. Anyway most of the rain should fall on Sunday, not Saturday.
  9. Just like no Hurricanes in the Atlantic this year.
  10. Kinda wild how different the solutions are this close in.
  11. nope but it has maintained its solution for a couple runs now
  12. Both nams say what rain? At least thru late saturday
  13. both NAMS are so far south most of us get less than a half inch of rain lol
  14. I think the coastal flooding is going to be worse than many think.
  15. If that high-pressure splits at the right time, it will “ dual-carb” the low with cold-ish water vapor off the North Atlantic, whilst also not allowing a clear “path of least resistance.” Hence the Fujiwara effect all models have.
  16. Give me this 500mb evolution all winter. West coast ridge, blocking in Greenland, trough over us...yea buddy.
  17. Hopefully it goes west in Virginia. I don't need five effin' inches of rain.
  18. I think there are so many aspects of the climate that have changed that it is almost impossible to predict what the result will be. So many variables.........
  19. Without detailing, seemingly a no-brainer. Power outages will be the greatest impact.
  20. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  21. Jessuss! You're a shoe in to take the Halloween contest.
  22. Freeport, Lindenhurst, Island Park-the usual spots are in for a rough one. Maybe even parts of Long Beach.
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