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Nope. Folks just getting hangry over the usual silliness.

It’s frigid out there so not surprised.

It’s now Mostly sleet here in Hardeman county 60 miles north west of Memphis with snow mixing in at times. Around 2-3” on the ground so far

GFS amping more at hr12. Have to hope it at least results in a juicier thump.

12 degrees in Fallston. Feels like 2. Ready for the dry slot and light snizzle.

GSP - Just updated:

Lots of doom and gloom in here. Is the storm already over!? .

I hope so, because it shows me sleeting after 5" of snow.

-30's with some -40's (upper -10's-low -20's along the shore). Big winner was Seagull Lake at -43. Out of 16 stns I checked across MN/WI, half made top 3-5 temps with Hibbing the only record breaker at -35 (-31 1961/87/08).

Nice. It dropped to -38 at Manitowish Waters, in the beautiful north woods of WI. I was there a couple weeks ago for my nephew’s outdoor hockey tournament.

Just need the goofus to move a tic or two north now.

Yea but the issue seems to be more about amp instead of de-amp. Regardless, this storm is annoying. Under absolutely no circumstance should we be worried about sleet when it’s 10-15 degrees out at start time. We’re just not that good at this game, but it is nice to at least get a thump before the correlation coefficient posts go ham.

My sister is in spring hill south of Nashville is snowing there already. Best real time updates possible.

No problem. Some of the two inch soil temperatures are in the upper 20s. One of the I-83 State highway sensors near Butler, MD had a road temperature of 19° this morning!

totally not nervous at all

VDOT started brining in FFCO Thursday am. Our road had a very heavy coat of it. Caused a cloud of dust to rise after every car that went by.

I’d still keep it 12-18 for here because I’m skeptical of 20+ if we aren’t getting more than an inch or two Monday. Our biggest thumps are typically in the 14-15” range (ala Mar 2017, Feb 5, 2014, etc)….if we messenger shuffle the low level circulations a bit over the next 24 hours, then maybe I’d consider going a little higher since that would make Monday look better. But the big snows are basically 10 hours…like 2pm-midnight. A little earlier for your area. So it’s hard to go too crazy given those facts.

It’s all about perspective, right? It’s a letdown because we were looking at the potential of a foot or more of snow earlier in the week. But what if we were looking at a rainstorm earlier in the week and it evolved into this? We’d be doing cartwheels. That’s why an old-timer met likes to say, “enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you got.”

Doesn't look like we are going to shake this northwest flow (west ridge) any time soon

Just saw in the NE forum cold thread that the Brunson, MN coop hit -43.

The snow part depends on how hot and heavy it is at the beginning. We need it to come in and go moderate to heavy pretty quickly, and for the snow to last several hours. That's our chance to pick up 5 or 6" before the sleet takes over. As for freezing rain, it looks like there is a decent chance for you and I to pick up a quarter inch of ice, then maybe ending as plain rain with a temp of 33-34. Closer to the coast there will be a a longer duration of rain, and little to no zr.

Ahh thanks!

Brining and salting won't help much with this event. Surface and near subsurface temperatures are just too cold. Plowing will be the key here.

Everyone gives the NAM a hard time. I've always respected it big time. It might not show what we like sometimes but that not it's fault. The gfs imo should be retired. It's just causes confusion. I set my expectations way back yesterday and I feel great about the storm. I just want my grass covered at this point and it's a win. Icy trees would be awesome too.

Oops! Always good to have a second set of eyes. Thank you!