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  2. Weather Will
    43. No frost. Flowers survive another day!
  3. mahantango#1
    37 for the low. And no frost.. thank you lord. Hopefully it will start warming up.
  4. Modfan2
    Not sure when winter ends and spring begins here; low down to 37F .08” of rain yesterday; good weather for the lawn to grow.
  5. BrianW
    He needs a dog. My dachshund will kill anything that steps in my yard. Haha
  6. pawatch
    Currently 37 degrees Definitely some unsettled weather. Picked .15.” Of rain Friday. Yesterday cool and windy 24 mph wind gust. I got my coal stove back fired up this weekend. Constant 70 degrees is nice. Smoked a couple of chuck roasts yesterday. Kind of got away from running the smoker over the winter.
  7. Today
  8. Stormchaserchuck1
    Daily ONI is already passing +1.0c in Nino 3.4 and subsurface is warmest ever only below 1997, normal 65F areas on the thermocline are 80F right now. It's going to at least go Strong. SOI is the biggest counter-indicator.. it hasn't had more than a few very negative days.
  9. Birds~69
    Drought guy may be on to something...although this seems normal to me. https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/polar-vortex-aftermath-to-bring-more-chilly-may-days-to-midwest-northeast/1886949
  10. ineedsnow
    No AC yet here and doesnt look like we will need it for awhile.. April had a few very warm days but we also had some snow.. May will come.in below normal it looks like.. we take!
  11. Snowedin
    Must be nice not living less than 5 miles from a 45 degree ocean. Hopefully us mist weary coastal inhabitants can get some much needed relief later this week!
  12. Stormchaserchuck1
    Even in 23-24 the SOI didn't go very negative... it's been following the PDO in the 2020s where it's leaning positive most of the time Only 16 months of -SOI since July 2020. 77% +SOI during that time Everyone was saying early in the year where we can't have a Strong Nino so close to the last Strong Nino since ENSO is at least partially about balance. Check out this RONI streak.. we are evening this out, imo
  13. jaxjagman
    Yes,im not sure even MV does maint on his sites anymore,but i still use it,so it could be wrong for sure
  14. jaxjagman
    This has been what the JMA has been showing and the folllowing year generally leads back into a NINA the following winter
  15. GaWx
    Agreed and Jax made the correction. But it’s too bad that the monthly updates have stopped. In other ENSO news, I still find it interesting that this sharp warming is occurring without a sustained or notably strong -SOI. We’ve had only short periods of strong -SOI so far and I see no long ones over the next week or so. Some negatives sure, but..
  16. snowman19
    Lol No chance that this is going to be another -QBO winter. In other news, consensus on a +IOD forming over the next couple of months
  17. jaxjagman
    Seemingly or more likely we are headed towards a EQBO,i still think there would be little sample size what this winter will be,but more than likely as some of maps shown above,who knows maybe we will get suprised(ducking)..lol Edit:meant westerly WQBO
  18. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah let's see if the STJ juices up this year with cold ENSO background state probably still in effect. 23-24 Winter was very wet but Nov 2023 was extremely dry
  19. GaWx
    Ooops, Chuck, sorry, I misunderstood you in my prior post. I misinterpreted that you were saying strong STJ as opposed to strong La Niña STJ pattern meaning, the opposite, a very weak STJ.
  20. Birds~69
    46f, 12AM...windows open, I think I heard the ice cream truck guy?
  21. Stormchaserchuck1
    Yeah -- it was pretty close to a uniform La Nina pattern last Winter in the US. Combine that with pre-El Nino conditions for the year after, and you have about a perfect composite.
  22. GaWx
    The reds are actually BN, not AN. I know, kind of strange coloring. The SE drought was/is bad due largely to the very dry winter.
  23. Cobalt
    It doesn't matter if it's 134 years of climate data from Gibson County, Indiana. It is just one of the 3143 counties in the United States that you are trying to use as the lens from which to view global climate change from. You don't get the right to say that I'm cherrypicking when that is the flimsy pedestal you're standing on.
  24. Stormchaserchuck1
    I didn't realize it was such a strong La Nina STJ pattern
  25. 40/70 Benchmark
    You can generate on these two sites using ERA 5 dataset, Chuck....only issues are that the time periods are more restricted...ie I can't do DJFM, and there are no daily options....ie March 10-25, etc...
  26. jaxjagman
    i did some research a couple days ago how a strong Nino effects our area or region.In general Dec can have some strong tornadoes which surprised me because we dont see this in NINO into winter,in Jan along the Appalachian Mountains has flooding and a freak IP/SN happens in Feb Edit:Other wise its going to be AN with with temps
  27. Stormchaserchuck1
    Maybe I'm missing something but we still don't have H5 monthlies?
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