All Activity
- Past hour
-
Rain this morning. Welcome sight.
-
We've already seen some contenders this spring and early summer, so in fairness this is speculation pending final judgement... Today is the top 1 day Intangible in support is the fact that it's happening perfectly in mockery of the weekend now being over, we're collectively imprisoned by thankless jobs and not really available to actually be a part of it
-
Forecast is for 49 tonight.. this week will be hot but I doubt we hit 90 here.. 7 to 10 days of heat then back to average for a bit
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
olafminesaw replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
-
Nice morning here-breezy and AC gets a break 65
-
CIPS is also fairly supportive of some sort of threat at the end of the week. CIPS extended range remains supportive for severe as well way out into the long range.
- 434 replies
-
- 1
-
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 3.4 warmed only 0.2 in today’s release for last week averaged out vs the prior week from 0.5 to 0.7 vs my guess based on daily OISST levels/changes of it warming 0.3 (from 0.5 to 0.8). But this difference could possibly be mainly due to rounding. For example, perhaps the prior week was, say, +0.46 vs last week being, say, +0.74 or whatever. It has gotten more E based the last 5 weeks but (as per what I recently posted) the Euro doesn’t have it getting more E based overall from this point forward and thus keeps it from getting anywhere near as E based as 1997-8: 1+2 3 3.4 4 29APR2026 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.5 06MAY2026 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.5 13MAY2026 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.6 20MAY2026 1.6 0.7 0.5 0.6 27MAY2026 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.7 03JUN2026 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.7 -
- 434 replies
-
- 2
-
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
We didn’t have anything like that but it peaked about 3:00 at my house too. Sat between 95-96 from 1-4 with the 97 peak. Miserable
-
10 out of 10 so far this month! I wish it could be like this till October.
-
-
Not to be 'that' conspiracist person, but the more the sports betting has increased, the more those types of calls are seeming to happen.
- Today
-
Nice start today with a breeze and 72. Looking forward to low/mid 80s for a couple of days before the big heat is back. Looking at possibly 100 on Thursday
-
Anyone ever winder why it seems some areas get more thunderstorms then others? For my immediate area it's Glen Burnie that is the Hotspot for storms. I feel like from Ellicott City down to Glen Burnie is thunderstorm ally. My area was on a hot hand last July. Every chance for storms seemed to deliver. Some years I can't buy a storm. They all hit Glen Burnie.
-
Friday maybe? From Day 4-8 SPC OTLK ..Day 5/Friday... A number of the 00z models progress a lower-latitude short-wave trough through the upper OH Valley and lower Great Lakes, which is a departure from previous model runs. That scenario would increase severe-weather potential across those areas into New England, and perhaps the Mid-Atlantic, given the potential for a moderately unstable air mass across the pre-frontal warm sector. Should subsequent model runs remain consistent with this recent trend, an unconditional 15% probability contour may be needed in the next forecast update. Elsewhere, Isolated severe storms appear possible across portions of the southern High Plains.
- 434 replies
-
- severe
- thunderstorms
-
(and 7 more)
Tagged with:
-
Thanks. I realize that the RDU sensor is often a hot spot under sunshine in the warm season per past discussions I’ve read here and elsewhere. Do you know if your house had temps that jumped around ~6 F within just a few minutes of 3 PM? That seems very high with little change in sky condition (mostly sunny as opposed to large amounts of cloud cover suddenly moving in or out) and no big wind direction shift!
-
33° at Estcourt Station. Some mid 30s in N NH and W ME too.
-
Replaced my rain gauge yesterday. Right on cue.
-
48 at the house this morning. That’s it for a while
-
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
TheDreamTraveler replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Today should be pretty nice -
2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
zzzzzzzzz -
Looks like some cooler and hopefully wetter weather is on the way for next week following more unusual warmth this week for a developing El Niño. A ridge out West and a trough near the Great Lakes is a closer match to El Niño June expectations. It’s forecast to occur right as this event is setting records for the warmest Nino 3.4 SST on record for early June.
-
We hit 97.2 at my house so not super far fetched but highest in the state for sure
-
Min 47.7° Hopefully some rain midweek
-
While doing some yard clean up yesterday from the storm my grandson saw me raking and said “Fall!”, not yet buddy. So glad I cleaned up in the morning because yesterday afternoons winds blew down the down stuff that was still hung up in the trees…oh well, it doesn’t look as bad it as did.
