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GFS is running. Looks more positively tilted.

Reasonable my friend, reasonable. Going off of the pattern, my climo and some weight to models, I'm sticking with my 3-6" idea from last evening. My boom beyond that has lowered significantly. I do agree with MU on the idea that the progressive nature will probably lead to a bit more offshore track. You mentioned my other concern...what if we don't have rates tomorrow and then largely miss the coastal? My total goalposts are 2"-8" for my house with 3-6" the most likely outcome. That's not being negative, that's 60 years of storm, climate, pattern and instincts.

Any chance for us fellow “Millville” alumni you could go back to the Weather Desk today and insert “absolute beat down” somewhere in the forecast discussion?

The Sunday night forecast is 1 - 3". Precip by then seems very iffy out here.

I’m bumping mine to 8-14 for MMU

I’ll be issuing a first call sometime today

Not a lot to do when laying in a hospital bed haha

Peter Mullinax @wxmvpete AM thoughts before 12Z guidance comes in- it is possible we never see guidance come into agreement on a uniform solution. Frankly, it is rare that happens anyway. The meteorology says a rapidly deepening mid-upper low off the coast favors areas along & east of I-95 especially...

2.75” snow total with a coating of sleet and freezing rain 32° ice starting to drip off the trees a little

Those of you who like gambling need to get in on predictive markets. I saw that writing on the wall yesterday morning that the storm was going to be a nj-boston special. I put down $10, that Boston would see more than 20 in this month, and now I can cash out for $25 before the storm even happens lol. Free money if you obsessively track models... And can tolerate a little bit of risk

ICON ens decently SE of the op for those who give a damn

Could be quite the gradient from western Talbot to your house. Mt Holly goalposts are still real wide 1 to 16" range...

Contextually concerning when you look at Sandy being 940.

My forecast as of now for my location is 10-15”. Trying to stay reasonable. Banding and extent of NW push will tell the tale.

8 years ago we hit 81 degrees!

Beautiful

We have tools here at the office where I can look at snow levels of every model and I use them as tools for creating the forecast. Just one of the benefits of being on the desk! AWIPS and our tool integration are very sophisticated. I also look at soundings and check other variables to mentally calculate!

I think you hit 12"

High end of the forecast range due to high ratio - 5.7"/0.34" LE, ratio 17:1. 23" at the stake.

Totally agree. Its a nice to have, not a need to have. For this one, it could be the stick of dynamite that gets us to 960s.

Yup...I can't wait to draw a 2' area on my map. Have to break out the special paint brush for that

Hard core, tracking and posting from the hospital Hope you're discharged soon and no further issues.

Weather next

Probabilistic snowfall range 1 to 16".