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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
raindancewx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The first big test for the 2023 comparison is the big Mexican heat wave in June 2023. That's very rare in El Ninos back to 1870s there. Only a couple in the 1950s and 1982 had it before 2023 in June, and really the 1982 heat wave core was closer to Texas. May to date is a Warm West / Cold Eastern 2/3 US pattern, while May 2023 was a warm north central pattern / cold east setup. So it's pretty different so far. Models don't really have any excessive heat waves for Mexico in May-June I can see. It's been a bit warm there this month, but more from warm nights with rain and near average highs from what I can see. The ~98F today in Philadelphia is actually similar to heat waves in May 1991, 1941, 1987, 1939, 2006, 1986 events. No May heat waves present in years like 1972, 1982, 1997, 2015 from what I can see. -
I prefer it cool and wet
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Historic May Heat
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yeah, that's very unfortunate. -
Been awonderin what on earth is going on in the Eastern US these days!
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WOW you guys hit 97 degrees in Dale City today? Man that's a lot hotter than us in TX!
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
paweather5 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
We need the rain but man what a bad weekend for us. We sponsor the airshow in Harrisburg this weekend and it looks like all three days will be no fly. One thing I hate about the promoter of that airshow is they have no refunds even with cancellation for weather. -
I’ll take it too… if the 75-80 are dews
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Hurricane Agnes replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I was watching that line (literal west to east) run across your area. Figured you might cash in. There were scattered cells that went north of me but my lightning detector didn't miss that trick. Am hoping the diffused blob moving up from the southwest will give me enough to wet the leaves. High today IMBY ended up being 95 and it's currently 82 with dp 65. -
I’ll take that for the next month. Plus a little rain.
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68 at 6:07am, 96 at 5:54pm.
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This is great, and will save our lawn and gardens. I wish it wasn't Memorial Day weekend. Figures. That said, there is no bad grilling weather. Only bad equipment.
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Yeah. Not looking good. My son has a tournament in Winchester this weekend. We're supposed to play Friday night and Saturday afternoon. Sunday looks like it could end up ok. Sucks to go right to Bracket play on Sunday. Not sure what they would do
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Should be the warmest day tomorrow along the coast as winds finally turn more westerly. Hopefully some rain as well. We have a shot at 90 again unless cloud debris ruins things.
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
franklin NCwx replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Same thing happened to bryson and cherokee. Although they at least have the train and the casino. Which is a HUGE draw -
Which one of you ordered up a shitty holiday weekend forecast?
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94 yesterday, 95 today. I'm good for summer now, 105 days until the 'ber months are back.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Can’t say I was expecting a severe thunder warning today. Big time wind out ahead of this cell though. -
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Just saw the video of Mayos bat flip of a long foul ball. Lol It was against the nats on Saturday I believe. What a dumbass.
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Screenshot from earlier. Say Whaaah!?!? 97 imby for my high temp in Columbia today. Morning low 70.0° — so this was first morning temp not falling below 70. — not to mention, no storms or damaging winds. ….
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Let's dew it again!
