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Yeah they really should have included NW Monroe in the warning for sure. It's interesting you mentioned 2015 I remember that storm well I think if I remember it correctly it came on the heels of a snow or it snowed after by a few days. For me it was only about a quarter inch and it took down 4 pine trees on my property, and I was without power for a few days. Though there were people just a few miles away that it took a week to restore power. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro XL using Tapatalk

That was 2022 , and I got 13 “ . Basically we had rain until 5:00 Am the cold front came in and white madness.

I think it's funny that Northern VT, NH and Maine have the lowest totals until you get down to the coastal plain of NC/SC.

At some point, you have to.

Still warming. 39 now

Seems like consistency for a 10-12" range. Maybe more if the coastal transfer is delayed. Just hoping we don't waste too much qpf overcoming the dry air that's in place.

Oh also there are wind barbs on the right side, I think you want those to be not whacked out for good snow ratios?

Hope that means we'll miss the worst of the ice.

Not fairly confident in any model but the RAP did forecast the storm in 24 while others where out to lunch. .

Nice, I told my colleagues 10-15 with the lower end being with earlier sleet and higher end being with later sleet. Now they're gonna think I'm a wizard when they get their winter storm warning alert. .

We got close to a foot from that one in Montclair. I feel like I remember that one always looking like it would favor the southern crew

20 years ago was VD 2007. That had a stronger primary further west but then again that's why we are going to get way more snow with this one. I need to go back and look at the surface maps, but this storm is starting to remind me of that one with the huge high overhead.

Put a plow on the cruiser!

5:1 ratios in the low teens would be something. Probably tiny flakes

It’s a good question what effect it has on snowflakes falling about 3000 feet through 32.7 temps.

Winter Storm Warning for NYC 10-14 inches Enjoy guys

12z Euro suppressed for next weekend.

Green line is dews. Red line is temps. Blue line is hieroglyphics if it's there. Maybe it's just for RGB funsies? Y axis is altitude. X axis is temp at ground level. Isotherms (lines of equal temp) go up and to the right and form the "skewed" x axis. We only really care about the freezing one because we're weenies. Dew and temps close together is moister. Lines deflecting more to the right indicates lift I think? Everything keeping behind the 0 deg isotherm means you get snow. The surface being freezing but too much above (or too close to the surface) being across the 0 deg line means you get freezing rain. The surface being freezing but a little bit (or far from the surface) being across the freezing line means you get sleet. Or maybe rimed snow. Graupel goes in there somewhere, idk. I hate graupel. Just don't cross the damn freezing line please. Surface not being freezing but dewpoints being dry and the rest of the column looking like that snow description and you might get non accumulating snow, or only on friendly surfaces for a short while. Surface not being freezing and the column being shit, yup, you guessed it, rain. This is probably a gross oversimplification and you shouldn't trust me. My profile picture is a dog. Not some cool weather thing. My name is not red. Here's some more info... https://www.weather.gov/source/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/convective_parameters/skewt/skewtinfo.html

My son now lives in Fairmount, Philadelphia. Mt. Holly shows his snow accumulation as 7 to 12 inches, not counting Sunday overnight into Monday. Is this realistic? I'm thinking more like 5 to 10 inches considering a change to sleet and/or freezing rain. Any thoughts?

I think the pre and post storm severe cold is what’s making it a bigger deal than usual around here That’s what’s on my mind anyway.

It has a local screw zone between the two coastal lows, very similar to UKMET.

Winter Storm Warning just issued for 12-16”

Im tired bro. This is a fun but exhausting hobby.

Doesn’t power outages start or so around 0.25” liquid of Frz Rain growing more concerned for central Delaware County.