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Yeah temps will bump up somewhat near or at fropa when we start mixing out. It may not mean much though since dews will start dropping too.

I got about an inch out of squalls earlier, with lighter snows and blowing snow continuing. VERY windy. I think peak gust at the airport was 61.

Take the pattern lol…it’s not a bad look at all. In fact it’s pretty nice.

The observer must still be salty about the Bills going for 2 and not paying attention

Starting to feel like we won’t have to wait too much longer. The day 7-10 window is starting to peak my interest for a legit threat. The dominos start to fall in the coming days as the NAO retrogrades.

We just don't know what?

Not quite to freezing yet, 33.7/16.5 at 3:30 pm. Have a few flurries from time to time, that only means 'Shoe and Canaan are getting rocked lol. Highest wind gust so far was 47mph. Currently NW 16 gusting 35 mph. WC running 23 to 19 on those numbers right now.

Wish we lived there https://x.com/buffalosnowking/status/2005725323586068528?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

Whew, made it through with solid snow cover. The temp is 45 now but will be dropping very shortly, the dews thankfully started dropping over an hour ago, after a high of 41 the dew is now back down to 26. Only had two hours of dews upper 30s, which is when the pack really starts to go.

Who cares?

I assume they just left the ceilings and augmented in the 1/8sm. But yeah, with 70mph gusts and heavy snow and blowing snow I’d guess the ceilings should be obscured. lol

There’s maybe 2” left here . Grass showing under a few trees

I am hoping the warm bump makes its way east. Right now the Temple mountain ranges says no, but I think it will see 35 or 36 for an hour or two. Still 32.7.

Fortunately since it's the holiday season, there was an extra heavy load of empties to weigh things down. 44F, windy

Ha, just coming to post. Models suck

Today’s Euro Weeklies came in colder in mid to late Jan: 1/12-18 a week ago: 1/12-18 today 1/19-25 today:

Absolutely. If nothing comes of it…just bad ju ju. Nothing you can do. But we are solidly in the game. And that’s all anybody can ask for. We take.

Sick

GFS has 4 chances for snow and a fifth being a fantasy coastal at the end of the run. Just an OP(ens look good as well)but we are gonna have plenty of opportunity. I like the look

Ditto. Some piles from shoveling. Otherwise gone...

It's about that timeframe where you start to see some ensemble members show fantasy storms for great patterns. And they are starting to show that. There are lots of big hits. The ensembles have been lighting up.

Think the banter in here yesterday and this morning has been a bit restless and ridiculous to be honest. While there have been a number of rug pulls and pattern reversals over the years, seeing a window of opportunity line up in the mid-range with practically every index close to/in the correct quadrant is exceedingly rare. The beginnings of the NAO retrograde westward and Western US ridging are within the next 3-4 days, it is not a distant pattern change still in lala land. Getting the pieces to align and timing perfect so southern stream energy doesn't get squashed/sheared or that a phase doesn't only occur well offshore will ALWAYS be a struggle. We're hunting for a big dog coastal, it's a fragile balance. The stigma that we need a DGEX type solution every suite to overamplify every shortwave that comes through for us to feel confident...is irresponsible. We had plenty of rug-pull back then too, we just don't remember it as well because we hit more frequently than we have in the last decade. Look at the Euro AI if you want to feel something...three coastals in a row for the rough timeframes we have had pinned down for the last few days: 8th/9th, 10th/11th, 14th/15th. I expect the ensembles to start lighting up over the next few days at the least with some potential positive solutions.

Greenfield never got above 34° so it should be full and frozen snow cover tomorrow.

Kinda odd to have 3 layers with vis at 1/8 SM. Would typically be a VV situation.

Fluff no match for 47 and rain here. We start over.