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  2. Stormchaserchuck1
    Decadal trend lines of NAO are pretty linear with what's happening. We've had pretty much 14 straight +NAO Winter's, at the height of this decadal +NAO phase. Some think it's associated with lagged +AMO. Over the next several decades the "long term cold blob" will likely be somewhere else or reverse.
  3. TJW014
    Tornado reported in Troy Hills, NJ
  4. MN Transplant
    Based on the CAMs, we were all hoping that this would be a two-round day, with discrete cells out front before the organized stuff gets here later. We just didn't get initiation and now have to wait for the stuff in Ohio to come together. 18z HRRR brings it in around 10pm, but there is a risk of it being south.
  5. RedSky
    Radar is sparse with all this juice and an excellent trigger what is going on
  6. Eskimo Joe
    4,700 SBCAPE on the 18z sounding, but the convective temp is 88 degrees. With this thick cirrus shield in place at peak heating, I doubt we get enough sunshine to reach this. Perhaps south of US 50 and the eastern shore, as @wxmeddleralluded to works out, but this is shaping up to be an ugly bust here in the metros.
  7. TheBudMan
  8. OrangeCTWX
    My wife works in East Hanover but thankfully she didn’t go into the office today. But she said their office is all going into the basement. Can see why based off of the radar signature.
  9. TSSN+
    Whiff lol.
  10. psv88
    God damn. That looks really bad east of Motown...
  11. NEG NAO
    More scary then fun today this is turning into the worst severe day in the area so far this summer
  12. BBasile
    Have some popcorn to the SW now.
  13. RedSky
    .80" in ten minutes lol one fast tiny shower
  14. TJW014
    I'm seeing 51,000 ft on Radarscope and WeatherFront
  15. canderson
    Careful - some frogs are endangered and strangling them will lead to federal indictments
  16. psv88
    That looks like a strong tornado southeast of Morristown. Debris sig?
  17. weathermedic
    Echo tops with some of the storms in NJ are over 30,000 feet. Not very common around these parts. The one just north of Morristown is showing 37,000 ft.
  18. The Iceman
    Stuff in SE PA having a tough time getting going.
  19. Itstrainingtime
    Frog strangler here in Conestoga. Pouring rain.
  20. vortex95
    Yes, I do not like to see a big cluster of storms S of an area of interest. It seems more often than not, that means the area to the N is ripped out!
  21. BoulderWX
    It is…
  22. NEG NAO
    that one looks to go south of Rt.78 in NJ at the moment
  23. Nibor
    That rotation near Morristown looks legit.
  24. RedSky
    A gully washer something that has been near impossible this year although brief
  25. IronTy
    You don't fool me, weather. I can see the SoMD split teeing up already.
  26. TJW014
    Warm fronts are fun...
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