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Only 0.18" here tonight. Better than nothing but I hope we have better luck tomorrow. HRRR did a good job with the timing of tonight's rain, and I see the 0z run is showing a repeat tomorrow with our area getting hit around 10pm. I'm hoping to have better luck with heavy rain tomorrow night. If not I know it looks like a pretty good soaking on Monday. I am desperate for a good amount of rain -- hopefully this dry stretch is about to end.

Yes, a 48 hr event will lessen overall impact. 6" of rain in 6 hr is not the same as 6" in 48 hr, at least not for flash flooding. For larger-scale river flooding, this is not the case. However antecedent conditions being so dry and water levels low, this should mitigate large-scale river flooding. Not that there will be none, but "it could be much worse!" Cliche I know, but sometimes it does fit a scenario well when trying to quantify impact. I always go back to VT w/ Floyd from 1999 and Irene from 2011. Similar big rains in VT from both, but Floyd flooding was not big time, but Irene was. Why?, antecedent conditions. Summer of 1999 was one of the driest on record for NNE, and summer of 2011 one of the wettest. Or going way back, Connie and Diane 1-2 punch in a week Aug 1955. Connie "primed" things, and Diane sealed it. Worst flooding in SNE on record I think.

Thought you were joking until I looked it up ...

Hope I’m wrong but I’m getting some shades of August 2024 around this area with those rainfall totals, where the Naugatuck valley area got decimated with 10+ inches rain. As for tonight, I had to drive from Shelton to Beacon Falls right in the middle of it. Rain was insane and lots of cloud to cloud lighting but I think we missed the winds. Clearly some places didn’t though, lots of outages in CT all things considered.

Anywhere near the May 15, 2018 level? How would you rate?

current conditions at DCA - Rain, Smoke

Sharp reflectivity gradient on the leading edge --classic sign of strong straight-line winds!

Yes most likely, and topography often helps w/ the lift, makes the inflow part condense closer to the ground. Wx tidbit: SCUD stands for "scattered clouds under deck." I think there is a slightly different definition as well (one word different). I know some here already knew this acronym, but many mets I have talked to over time had no idea it was an acronym!

Hamden CT, more specifically!

This falls along the lines of how TCs are treated N of 35N. You can't apply conventional TC rules at higher latitudes due to ET transition and a host of other factors. I think this was w/ Earl in 2010. All models had the hurricane passing E Cape Cod w/ its recurvature. Yet they had TS warning as far W as BDR? That is ridiculous. That explicitly says TS sustained (not gusts) are forecast. How are you going to do that w/ a system that passes E of Cape Cod? TCs are no longer symmetrical at this latitude due to ET transition, and due to forward acceleration, the winds are greatly mitigated W of the center track. It's not "one size fits all" for wx events and all locations, but that's the impression I get at times.

That constant rumble from downtown was wild!

After the rain we were socked in fog in Chicago. I think the city did its fireworks show but you couldn't see it and could barely hear it. Sad/ridiculous. Should've been postponed.

I welcome a flooding rainfall event. Maybe not 5” but would like to see 3” this week.We need it in so many ways.

Anyone else watching the July 5th fireworks in DC? Going to be a lot of exhausted people tonight.

On July 4th, the DMI mean Arctic temp finally reached and exceeded 0C with it at +.01C. That sets a new record latest 1st above freezing as it replaces the old record latest of June 20th, which had been set in 2013.

Hope it comes back soon. This does remind me of the 2012 derecho in that it doesn’t feel like the power companies region-wide were adequately prepared for this. Could be the holiday or just complacency from lack of high-impact weather lately. I do remember back then everyone was so angry and then it did lead to better prep for Sandy later that year.

Impressive number of reports today in the Mid-Atlantic, but a noticeable hole over northern Virginia.

I saw many, many firework displays off of Falmouth Heights/Bristol etc. beach in the 1980's and 1990's. I bet tonight was a natural doozy though 'Grats

While I only received about 0.75 inches of rain over the last two days, the winds have been quite impressive. With many areas still without power—from Lower Macungie all the way to Quakertown—I have no doubt that numerous fuses, transformers, and sections of the electrical distribution system have been damaged. I have been fortunate. Most of the electrical service in my neighborhood is underground, and the surrounding trees were extensively trimmed after Hurricane Sandy. That has undoubtedly made a difference. It raises an important question: Why aren't we making a greater commitment to underground utility infrastructure? Municipalities should be encouraged to require underground electric service wherever practical, while state and federal grant programs should help utilities such as PPL modernize aging infrastructure. Although the upfront costs are significant, the long-term benefits in reliability, public safety, and reduced storm damage are substantial. Many people also don't realize that restoring power isn't as simple as replacing a wire. Utility crews must first remove fallen trees, inspect miles of damaged circuits, replace transformers and fuses, repair broken poles and conductors, and verify that each section of the electrical system is safe before power can be restored. That process takes time, especially after a widespread wind event. What has made this year particularly challenging is the unprecedented number of dead ash trees killed by the emerald ash borer. As a township manager, I have been urging elected officials to dedicate funding for the safe removal of these hazardous trees, yet the response has largely been silence. These dead ash trees are creating the conditions for our next major disaster—not only through repeated damage to our electrical infrastructure, but also by increasing the likelihood of debris jams in our streams and rivers that can dramatically worsen flooding during future heavy rain events. A single blocked bridge opening or culvert can cause water to back up quickly, flooding roads, homes, and farmland even when rainfall amounts alone might not have produced significant flooding. The reality is that mitigation is almost always less expensive than disaster recovery. Every dollar invested in hazardous tree removal, stream maintenance, and more resilient utility infrastructure can save many times that amount in emergency response, prolonged power outages, property damage, and disaster recovery costs. Waiting until after the next major storm is simply the most expensive way to solve the problem. I am also surprised that there has been relatively little discussion tonight about the potential for our first widespread 3–5 inch rainfall event over the next three days. Forecasts can certainly change, but this is a weather system that deserves close attention. Perhaps many of us have become conditioned by the persistent drought of the past six months and tend to dismiss heavy rainfall forecasts. However, if this event unfolds as currently projected, localized flash flooding, stream flooding, and river flooding could become a very real concern—especially where fallen trees and debris restrict stream channels. Anyway, enjoy the cooler weather, and let's hope the forecast trends downward. But this is definitely one of those situations worth monitoring closely over the next several days.

Happy Independence Day all! Some thoughts on this holiday evening:

.50"

Good thunder and lightning now with one of the new flare ups

well all the prayers paid off as we had to take 2 breaks but we were able to get the the party and the fireworks in,,,,, that said Northern New City lost power for a while and congers also,,,,,,that first batch of storms passed thru with some serious wind that brought trees and branches down,,,,,,,afterwards the wind never got crazy here and the rain for the most part held off,,,,,I hope everyone has their power back ,,,Happy 4th All

With civility, fuck off. There are a ton of trolls here, but you’re the first with a red tag.

I agree.