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I disagree; the antecedent airmass was great.

Hopefully there is an ERC prior to landfall.

Maybe later in the month.

Just looking at radar and satellite you'd think this monster would harmlessly bypass Jamaica to the south. They would need a miracle now

I couldn't get any lower than 42 degrees, the wind never died down long enough to let it drop further, it would always pick up here and there to bump tremps back up. But a couple miles south of me temps got down to 37 degrees. I'm just too close to the water I guess.

The issue with the last coastal is that it remained strung out with two weaker low centers. So even during the peak of winter it still probably would have been more of a high elevation interior event. Not enough deepening to prevent mixing issues near the coast.

30.9° Heavy frost

40 inches of rain possible NE Jamaica

Coldest morning of the season here in Marysville with a low of 30 with a good amount of frost.

Wouldn’t you consider that one more of a subtropical storm rather than a purely extratropical one though? It definitely had subtropical characteristics

I don't think the last coastal that we had did that.

Growing season over here with a hard frost....32 for the low

My partner jokes with me that this site is my longest relationship lol

47 here with heavy rain. Nothing like driving a school Bus on country roads in the rain. [emoji1634] .

25 this morning...coldest of the season I miss summer in fall

Recon first pass: 155 kt FL winds, pressure 912, incredible dropsonde

I had an argument with several people about this over the weekend. Every single person said last winter was warm. For some reason LLMs seem to be bias on this also saying that 84-85 was much colder and that last year was only "Mildly Cold". I thought last year was one of the coldest on record. Based on NOAA data it was right up there with 84-85:

This afternoon is when models have it taking a fairly sharp right turn.

I had my first frost on Saturday morning but was very patchy.

It definitely is. Looks like it’s just now starting to gain some latitude

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31 here. Saw a few temps as low as 23 this morning in Allamuchy and Hampton.

38 the low here, no frost

Just last week you said signs of colder mid and late month