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It's going to snow, or it won't, my man

I know the gentleman who created that app. It's fantastic and my go to for a quick forecast and obs check. The Premium version is pretty inexpensive as well, and you get a good amount of extras and customization.

Looks like more of a classic North and West type Winter.

Cool! How long were you there? I spent a day there while on a cruise. Did a helicopter tour up into Waimea. Pilot was sick. Top 5 tours I’ve ever done.

They're all in Morgan Run on the trees

Euro snow mean is AN.

Nice, I assume this is Kilauea? What a surreal place to visit.

Noisy storm knocked out power and Internet for a while. 2 rounds of rain today at the house.

This is the first year down in Calvert that I've seen lantern flies. Fortunately, the vast majority that I've seen have just been the leftover wings littered on my driveway. Apparently the birds find them tasty, which means I think the threat of them is somewhat overblown, luckily.

Must be an elevated dry layer amid the ambient sounding

For this winter, the long range models show an active jet stream (storm track) with above normal precipitation. I am expecting a lot of storms to track.... rain/ ice/ snow TBD. With a little luck, hopefully everyone cashes in!

Looks like I'll get nonsooned yet again.

Nah it should be on the list. He is NJ focused, and central and esp southern Jersey had a legit snowstorm(see the link I posted with snowfall reports). There were 8-10" amounts reported in SNJ. He simply missed one, which is forgivable- his site is awesome overall.

I'll try and get some pics tomorrow. That is if this if we dont get the supposed amounts being forecasted right now overnight. Another 1in+ and its gonna be Schitts creek territory. Cant believe I forgot my phone lol. Sux getting old.

Depends where you are....most likely prohibitive along the east coast, at least.

Speaking of your thoughts/expectactions lol. I noticed you've been repeatedly mentioning a warm December. Which seems a good bet based on everything from model forecasts to big support from strong nino climo. Are you going prohibitively warm/torch or just mild?

More rain this evening.

Ahh, yes. It wasn't on his list because it basically missed NJ & SE PA. Pretty much was a miss in my current location. Probably <1" imby. My old place in Linthicum had 5". I had to drop my wife off at Hopkins for her sister's surgery as the flurries had just started. But when I was coming west on Lombard Street, the steady snow was already about a third of the way down from the top of the USF&G building. Literally looked fake, but baby it was real! Lol

For research purposes, NCEP/NCAR was eclipsed a long time ago by ERA5 (Euro-based, of course). It is all available, but I'm not sure if there are any sites that make it easy to use for the public.

Illinois is gonna manifest 11/17/13 2.0 with the kinda year we've been having

I hate when the media does that. Especially for areas such as the Great Lakes, Midwest and Northeast. Its actually fascinating to see how much of the world does NOT get to enjoy the extremes of both winter and summer like we do. Really if you like seasonal extremes, its a great place to live. Our griping, complaining, worrying or excitement based on what local weather lies ahead is our personal comparison to our climo that were used to. I have a friend in the UK and she would freak at how cold she would be in our warmest winter on record or how hot shed be in our coldest summer on record.

Getting all you snow in 24 hours and have it melt off in two days would be heart breaking.

The Coatesville graphic I supplied says that in the period of 1952 to 1982 there was extensive construction going on at this station location. its an electrical substation with megawatts of power going through it. As components move, there will be step wise changes--up or down. The station itself could be moving also as office space changes. Here are the images showing that station and ongoing construction. Once again, we have 100% documented evidence of microsite impacts to a station record, and a) adjustments are valid and b) absolutely necessary. Both a and b are within the context of using weather station data to develop climate information from multiple stations.