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  2. Big time back off in the 12z GFS for the southern areas for sure, but the Larimer/Boulder foothills had essentially zero change. Around 16" for this area, while the 00z Euro shows 10-12", but I don't believe it at all unless this comes in colder. But the models have been trending colder for Monday, so we'll see.
  3. beautiful friday to kick off the pattern transition
  4. May 17th/18th 2017. Something over 3 feet according to spotter reports. I didn't even bother trying to measure. The next day IIRC was about 70 degrees and it melted instantly LOL. But tree damage galore.
  5. ^The main correlation is in the NE Pacific and it doesn't look anything like it through the end of May. In June and July the ENSO-500mb correlation is weaker, but May is usually a pretty strong month, even with developing El Nino's.
  6. Can’t edit and fix my English, whatever Sorry boys
  7. Why we even bother we forecast? Just say it’s going to be windy and cloudy and low 60s 74 and sunny today? Not even close
  8. ehhh I'm more looking at there's a difference between drought and just abnormally dry. But drought can certainly be relative to a location (particularly a region). I just think the word drought is just being hyped up and tossed around like crazy. No doubt many places have been quite dry and have had some local impacts, but those impacts haven't been dire to the point where there is critical concern (sure we've seen some restrictions at times and recommendations on water usage) but save the word drought for if/when things are truly dire.
  9. Isn't drought relative to a location? While not being like the Atacama, last summer and fall definitely had impacts on agriculture, people's wells, surface water and some municipal water systems.
  10. fascinating ... you can kind of see the weakening - don't have to wait for this to rotate away per se, it's seems to be losing identity at the same time.
  11. Mid 90s for some Tuesday... similar Wednesday?
  12. Today
  13. Finally turning the corner for good tomorrow. This spring has kind of sucked. My mom has pics from this time last year and it looked like deep summer out there. Definitely behind
  14. You can see the general outline of the May El Niño 500 mb composite taking shape with alterations probably due to the competing marine heatwaves. The coming near to record May heatwave forecast for the East next week is much warmer than we typically see with such strong developing El Niños. Stronger Southeast ridge could be a function of the weaker RONI relative to ONI and more general subtropical ridging adding a more Niña-like flavor to the mix. The May Western North America El Niño ridge is located a little further SW than usual with the weaker Baja trough than they typically see. May 4th to 11th strong Nino ridge in SW Canada and Aleutian low north of Hawaii Forecast May 18th to 25th
  15. GFS has backed off a lot, but still has a few inches for the Palmer Divide and foothills. NAM also has it. Waiting for the 12z Euros to kick off.
  16. Main thing that sucks about it hitting 95 for 2 days straight this early is the pool water is nowhere near warm enough to even take a dip in lmao especially with how cold its been it hasn't had much time to heat up
  17. Low of 48 today. Had to wear a jacket on our dog walk. Might be the last 40's we see this spring.
  18. ^ “#ElNiño is taking over the global atmosphere. We're gonna get a brief spat of trade winds over the East Pacific due to an Equatorial Rossby Wave, followed by another large WWB as the MJO traverses back into the Pacific. Models are showing low-frequency forcing setting up over the East/Central Pacific. Looking like a very strong, classic, coupled, canonical +ENSO event starting.“
  19. That was an anomalous heavy frost i hit 32F There's a big difference between 32F and 25F low
  20. What's the latest you've seen snow there? I don't think I've seen it more than a day or two after Mother's Day here.
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