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Thats tonight! We aren't making a new thread within 12 hours of this one!

Take a breath bud. We all know the risks. No need to be a negative Nelly in this setup. If you want to panic about what can go wrong maybe write it down in a journal

Yes. They stayed open when Helene hit. Only time I have seen them close was during covid

I think if there's a time to make a dedicated storm thread and a dedicated banter thread its now.

we really should use the median more than we do, I find it more indicative than the mean.

I think the trend at 12z, minus the Canadian, was decidedly less potential CCB influence from another developing low pressure. I think that’s the key. And if we don’t get that, you have a hard time reaching big totals. Correct me if I’m wrong, but don’t we normally see huge ratios in a more traditional coastal? I’m not sure in this type of setup you are going to get 15+:1 ratios. However, even an inch of water at 12-13:1 is close to a foot of snow.

I disagree. No storm mode until that Baja low gets sampled.

Well thats new I didn’t know Brent Rooker was into weather lmaooooo

Went to the AMS in Austin in 2018 and we got stuck in Austin for an extra two days because our flight got cancelled for wintry precip. The whole town of Austin was virtually shut down...not a single car on the road. They legit got like 2 second of sleet haha. Missed the first two days of the spring semester.

HRRR at range is pretty useless

I have no clue if this means anything, but went back and looked at this first system that is coming through today at about 3 days out…. Icon handled it the best. .

We're probably in 4/5 range here in Clayton and Tiger?

There are several individual ensembles that show less than 6" including some that show a complete miss. There is also still time for modeling to shift much further north or south. We can all see what model consensus is right now. But that doesn't mean we can guarantee a future outcome.

I would add Storm Mode

No just means huge snowstorm incoming

Yep, places are packed. Glad we got one, even though its a smaller one it will take care of heat at least..

i just think of Al Bundy everytime i read AI posts

Does anyone happen to have individual 12z EPS members?

looking like it.

I will personally answer any questions and quoted messages to me from the other section when I get the chance. Busy right now. Will answer a little later, so apologies. Thanks for starting a new section @mappy!!

This would require the WAA snows plus snows from coastal. I think 6-12 is the best range area wide and that could skew in the 6-10 direction or 8-12.

yeah absolutely I understand that. Maybe 5-6 years ago before I owned a home I would still enjoy an ice setup but now? No thank you. The 12z Euro actually does have "lighter" zr amounts for TN as a whole. It really pushes the warmth north. We can hope that continues

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TWC jazz 90s music people. Game changer

Sorry for the debacle today. I'll try to sharpen up in this thread. Trying not to be a complete ass an ruin Randy's PBP.