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Did we really hit 100 a couple weeks ago per the comment above? I thought we hadn’t hit it since like 2012. Guess I am talking out of my butt a bit but feel like we never get there - at least formally at the airports
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
July 2011's heatwave rivaled July 1995, and the following winter (2011-12) turned out to be a blowtorch with almost no snow (outside of the October freak storm). -
I can guess what you are implying here. Pointing out caveats or what could go wrong for events/forecasts is a reasonable position to take. It prevents one from getting carried away and biased from the "could be's" and "what if's" as one example. The "could be" and "what if" issues are *rife* these days on social media. People hide behind the fact that just b/c something has a non-zero chance of occurring, they should mention it and hedge like it *will* happen. This is almost entirely for click/engagement bait to monetize their sites and drive the algorithms. Or to be a "hero" to claim "I called it first!", despite going big every time, and use the broken clock is right twice a day fallacy. The vast majority of the time, the worst case or high-end record event will *not* happen, and one should start always from the baseline, not the other way around.
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Problems loading forecast.weather.gov all day. Edit, oh looks like it's national and being troubleshooted
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Got up to 103 here last June and 100 last July, shocked me, I was starting to think deep Long Island couldn’t pull off 100. 105 (in Queens) in July 2011 is still my personal all time highest, it’d be nice to break that eventually. NYC is a disgrace and should be moved to northeastern Central Park where there’s better siting.
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The media figured out the term ‘heat dome’ and now they’re using it ad nauseum like they do with polar vortex in the winter.
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Looks like a typical stretch of summer heat to me. Seems when it comes to weather we’ve lowered the bar on what constitutes extreme.
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Where exactly? Which day(s)? Generic statements like this do not cut it these days. The details count and the models can parse these out much better these days. From a MSM media standpoint, it likely is going this way, "NYC is going to be very hot, so that mean *all* the East Coast is going to be a super torch." Never underestimate the power of thinking a location is the center of the universe!
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wonder if it will rival July 1995? And yeah, imma gonna say it… You know how that following winter turned out! -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good news -
widespread 100s are likely
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seems like a no brainer, the world is on fire
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
qg_omega replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
its been record warmth throughout the country and its just the start -
It's all dangerous in the end. The prefixes and adjectives used these days are out of control. My biggest pet peeve is "catastrophic." It's always that now. You never see, "severe," "heavy," or "disastrous," referring to impact or damage. Impact and damage are scalable, but we choose to throttle to the max all the time. That's counterproductive in the end. More is not always better.
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
This will be epic I'm stoked -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Chris Sowers (Winter weenie) is back in Philly after a short move to Fla. And on FB.... https://www.phillyburbs.com/story/news/local/2026/05/14/philly-weather-guy-chris-sowers-is-returning-will-he-be-back-florida-6abc-west-palm-beach/90074898007/ Upcoming heat wave: -
Thankfully it didn't stop us from having a cold/snowy winter.
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The thing in this case, it's not a uniform slam dunk. This is not a classic Bermuda High set up, nor it is a dry solid sfc NW flow (a la Aug 2, 1975). Eastern and western sections need to be treated differently. You can't just gloss over it all. The difference between 90 and 100 deg readings is non-trivial. You can't just say "hot" and leave it at that. There are important details to be worked out here. The above factors preclude going high-end record heat across the board at this range still. Of course, the MSM doesn't treat it this way. HOT HOT HOT and the world is ending....
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I knew you were showing praise. I just wanted to make sure I have not stirred the pot somehow w/ a previous post and it resulted in a tangent issue.
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What streak?
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honestly with the dry soil and the right wind direction, we can sneak one in if we are in the upper 90s by 1pm. It happened a couple weeks back
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12Z UKMET is fairly similar to the 0Z: TD that stays weak and then dissipates well offshore: MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 28.06.2026 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 32.1N 72.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 30.06.2026 48 32.1N 72.3W 1013 25 0000UTC 01.07.2026 60 31.4N 72.5W 1012 24 1200UTC 01.07.2026 72 31.0N 72.8W 1013 22 0000UTC 02.07.2026 84 31.2N 74.4W 1014 20 1200UTC 02.07.2026 96 31.6N 75.7W 1015 17 0000UTC 03.07.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING
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I remember playing little league baseball in 100 degree temps. It was awful.
