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@bnchoisn't that similar to what happened with this weekends storm? the NS ended up phasing in faster

will say watching that NS pivot is insane and i know we're all burned by these late phasers, but you can't not like that NS practically pivoting around itself and swinging up. i like what im seeing. and considering how our NS for this storm decided to buckle a calm three states west, i'm not too worried about getting this storm to buckle as well

43kt logan. Must be ripping in wey too.

Just from experience, it feels like an NYC and New England type of storm is brewing but can't rule out we get something crawl up the coast like the 18z Euro

00z GFS is an Eastern NC/SE VA scrapper for next weekend

I know the NWS mentioned this but it is weird to see...The snow is just falling, there is zero wind. NONE.

Definitely liking the changes from what we had all season. Southern stream waking up and being a bigger player is definitely more fun. Not saying we will cash in, but interesting

Light snow and 20 degrees here. No real sign of anything on radar.

The correct name is WeatherNext 2 https://deepmind.google/science/weathernext/

Seems like all the models are following Google Boy now.

still going to be light snow most of the night then we have tomorrow

Surgery moved to Saturday…

Pix 11 snow forecast was a bust in pretty sure. For once nws and local media did a good call. Upton first call was laughed at and it ended up right cough cough nbm cough cough.. lol

(I found this analysis on SouthernWX. @Terpeast @MillvilleWx @psuhoffman, any other mets, any thoughts about this?) "Just using the GFS for reference, I can go ahead and tell you this piece of energy that dives in out of the NW is going to be a lot faster than currently modeled. So that’s probably going to collide early with our southern stream wave which will cause more amplification. And let’s also assume our 50/50 will be scooting out quicker than modeled. Good chance this system is amplified and not nearly as suppressed and late as currently modeled. It’s virtually the same playbook again this weekend just happening a skosh further east with less chance to cutA non zero shot at a triple phaser as well"

This is a tough setup to get to come up the coast. Need an initial disturbance in the Gulf, or the baroclinic zone further north, or the high to move offshore and generate a return flow.

we've been watching the backedge of the backedge, if not the actual back edge approaching for a while, with a very keen eye....it's been lurking. good storm though

Holy

Pretty wild a week out to see the storm in almost the same spot on all the models

High amplified pattern

last hoorah

UKMET

I've been describing to my girlfriend the details of how this last storm was coming together, mid level warming, primary low location, how excited I was about the thump, what a snow weenie is etc. and needless to say she was bored to tears lots of "ok uh huh" and then saying lets just watch the show Nobody Wants This. Yes, the sacrifices we make to make them happy lol Anyway, looks like another week of tracking. What a refreshing winter this has been after like 4 ratters in a row.

Ukie also has the idea (not quite a hit but improved)