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Tornado warning east of Columbus OH.
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Can't believe its looking like another dud for the first two weeks of June for my friend and I. We had done the final week of May and first week of June from like 2009 until like 2019 then didn't get together the covid year and then bumped to the first two weeks of June. We used to have pretty solid success until recently which is why we moved back a week. Well at least during my second week of vacation is when summer classes start so I guess I can use that to try and work ahead
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Exactly. The mean winter temp departures were very impressive considering it was all Dec/Feb. January was a decent winter month. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Superstorm replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Picked up 0.55” of rain so far today in Lancaster. Now 4.07” for month. . -
What a wonderful winter season it was.
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I like the NAM gust 50 Saturday afternoon with attempts in the 40s. That’s cute.
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Yeah, I hear ya, you hope we can get one of those 20 C 850 plumes from that direction. I’m not sure that’s the best direction for big heat not really a Sonoran heat connection but I suppose it’s possible. Probably will be a dry heat too. We shall see. Just not sold it on anything more than a day or two.
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Looks like the warm front has been shoved south a bit. I'm thinking locations south of US 50 are probably better placed for afternoon convection?
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Approx 3/10” so far today imby/Columbia thru 11am.
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Ha more rain. Much needed
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Soupy out. DP up to 72
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Set a 'warm minimum' at 64.3 degrees, old mark was 63 from 1981. About 2.5" since the rain returned. Someone close by has gotten a good bit more, the river was up about 3 feet above normal and brown. 1st time I'll seen that in a while.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, I was thinking the same thing. That was supposed to be a mild winter that ended up even milder than expected. -
So earlier I intimated I suspected this thing this weekend might try to charlie brown the cold dweebs and their private/secret thinking that it's totally okay to snow at this time of year ... , by normalizing the metrics some as we move into the shorter range. In other words, it should correct to just insulting to us normal folk - While it is the NAM, and therefore ... probably not altogether very useful or trustworthy at this range, it is still showing some normalization in this 12z run... Left is the 00z 84 hour fantasy, the right in the 12z 72 hour ( same time), 12z Sat Clearly the right/more recent version is stepping off the cold enthusiast enabling throttle. Altho it's odd that the NAM pretty obviously dampens cyclogen thermodynamics and mechanics, while still making the low deeper...
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
The Iceman replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Every model was too far south with the precip today. Looks like southern PA on south should get at least another .25” today. Coming down at the moment here in Levittown and we had stuff come through overnight too for .15”. - Today
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78 warmer than yesterday/hr by a couple clicks. Yesterday was 83... today should be 86 or 87. The clouds might offset the typical MOS too cold by 2 and make it look right this time. yay
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Mountain West Discussion
mayjawintastawm replied to mayjawintastawm's topic in Central/Western States
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Permanent DST has been tried and failed. 830-9 dark mornings in the winter are terrible for kids, pedestrians, etc. Far worse than it getting darker at 730 in July
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Maytown must be one of the unlucky areas this morning - just checked and I've only added .02" to bring my total to .07". Even less has fallen at the airpark. -
2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Feb 2024 was NOT forecast to be a cold month in the midwest. https://www.climate.gov/sites/default/files/styles/full_width_620_original_image/public/2024-02/Feb2024_tempoutlook.gif?itok=NFbaJvRE -
About 0.15” at home from the first batch. Not sure if the second batch will make it or turn south too soon.
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just checked: .45" in 10 minutes this morning. 4.45" since 5/20. and more on the way.
