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CoastalWx knows what's wrong with this map! "Why is it...?!"

everyone get flu vaccines..

I actually explicitly said this was to be expected in my seasonal outlook when noting this tendency the past several years.

You just gotta rub it in! That island is gorgeous, was there several years back when the pats were last in the Super Bowl and the weather and people never disappoint. The views are just on another level too. Enjoy it man!

Sure it's not COVID? I had it last year in December, came down with it while in Iceland for our first winter trip. Absolutely sucked and I did everything in my power not to let it ruin our trip, which was difficult when it's built around hiking and outdoor activity. But the painful breathing (like vague sense of soreness when you take a deep breath) has been a hallmark symptom of having COVID pretty good. I suppose ultimately it doesn't really matter much anymore, but yeah. Feel better!

High of 37 here, was expecting some mixed precipitation but was just cloudy.

Following the rules; GHD 2011. I remember the hype of it and just the absolutely incredible blizzard conditions and thundersnow overnight. Storm I never wanna repeat was the ice storm a few weeks later which hit Hillsdale, Lenawee And Monroe counties particularly hard since we were on the line between snow and rain and got all freezing rain, over an inch and a half with 35 mph winds . Some people didn't get power back for almost two months and schools were closed for 10 days. Cheating if I could see a storm that was in my mom's lifetime would be the 1978 blizzard, Hillsdales snow plows all got stuck so the only way people in the medical field like her could travel was via snowmobile and most employees ended up living at the nursing home she worked at for over a week until the national guard cleared the roads.

I found myself pulling for the Big East and the ACC last tourney - we gotta stand up for the basketball conferences.

What are you showing me. I already said the euro run was horrendous

just for you, ji

I think winter ended tonight. For every progress we make we lose 4 steps one run later

Putrid run by the euro ai. What happened tonight lol

3-3. Euro with an atrocious run

The cape storm. He is still living off 2022

Thanks. I actually got the shot. So I assume it would have been worse if I hadn’t.

there has been no flip flopping on the GFS , Canadian and Euro Ops through Sunday Jan. 11 all 3 have the cold returning that day - its after that the models begin having differing opinions especially on any storm development and or tracks which is normal at that range...........

Horrible runs tonight so far. One step forward and 3 back

People are takin advantage of all the deep snow in the Woolly Lot and doin doughnuts LMAO! https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/woolly-cam Coupla guys are jebwalking in the deep snow! Looks to be about ~ 9 inches deep or so...

Yeah that failed handoff is really weird and kinda implausible. The atmosphere likes to stray towards efficient energy conservation, the ping ponging of strengthening between the primary and coastal reflection doesn’t really reflect that principle. I would err towards the primary remaining the more cohesive entity given the modeled dynamics, at least for what the 0Z GFS spits out

Another disaster gfs run. No southern stream

Hope you feel better soon. I just got my flu shot which I hope helps. A little warmup won’t hurt anyone.

I'm not paying much attention to models currently. They're just wildly different run to run, model to model. The 0z GFS is 30+ degrees colder late run than the 0z AIGFS. Recently, the AI was 20-30 degrees colder than the regular GFS. For me, I'm going to see how things look in a week or so to see if the pattern moves forward.

It’s like the gfs gets confused and goes back and forth between strengthening the primary and the secondary. But regardless that’s a chilly solution up here in CAD land. We just can’t seem to ever buy a 40° day here in the heart of winter.

Can’t let this cyclone get wound up even a tad or it will cut. However if it gets shredded up into a SWFE, the weekend system is going to set up an intense boundary somewhere. North of that boundary will snow. A warm outcome is still the most likely path forward IMO given pattern fundamentals, but can’t deny the trends today as we emerge into a new time-scale paradigm for the period. It’s no longer looking like a huge ask to turn the tide here, at least for NNE

For that reason the 159hr cutter will become the typical lame SWFE some sleet to rain to prolong your suffering. Hope it's better soon. I just dealt with it and many of my friends and coworkers are sick too. Bad flu season.