All Activity

It is kinda uncanny in the MA around Christmas. It can be cold AF the week before and it still find a way to be warm during at least part of the holiday week. Especially xmas eve or day... lol. Christmas 2009 was the least memorable and kinda sad white Christmas I've had. Watching a 24" snowstorm juat 7 days prior get literally nuked with fog and rain was a little depressing. And we rarely get a white chistmas. Like I cant even remember the last legit region wide one. But I can sure remember a lot of unseasonably warm ones haha. The WDI index has been screaming for a white Christmas for years but for some reason.... we never even get close. Often not even a frosty morning that you can squint and pretend.

Autumn firmly in place

My house and property are swarmed with spotted lanternflies now.

I got 0.09" today. Morning line fell apart, and this one was just a miss to the left (west).

rains for days at the end of next week on the 18z Euro AI

Brutal run if true

Just got 1.28 rain from this batch headed towards Harrisburg area. Complete with several bouts of thunder. It poured. 1.40 for the day.

CAUTION FOLKLORE—-> I know that you’re supposed to wait until after the first frost, but the persimmons have spoons and the one woolly worm I saw was black Don’t judge I gotta do what I gotta do when it’s the end of September and we’re still 20+ degrees above average every single freaking day

I think the warm Xmas puns a play off the warm December that is expected....I don't think anyone it honestly trying to forecast down to the day at 3 months out.

I don't think you are paying enough attention to antecedent conditions...of course the summer of 2015 was more redolent of El Niño....it came off of....an El Niño with a huge +PDO. You are also misunderstanding what I am saying when I compare to 2015...not just talking about the intensity of the GOA low, but also the degree of MC influence. There is probably a connection, but it's not 1:1. I doubt we see more MC influence than 2015.

Missing the good stuff. 0.01". Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

DC might be better at sports than we are at December snow.

Yea but 82/76 which is what I’m at now is really gross.

Indeed, the weighted avg of your graph, which looks like it is only ~+1.25 to 1.5, doesn’t at all jibe with the image below, which shows it ~+3.3:

Yeah IDK just thinking out loud one way I could see it go without too much thought. Actually, the -PDO October might be the best fit for that north Pacific and NA look advertised if we reverse this color scheme accordingly. I'm curious what happens that month as we're really getting into autumn at that point. Not much confidence one way or another.

Gfs has rain all week next week for the NYC area

I honestly don’t think I’ve ever seen one around these parts.

Misery Mist, useless.

18z gfs folds. Wet times ahead

The talks of getting to 90F quickly faded today. .

The last week of month and then into Oct does not look cool.. at all

4.49" on the east side of Huntington since around 10 PM Tuesday evening, 5.11" for the month. I believe that average for FWA for Sept. is only around 3.1".

92 for the high.