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Tor warning expired. Strongest winds look to be riding 581 to 8 it is absolute sheets of rain out but no severe wind yet for us

Thanks for the posts, and great info. Agree on all points. I think I had just moved back to TN from FL(spent two years in purgatory) in 82-83. We had this crazy snow where we got like 4-5" of snow and then it rained...and washed it all away. Seems like the start to that winter was crazy cold. I remember riding through South Knoxville w/ the windows frozen up.

Just heard a big tree snap Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Heavy rain in Marysville, but minimal wind & no hail at this point.

It’s just to my north and west, hearing the thunder but no rain here yet. FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM EDT THIS EVENING... * WHAT...Urban and small stream flooding caused by excessive rainfall is expected. * WHERE...A portion of southeast New York, including the following county, Orange. * WHEN...Until 915 PM EDT. * IMPACTS...Minor flooding in low-lying and poor drainage areas. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS... - At 723 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain due to thunderstorms. This will cause urban and small stream flooding. Overflowing poor drainage areas will cause minor flooding in the advisory area. Between 0.5 and 1.5 inches of rain have fallen. - Some locations that will experience flooding include... Middletown, Montgomery, Scotchtown, Mechanicstown, Maybrook, Circleville and Bullville. - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

Getting absolutely ramshackle by winds again Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I’m concerned about for weekend campers along the Delaware River. Hopefully they all check out today for their safety. A few cells currently popping up and not much movement with them.

Can someone explain why this cell just kind of formed? It’s sitting over us and was genuinely caught off guard.

I was over in Wappengers yesterday when it came thru. Winds around 40 not sure how much rain fell, guessing on the person’s pool I’d say 1.5 to 2.0” in an hour. Seen several limbs down but no power outages, on my way bay to the west side of the Hudson. IMBY had only 0.05” in the bucket with no noticeable wind damage. Sorry to hear about your loss of power. Hopefully back on by now.

Picked up .4 in 10 minutes. Some small branches came down with the wind and now it’s raining with the sun out. Rainbows out too.

Hail sig has weakened

Have a cell spontaneously form over me. Getting over 2"/hr rates. have 0.42" in bucket. Temp 75, dp 73.

Back from Europe. And, yes! I got to experience THE heat wave. No A/C sucks. Great trip, though. We were in Scandanavia...and still almost hit 99 w/ normal highs of 65! Back to normal for the second half of the trip, and legit felt cold at times. Got back home, and hit another heat wave! Haha - not so much fun. Great trip, the Danish and Swedish people are incredibly respectful, and we are thankful for them sharing their country with us. Great areas, and much less crowded than other places in Europe. Really want to do Iceland. Anyway, I like John's analogs. 47-48' in my post above is a Euro heat wave analog. The summers of 47' and 75' were both record setters in Copenhagen. I am gonna ride those analogs I think. I will probably blend those with John's, and I think we have a pretty good set of analogs. Now, the July 1 CANSIPS......is a beauty yet again. BIG ridge out West for DJFM. Nice cold source. Seems a bit too good to be true, but it's a banger.

As soon as those two outflow boundaries collided a storm popped to my wsw on the east side of the DC beltway. It went from a cloud i was watching to a thunderstorm in about 5 minutes. It just started tossing lots of electricity.

That spinner killed toward Lambs Gap

Heavy rain & we have small window in the basement, but it looks super dark outside.

It's a pretty cool visualization tool. More shading means that more ensemble members are showing something anomalous for the time of year. More black lines with higher numbers mean the most extreme ensemble members are quite extreme.

Microburst occurring under Fairfax cell. Right on the edge of it.

Holy f

Finished with 0.14”

Some of us do live there and it is loud and wet.

That storm up in the moco hoco borderlands is loud and tall and looks productive from here in silver spring maybe 15 miles south

New one to me.

Flood Advisory just issued here, the cell has been back building/hardly moving.

This is your once in a hundred year two day combo Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk