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Agree. I think you guys are in pretty good shape out there for a couple inches.

It’s interesting became the GFS isn’t responding with a change in snow totals for most of us. The low is farther north but the sleet doesn’t get further north. You’d think with a low that far north, the sleet would get past NYC. Maybe GFS is hinting at the snow being heavy enough to resist that mid level mixing.

On the GFS, PHL and EPA has been losing snow and CT, MA, and ENY have been gaining snow.

There will be a 20-30mi wide stripe of 6"-8" somewhere across SNE/ENY . Fun to track. Nothing locked in yet.

GFS still looks good locally as depicted in terms of QPF. But it definitely shifted northeast with the mid-level lows. It now gets significant snow to ALB and HFD. A day ago they were both on the fringe of the forecasted precip. shield. The HRRR (1z, 2z) also appears to be slowly ticking northeast aloft too. Need that to stop.

Ya, I wouldn’t be so sure of that either…if we listened to you, we wouldn’t be getting tomorrows storm.

Yeah this is a case where the qpf actually probably isn’t doing it justice outside of CT. Some good banding would be likely well into ma

I dont either Amazing consistency

Yeah, especially for a global model close in. Could be some descent snow into much of MA.

Well tickle me shivers

Still have to hope for a shakeup in the pacific. Not easy to get snowstorms when you have a huge ridge over central US. Move that ridge out by extending pacific jet and then we can get some real storms to move across CONUS. Time it with an injection of cold air and bingo !

Dam…3/4” of liquid. This thing has juiced up into a pretty good sized system.

I will say I don't remember the last time the gfs was this consistent

That’s a pretty big bump IMO. Probably would be some heavy snow for a time even here

Obs and totals thread created.

Gfs

Great for much more in SNE

Post obs and totals here. Good luck to all. Some guesses: -Central Park 4.8", JFK 5.0", MMU: 4.2", HPN: 6.7", EWR: 4.0", ISP: 7.0", BDR: 7.3" New Brunswick: 2.8" Middletown NY: 7.5" Newburgh NY: 7.1" PHL 1.2" of crud, TTN: 1.6"-a little more snow but still mostly crud, ABE 2.1"

Explain.

Maybe something around NYD

lee's pretty solid. i recommend him to the uneducated masses....news 12 guy is very good also.

After tomorrows deal, close the shades for a while

More qpf