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With no rain. Fun times

Yeah im not sure but we've seen a lot of local mets go from here to Atlanta. I'm sure the money is great.

0.26” but the yard is soggy

I became aware of coral reef bleaching with the terrible event that affected the reef near the FL Keys in the summer of 2023, when there was a marine heatwave. I clearly remember that the heating of the waters there was made worse by a lack of rainfall/clouds. Even not so shallow waters near the coral warmed into the low to mid 90s! I posted about this many times in the warming oceans thread of this CC section. This extreme warmth lasted for many weeks, which was much too long for the coral to avoid bleaching, when the stressed coral expels the beneficial algae that it feeds on. The good news is that scientists moved portions of about every species to safety into much better conditions allowing them to thrive and prevent extinction. https://science.nasa.gov/earth/earth-observatory/confronting-floridas-coral-collapse-153304/ I also read that there are some coral species in other parts of the world where normal SSTs are warmer that tolerate much warmer temperatures, which will help as the oceans continue to warm some of these species could be placed elsewhere to help combat the bleaching problem. Ultimately though, the hope of course is for oceans to stop warming. https://eos.org/articles/some-corals-are-more-heat-resistant-than-thought

He did! There was another recent guy who is on Weather Nation. His name escapes me.

Yep. A super Nino is possible but we don’t know what is going to happen. A moderate or strong event is possible as well.

I remember Gary. He was a great meteorologist. A lot of people forget that Mike Bettes came from WLOS also.

I definitely remember it. One of my favorite snowstorms ever!

I was living in Boone at the time. It was epic. It didn't matter that it was April. Here is write up from Gary Stepenson, who worked at WLOS. https://spectrumlocalnews.com/nc/charlotte/weather/2022/03/17/the-surprise-snow-storm-of-april-1987

Last two years were -1.1 and -1.0 RONI, so average of last 3 years is -0.2c/yr. I've found that 4/6+ same ENSO state shows strong tendency to reverse in the following +1-3 years. Likewise, +3-5 years after a Strong Nino (23-24) has El Nino tendency, so we are kind of hitting this from both angles.

Lots of tulips/daffodils coming up in our flower beds. Even some of the other perenials like our giant bleeding heart is waking up. Grass has some green, but a way to go still.

Someone who feels lucky should go ahead and open and pin a 2026-2027 winter prognostication thread to separate these posts from the medium range...makes it easier to find the winter stuff if that is all you care about.

Got in what was probably my last session of the season at Wachusett yesterday, April 4. Conditions were really really rough. Some stuff was barely passable. Some decent snow in others. Left by 10AM after doing 9 runs. They claim they want to open next weekend for their pond skim etc. But not sure how they can pull that off. Not much snow to push around, more melting ahead. It was a great season overall. March really sucked for snow.

0.40" Looks quite dry next 7 days.

Not here. Just 0.01” from first line. Maybe we get a few hundredths of an inch with the last line. Bad miss

Golf weather is coming, I predict that your patience for yardwork is lower than you think right now.

The Lord is risen indeed--Alleluia!!!! Victory over the grave...Amen, Amen, and AMEN! Happy Resurrection Day all!

Euro has widespread 90s for days mid month

Yeah I ended up right at .92 inches of rainfall myself. Wind has been cranking and temp is all the way down to 51 degrees.

Ended up with .45. Likely no rain for at least 10 days.

I didn’t because I was a weee lad but I read about it today. That would have been amazing.

There’s also the rapid rate of change, which is way too fast for most species to keep up with. As one example, marine heatwaves may be driving sea star wasting disease that has caused huge mortality of starfish on the US pacific coast. Then of course there’s coral reef bleaching, where warm SST’s are causing the wholesale destruction of entire reef ecosystems…those are just a couple of examples. It seems like coral and starfish aren’t able to respond quickly enough to the changes to avoid their populations taking serious damage from them. Maybe if this were all taking place twenty times more slowly, it would be different, and coral could adapt or migrate to new areas more easily. The media tends to way underreport on the non-human impacts of climate change, since people are disinterested in things that they don’t think will affect them personally. Also it seems like ecology is one of the least well-understood sciences, which is probably why we keep being blindsided by problems like colony collapse disorder in honeybees. All this to say, it’s not just about whether a warmer earth is “better” or not, it’s a question of how fast that rate of change is and whether human society and the natural world can respond in time.

I need to do some serious work on my garden and back lawn. Think im gonna rip it all out and rebuild from scratch this year.

The rains have finally come. Currently at 1.09" and counting.

I ended up with an inch of rain and I am very thankful! The pollen has been washed down and cooler air is filtering in. I could make a run at freezing in the morning. We'll see about that.