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I believe it will be location bound. From I25 east may be normal to slightly above, while the central and southern mountains may end up with a much above normal snowpack. But all in all, very likely a big improvement over last season.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
MDT is 6.15” below normal rain for the year. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Ya, but it is looking more and more likely that a 2-4" stripe of heavy rain will affect SNE first half Sunday -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brian5671 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
WE have finally dried out here so hoping that's way overdone! -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Sey-Mour Snow replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
HRRR floods CT again same as 6z 12z is 4-8" + statewide if it went out another 3 hours, when have I said that before , but other models have it too, EURO is dry but EURO sucks lately with these rain events -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
Cobalt replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
what's this site? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
PDO up to -.19 today. -
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I like hearing this, I am doing a vacation around Lake Huron and Lake Superior coming back in through Minnesota in a few weeks. I look forward to leaf peeping.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Nino 4 on latest UKMET strengthened slightly from a peak of ~+1.3 in Sep on the Aug run to a peak of ~+1.4 in Nov on the new run: Aug run: peak of ~+1.3 in Sep (non-relative) Sep run: peak of ~+1.4 in Nov (non-relative) -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
ChescoWx replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
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2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season
Windspeed replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Tropical Headquarters
It's going to be some chaotic modeling with any potential WCARIB gyre until we actually get a gyre and low genesis. Best watch with huge clumps of salt. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
How about region 4? -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The UKMET, which pretty much nailed the 2023 ONI peak of ~+2.0, just updated for Sept: it peaks at ~+3.3 in Nov: The prior run (Aug) had peaked at only +3.1: Regarding Nino 1+2, it also strengthened: New run: a little >+4 (this like for 3.4 above is not relative and thus doesn’t taken into account GW well): Prior run (Aug): ~+3.8 -
Pittsburgh PA Summer 2026 Thread
colonel717 replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Absolutely. I didn't understand that 3 years ago and misdiagnosed it as a Modoki signal. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Brian5671 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Nice morning here with the cold front having gone through-sun in a bit 65 degrees -
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I’m on the Stein Train.. When it comes to rain .. I can never get enough .. I’m on the Stein train..Lawn and shrubs crashed and burned I’ll be dry like a Stein train Burning from his flame Feeling like I’m in Steins brain One more Stein Saturday night
