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naw second floor above my garage I just like the cold I'm good with the heat and sweat dripping down my ass like some one time I was in Canada at my grandparents place and the snow was blowing off the lake and drifted on the porch roof up to the window.. I had the window open all night and didn't notice the snow was blowing in all night and I woke up to almost a foot of snow at the end of the bed
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Rethinking your no 90 call next week?
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After eating a snack, I’m waiting in my vehicle here at the park to see if the current light rain will lighten up and thus allow for a mainly dry walk. I hope so because walking conditions are otherwise pretty darn good for mid-May with only mid 60 temps, a nice NE breeze, and dewpoints in the mid 50s. Regardless, today was/is very pleasant comfort-wise for mid-May.
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MET and MAV are both 35° tonight for CON and LCI. Hopefully the clouds move in sooner. One last frost bullet to dodge.
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May have to call this the summer of 26-27 since it may carry right on over to next year.
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@BxEngineis jumping for joy that the HRRR is not on that list.
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https://x.com/i/status/2054307314606186925 No more Nams, sref, href, etc come Aug 31. Rrfs taking over.
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More likely to be a back-and-forth summer with fluctuating ridge placement but that’s just my very amateur opinion.
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it's going to be a loonnnngg summer for them
- Today
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@high risk NAM retirement is official now?? August 31?
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This month will End up solidly AN all across New England and the kooks and ACATT left with dicks flipping in warm winds
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It's official... The NAM, 3km NAM, SREF, HREF and HiresW will all be discontinued on Aug 31st. The RRFS and REFS will be implemented on the same date. The HRRR and RAP will survive for now, but they're on borrowed time.
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I brewed a couple of beers today. Well, I started brewing a sour on Sunday, but it needed to "sour" for a couple days. But I finished it today and now working on a Black Eye (Susan) PA. Reading the talk in the other threads of big temperatures coming and I'm starting to get that "it's almost summer" vibe. That means it's almost time for three months of getting buzzed, turning on Jaws, and then falling asleep. I've seen the second half of that movie about 30 times, but the first half at least 200.
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Picked up 0.03" from some very light rain showers. Up to 0.20" for the month.
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May '05 rolls on
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The question this summer is will we get any tropical influence or be shut out once more. I think we've had one storm in the past 4-5 years influence us with is far below normal Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jns2183 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Very rarely do they last more than 48 hours Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk -
Much of this week will see temperatures top out in the lower and middle 60s. Additional showers are possible on Thursday as a warm front moves northward. It will turn noticeably warmer during the weekend. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 80° on Saturday and especially Sunday. The warmth will likely continue into early next week. In the long-range, there has been a shift in the guidance toward a near or somewhat warmer than normal second half of May. The probability of a warmer than normal second half of May has increased. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.9°C for the week centered around May 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.50°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C. El Niño conditions are rapidly developing and will likely be in place in the next few weeks. The SOI was -11.78 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.980 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 50% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 63.2° (near normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
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I wish this cool weather pattern could persist longer, but we are what we are. The heat and humidity will ramp up this weekend into next week. It better bring some damn legit rain.
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2026-2027 Strong/Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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For several days I’d been looking for a chance to get out for my next ski tour, but it wasn’t until yesterday that the weather and my schedule lined up for an outing – or at least I thought the weather had lined up. I headed toward Stowe in the morning, since that was supposed to be the sunniest part or the day. I left our place in Waterbury under sunny skies and temperatures in the mid-50s F, but as headed north, clouds began to appear, and they were thicker and darker around Mt. Mansfield. Eventually, I saw that there were obvious rain/snow shafts around the mountain, and by the time I pulled into the main parking lot, I was hit with a maelstrom of wet snow and graupel. It was amazing to think that over a distance of less than 10 miles I’d gone from clear skies and temperatures in the 50s F to heavy snow falling, but that’s what you get in the Northern Greens, and that’s the power of Mt. Mansfield. I was looking for a relatively short ski tour, and the highest availability of lower-elevation snow was definitely on the terrain below The Nose. The North Slope trail is often a good bet for these types of late season outings, but yesterday, Hayride seemed to offer better snow availability. That’s always a fun feature of these later spring days – you get different terrain options each spring based on how the snowmaking was done and how the weather patterns treated the snow. With the snow falling at the beginning of my tour, I debated putting on my shell for the start of the ascent, but the precipitation quickly began to subside, and before long I was starting to see patches of blue sky around the mountain. By the time I began my descent, the weather was back to more of what you’d expect on a nice spring day in the mountains. Even with the snowfall, the temperatures hadn’t fallen too far, so the snow was staying soft and springlike. The snowpack that’s out there now has seen a lot of spring temperature cycling by this point, so the quality of the corn was quite good, and the only places to avoid were areas where the snow was ground up or bumpy due to previous vehicle traffic or weird melting patterns. The snowpack isn’t continuous anywhere down near the base of the lifts, but you get into some good long areas of coverage just a few hundred vertical feet up. I’ve been using a new Dakine Poacher 22L ski pack for touring over the past month or two, but I’ve been able to continue skinning for ascents so far this spring, so yesterday was my first chance to try it out for actually carrying skis. Prior to this pack, for years I’d been ski touring with my Dakine Sequence pack, which is specialized for carrying both skis and photo gear. But the volume of the Sequence is around 33L, and for a while I’d been wanting something smaller for days when I’m not carrying multiple camera lenses. I was looking for something in the 20-25L range, and the Poacher 22L really fit the bill. It’s been a while since I’d shopped for a ski pack, and I had no idea of the dozens and dozens of top notch companies that make them now – there clearly must be quite a market for them. I looked around at many brands, but the Poacher 22L won out when I saw the video Dakine put together that thoroughly covered the redesign they did in 2022 – it just ticked so many boxes for me that it was the obvious choice. Plus, our family has various Dakine ski packs, and Dakine definitely knows their stuff when it comes to making a practical pack for frontcountry, sidecountry, and/or backcountry skiing. I won’t do a full review here, but I’ll mention a few key features that I finally got to try out during yesterday’s outing. A nice feature that many of the newer ski packs are adding is dual position helmet carry – instead of just being able to carry your helmet directly on the back of your pack, there is now an additional carry position available at the top of the pack using the same helmet carrier. They figured out that when you go with diagonal ski carry (which is definitely my preferred positioning), your skis and helmet are horribly in the way of each other when the helmet is on the back of the pack, so the top carry position gets the helmet out of the way of the skis. As one might expect, I tried out the top carry mode yesterday, and it’s a huge improvement – the skis still push on the helmet a bit, but it’s a monumentally better position. The top position does block access to some of the upper pockets, but the option is there when you need it. The next feature I was able to get a sense for yesterday was the internal frame they have in the pack. It’s really just a stiff wire that runs around inside the pack, so it’s extremely light, but it adds an incredible degree of rigidity to the pack. When I initially got the pack I was thrown off by how stiff the whole structure was relative to similar ski packs I’ve owned and used, but then I realized where they were going – if you’ve ever carried skis on an empty backpack with no frame, you know what I mean. Skis can bounce all over the place on empty packs with no support, and this wire frame setup totally takes care of that issue. Finally, I even tried flipping my pack around and opening it in access mode with skis on the pack, and that even worked. Dakine is well known for their back access zippers that let you get to the contents of the pack without taking the pack off – you just slide your shoulders out of the straps, spin the pack around to the front, open the back zipper, and the pack works like a table/desk in front of you with access to your gear. The internal wire produces an even more stable platform, and I’ve tried it for photography on several outings this spring and been very impressed. I’ve used this feature on other Dakine packs, but the stiffness with the internal wire was remarkable, and I even tried it with my skis still on the pack to see if it was practical. I think it’s best if you rest the tips of your skis on the snow when you do it, but I was surprised at how well it handled all that extra weight of the skis. Anyway, as a first trip with the pack in which I actually carried skis, I figured I’d send along some impressions for others that might be wondering about the real world utility for some of these ski pack features.
