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  2. forkyfork
    warmer version of 97/98
  3. Brian5671
    Exactly. I don't have high hopes, but see what happens. We had 2 good ones in a row-so whatever we get is gravy in my book
  4. snowman19
    This system is now self-sustaining, positive feedback with the standing wave and is just going to continue strengthening, warming and maintaining the convection/westerly flow
  5. ma blizzard
    first week of august trending warmer
  6. forkyfork
    "the heat feels less hot later in summer" is something i've never heard a normal person say
  7. Chinook
    what a weird tropical storm surface low by Louisiana convective storm far south
  8. FPizz
    I was kidding obv. I take things 2 weeks at a time. It might be a consistent 2 weeks of garbage come winter, but we will see.
  9. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    PrecisionRX Pharmacy: PrecisionRX Pharmacy - cialis for sale
  10. nrgjeff
    Strong tropical forcing can disrupt the PV. However if the Arctic is mild there's less cold air to deliver. My thinking is a couple sharp but very brief cold snaps. Otherwise split flow may included a wonky northern stream but steady southern stream.
  11. nrgjeff

    ENSO

    nrgjeff replied to jaxjagman's topic in Tennessee Valley

    El Nino and its atmospheric response seem to be locking in and digging in. Of course we'll still have ebb and flow like anytime. For example August may start with a heat burst to the East coast that gets us. Otherwise it's mainly just the Mid South getting baked (early next week again).
  12. donsutherland1
    For an illustration on how Phoenixville has changed over time (Source: Berkeley Earth): These changes mean that simply using raw data across time creates an "apples-to-oranges" comparison when it comes to data integrity. Notice the larger difference in warming trend between the raw data and region and much closer figure between the breakpoint-adjusted data and the region. That's very close to the observed warming for Chester County and Pennsylvania for the 1895-2025 period: The raw data (0.11°C/century) is the clear outlier. That divergence from the regional and statewide data illustrates the flaws in treating a station's record identically despite breakpoints, station moves, etc.
  13. cbmclean
    "Only" 2.70 so far in Wilson. Looking at the radar, looks unlikely I make it to 3.00", which would be a bit of a disappointment. Still great though. At 4.39" for the week and 6.47" for the month
  14. dendrite
    Yeah probably not a lot of swampazz this summer. Just a lot of 50s and 60s dews from now through Jan.
  15. A-L-E-K
    currently riding this ridge roller being sold by the goofus want to believe classic
  16. ValpoVike
    I picked up 0.42" on Tuesday night about 30 minutes after the start of the dry lightning storm, and 0.80" on Wednesday. Today looks like a repeat of yesterday, so really pleased so far. After today, it looks like a couple of days of limited moisture up here then rain chances go up again Sunday thru most of next week.
  17. Brian5671
    15-16 incoming...hopefully we get a blizzard during the 3 week winter
  18. Brian5671
    so much for your epic torch July
  19. PhiEaglesfan712
    I think she's retiring.
  20. Mikeymac5306
    Kinda off topic but I saw Cecily Tynan post she has big personal news to announce at 6PM. Wonder if she is going to ABC News?
  21. Today
  22. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Yea…any sustained heater is more towards mid-Aug and by then we are on the backside so the bite isn’t as hard anyway.
  23. John1122
    I take that back, it moved from drought 1 to abnormally dry and it didn't count the 1.3 inches of combined rain I got Monday and yesterday, since it was actual measured rain through 8am Monday.
  24. John1122
    This week's drought monitor didn't really change for my area despite around 3.5 inches of rainfall since it last came out. Surprised by that. Remained abnormally dry.
  25. John1122
    I only got about .4 yesterday. 15 miles away it was 10x that. After 15 inches in 30 days, I'm kind of glad to have missed it. My yard is out of control and it hasn't been dry a single 24 hour period in seemingly over a week.
  26. 40/70 Benchmark
    I don't agree with a -PNA winter season.
  27. mahantango#1
    NWS State College: So far this year, we have issued more Severe Thunderstorm + Tornado Warnings than any time in our office's history! 238 SVR + TOR warnings year-to-date surpasses 2019 (232) and 1998 (230). We are GRATEFUL for this ongoing stretch of tranquil weather. #PAwx
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