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  2. Yeah lately it hasn't been too bad locally; though earlier this year seemed more than usual
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  4. That’s a bit surprising as it has looked like the south metro has done well today, minus the large hail reports of course. I was hoping that you and Majya picked up some good totals today. Up here, much more gentle rainfall with .16” so far. Not going to complain as we have been doing well since the first monsoon rounds a few weeks ago. In fact, we have seen a resurgence of a green up which is unusual.
  5. Anybody else have little mosquitoes this year? I know it's the localized. Can't even feel the effers land on you.
  6. I'm all for a repeat of the August autumn of 1986. Sick and tired of the endless humidity.
  7. MJO is really booking it this year. I've read WQBO can speed it up too, so that's a little interesting. But man this thing is really flying. I feel like all that's going to do is constructively interfere with this el nino more often. Seems like this would just encourage the nino to take center stage even more so. Not that it needs that..
  8. The past couple of days, the dewpoints have been falling to the mid-60s at night and rising to 70 during the day, the reverse of the normal pattern. Getting tired of seeing 70 DPs every single day.
  9. Above normal temperatures will persist through tomorrow. Highs will generally top out in the middle and upper 80s. Cooler air will move into the region to close of the week. As a result, the weekend and early next week will likely see highs mainly in the lower 80s. Some showers or a thundershower could precede a renewed push of cooler air late Sunday or Sunday night. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 6. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.72°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.15°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -5.95 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.165 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 57% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.5° (0.4° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.
  10. Agreed. I feel it will be a "delayed" winter but not denied in the end.
  11. Yesterday
  12. It's going to snow, or it won't, my man
  13. I know the gentleman who created that app. It's fantastic and my go to for a quick forecast and obs check. The Premium version is pretty inexpensive as well, and you get a good amount of extras and customization.
  14. Looks like more of a classic North and West type Winter.
  15. Cool! How long were you there? I spent a day there while on a cruise. Did a helicopter tour up into Waimea. Pilot was sick. Top 5 tours I’ve ever done.
  16. They're all in Morgan Run on the trees
  17. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  18. Nice, I assume this is Kilauea? What a surreal place to visit.
  19. Noisy storm knocked out power and Internet for a while. 2 rounds of rain today at the house.
  20. This is the first year down in Calvert that I've seen lantern flies. Fortunately, the vast majority that I've seen have just been the leftover wings littered on my driveway. Apparently the birds find them tasty, which means I think the threat of them is somewhat overblown, luckily.
  21. Must be an elevated dry layer amid the ambient sounding
  22. For this winter, the long range models show an active jet stream (storm track) with above normal precipitation. I am expecting a lot of storms to track.... rain/ ice/ snow TBD. With a little luck, hopefully everyone cashes in!
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