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Wife said we topped out at 2 inches new snow at the house and from her pics a few mins ago the rain hasn't even melted that yet in the driveway, so hoping this ends up a net gain. Another good band of rain to roll through it looks like then hopefully a Dryslot. Not sure we've lost much snow at all here at the office in Auburn since I got here at 8am.

If we can actually get to the progression shown on the Euro/EuroAi regarding blocking, virtually every time we have seen that pattern, it's produced a snow/winter precip event, or multiples of them.

Friday ….. Saturday ….. Monday, As always …

Check the ensembles

In Norwich Ct solid 3 all white. Not a dream

BUF gone wild KBUF 291954Z 24027G62KT 1/8SM R23/2000V4500FT +SN BLSN BKN008 BKN013 OVC020 M03/M05 A2934 RMK AO2 PK WND 22062/1945 SLP941 P0000 T10331050 $

EPS retrogrades the NAO ridge throughout the second week of January as it builds the PNA/EPO domain ridging. As the NAO fades, that would be another classic window for a coastal storm around the 12-13th.

Pack looks to survive here.. what's left will be frozen solid

In Norwich Ct no all a dream here solid 3 left all white no cheese

Zzzzz

C’mon Garth…you’re starting to sound like somebody who lives east of you. All we can do is look at what’s being shown (which is pretty decent to say the least), and hope something comes of it. That’s all it ever is. And it hasn’t been a horrible December at all for a lot of places. Pretty wintry for sure. Hang tough bro.

Yup. That's snow 10/10 times.

Actually, today's euro run reminds me of January 2015. Really good setup but nothing came of it. Frustration levels were at an all-time high on this forum. Until....

I just can't explain the second half and feel confident going into the playoffs. But here we are. Win against Washington next week which should be a given and Bears lose to the Lions.....then we have two home playoff games. (2nd seed) The table is set for them to succeed but man they are wishy-washy at times...

For our region I think it was. Most have been at or under 1/8” radial. Lurker didn’t have a lot of ice there…looked like about 0.1” radial. You have to separate out what was forecast from what we received. The forecast I saw last night had nearly a half inch of ice at MHT and CON and social media weenies were losing their minds about the grid collapsing. There’s been no accretion since sunrise outside of 1500’+ elevations. We’re just rotting at 32-33° as usual. Now don’t get me wrong…it’s a high end mess out there with all of the liquid on top of icy surfaces. I don’t think there’s enough in the trees to cause an issue with freeze up and winds…maybe some isolated outages at most. It has the look of ice that will break up and rain out of the branches when the winds pick up a bit. I wish we could just get 2-3 hours of a saturated 36-38 to expose some of the dirt and rocks in my driveway. At least we got a nice drink for the drought.

The historic January of 2025 looking better isn’t surprising as it had nearly wall to wall intense cold along with major winter storms in the SE and thus is always going to be hard to match in a general sense. The Euro Weeklies were much colder in the SE US for Jan at this point. Edit: But otherwise: 12Z ensemble means update for late week 2: good news overall for E US cold and also snow lovers: 1. GEFS H5 improved somewhat vs 0Z/6Z with a slightly higher PNA though it’s still a -PNA. The best news is that it’s significantly colder with BN temps and it’s snowier in much of the region. 2. EPS is very similar to the 0Z, which makes that good news because it’s chilly along with a nice +PNA. No caving whatsoever to the ugly 0Z/6Z GEFS.

2:45. Temp 38 just a little bit left

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Never hit 33. Currently 32.5.

Temp is up to 43 here Winds already gusting to 35mph

looks just like the temp graph at mi casa, except my high temp was 32.7 (so far). Been rotting at 32.2-32.4 all day.

2:36 pm

Yeah as others have noted if every op run doesn’t show an HECS for their backyard they panic, but yeah we have the pattern in good shape going into prime climo so let’s just see if we can something to hit.

It's too soon to pin down events or dates, but not too soon to be looking at these: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2025122912/gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_eu_40.png