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But what do you think about the possibility that this also has some tropical characteristics making it subtropical?

hope the euro is right for Thurs morning. going to need it

How did I know you would elicit a wrothless contribution from you.....let me ask you this...say you have a routine that consists of making disparaging remarks to winter enthusiasts on a weather forum while taking a $hit each day...I know, not like any loser would do that, but humor me. Each day, you notice prior to flushing that the log that represents the culimation of your efforts is brown; but this one day it's actually blue. While it's not remarkable that there is yet another log in the toilet after trolling 40/70 online, would it be notable that saig log was blue instead of brown? The dog sh cfs is consistently warm, bro. Ponder that while harassing AMWX members from the $hitter tomrrow-

It’s still clearly baroclinic—attached to a frontal boundary. You can see it clearly in the visible satellite. Same impacts as a TS, but just not tropical.

Jennettes pier is gusting to 65, sustained at 42!!! (MPH)

Euro has rain at 300 hours so I guess we can look forward to that

Just give me until 12:00 pm in Poolesville.

I believe Wdrag's analysis is on the mark with rainfall potential for parts of the area. The system responsible is an impressive and strengthening coastal low (non-tropical). The guidance can sometimes be too sharp with the cutoff of precipitation. It wouldn't surprise me to see Atlantic City wind up with 0.50"-1.00" to perhaps 1.50" of rain and NYC wind up with around 0.25". I do think we'll see amounts fall off sharply north and west of New York City. In terms of outcomes, Atlantic City and Georgetown have already received more rainfall than had been expected on the guidance for the 6-hour period that will end at 18z.

True. In this case though, keep in mind that this wasn’t even given a 10% chance in any TWO to become just a subtropical depression. The TWOs cover both tropical and subtropical depression+ development potential.

Keep in mind that this wasn’t even given a 10% chance in any TWO to become just a subtropical depression. The TWOs cover both tropical and subtropical depression+ development potential.

There's a pill for that.

Low of 57. Any rain we can squeeze out tonight or tomorrow would be much obliged.

go on....

By rafting, do you mean walking 10 miles down a river towing a raft behind you?

Can you raft?

They are hyping for likes, follows, clout, retweets and views, as per usual. If just the NE PAC was warm and it was cold in the western North PAC around Japan (2013/2014) then yes that would be a +PDO alignment and would have that correlation. We don’t have that

I noticed that after the bridge, but went away towards HYA. I was told that is due to the cicadas. They peal away the bark of new growth to lay eggs or nest or whatever and that kills the new growth. So that's why you see the edges with the brown leaves.

Is Saharan dust/dry air not included in this factor list because of its difficulty to forecast long term? It seems like that's been a significant limiting factor for many storms in the past few years, especially in the early season

Looks like healthy radar for south of DC - hoping for some scraps Baltimore north

People get mad when the NWS names slop for “inflating the numbers.” Now it’s the opposite? Tough job

Another 1947 for Maine? PWM had only 2.00" total rain for August/September that year, then had no measurable for October 1-28. Bad things happened.

The cfs is dog sh

maybe the pac jet will relax this winter

Fingers crossed for the stuff on the eastern shore holding together and crossing the bay.