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What time do you think we need these models to hold through to start getting legit excited? My benchmark is inside tomorrow 12z runs as The Storm That Shall Not Be Named fell apart five days before it occurred so I'll wait till tomorrow.

You should check again.

Strengthening LP tracks up toward Charlotte, placing us on the NW quad and 850s crashing on the west side of the Apps.

Easier pull 30 years ago.

The NBM ticking up is concerning on a lot of levels.

How are we looking for wind? Pretty strong high up there and pressure gradient, should be breezy you would think.

Ok stop now…you thought you wouldn’t getting anything Friday night, and Saturday afternoon you started whining again, and then you jacked. You never ever learn. This will waffle…let’s see where we are on Thursday?

4.8" 1" on Saturday & 3.8" on Sunday

If anyone wants a flush hit from the GFS, 312 should make them giddy. Hate that I have to say it, but we are just having fun while eyein the prize. No "its happening", till....its happening.

You know you have the upside of something out of the KU book when they show up. Need to see it for it to be possible!

Iphone weather app says 12-15” for next Sunday. Can always adjust up if needed.

12z GEFS

12z gefs much improved: 6z: Now please let the ukie/cmc/aifs verify!

Ai Ens

Remind me what that is?

I hope the euro crashes the mf server in a few

The cmc doesn’t look that great to me. I bet that’s a lot of sand on the northern edge. And it also could be under doing the strength of the cold press. I don’t know, I hate having to rely on certain features to move or come in less impressive.

A solid 6" over the weekend. 3.5" and 2.5". We take.

These always trend N.

That period keeps showing up on the models.

Randy has a word i think

Things are on a razors edge dependent upon the energy in the southwest (how much comes out) and the strength of the high incoming. Unfortunately, modeling is still unsure how to handle these features.

Yea. I won't get excited till Thursday. But it's good to see it showing up. Tons of potential from the 25 onwards. CMC got a storm 3 days later an then another not far after that. Very active

That wasn’t supposed to get close to SNE either but she kept on creeping north. Doesn’t mean this will, but it’s a distinct possibility.