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Today back in 2016 held a different vibe n GC.

Wdym? All I was saying that I’m waiting until the weeklies are more consistent for at least a few days instead of flip flopping. Only then I’ll think there’s some credibility to their forecasts.

Yup RRFS has now joined the NAM rankings .. although seems like every model is flip flopping around with this one .. I think you just paint a 1-3” across all the northeast and see what happens lol

Is this year 3 of drought? Before this dry period it was wet for a few years but that didn't help snow totals lol

Can you please REMOVE me from THAT Xmas card list?? LOL..thanks in advance!!

This has to be the most extreme -WPO +EPO dipole that we have seen in December. Lead to the really odd ridge out West with the -PNA for such a strong -WPO. Record Pacific Jet and historic flooding in the Pacific Northwest.

Years

We can’t seem do get out of this liquid drought. Stj has been dead for months

Yeah that continues to be the period to keep an eye on. Various op runs have had a snow/mix event for the MA/NE the last few days. Weakish signal on the Ens runs.

Doesn't look like anything worth looking at the next 10 days, unfortunately. Can't complain about this December though.

Wafting too much TB there. We ogle at the 06z RRFS. Still see no change in my thoughts 24hrs ago.

Still a window

Hunga Tonga volcano assessment report is out. Large effect on stratosphere but relatively small effect at surface: Professor Maycock said, "The Report shows that although water vapor is a greenhouse gas, Hunga had a net cooling effect overall and did not cause the record level of global warming observed in 2023 and 2024. This is a very important finding as understanding what caused the recent surge in global warming is a priority for the climate science community." https://phys.org/news/2025-12-international-reveals-atmospheric-impact-hunga.html https://juser.fz-juelich.de/record/1049154/files/Hunga_APARC_Report_full.pdf?version=1

Yeah that 00Z run was completely cracked out and unrealistic. We had a similar type nuisance event almost to the day 4 years ago, Dec 24th, 2021. Similar NW-SE track and qpf trajectory, though interior MA should certainly see more snow than that one. I think we're all just tired of these and foaming at the mouth for a region wide warning event to satiate our snowless appetites.

Mehrry Christmas…

Zzzzz

Well good luck to all. Gonna be done here for awhile. Merry Christmas and hopefully Santa brings a girthy weenie down the chimney to you all.

My weather underground is showing 6.6” snow between Friday and Sunday. So some model is showing something

That model backed off at 6z. Toss 00z.

Meh

Yeah, Christmas 2020 was very rough for the ski resorts with the fastest loss of a near 40”+snowpack around BGM on record for late December. Climatological Data for BINGHAMTON (GREATER AP), NY - December 2020 2020-12-17 22 15 18.5 -9.2 46 0 1.69 26.4 39 2020-12-18 22 8 15.0 -12.4 50 0 0.00 0.0 31 2020-12-19 24 3 13.5 -13.6 51 0 0.00 0.0 29 2020-12-20 31 21 26.0 -0.9 39 0 0.14 1.8 26 2020-12-21 36 29 32.5 5.9 32 0 0.02 T 25 2020-12-22 34 27 30.5 4.1 34 0 0.01 0.1 22 2020-12-23 36 22 29.0 2.8 36 0 0.00 0.0 20 2020-12-24 50 34 42.0 16.1 23 0 1.55 0.0 19 2020-12-25 53 20 36.5 10.8 28 0 0.80 0.8 1 Data for Binghamton Area, NY (ThreadEx) Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1969-12-25 18 -8 0.16 2.4 14 1969-12-26 25 16 0.93 13.6 18 1969-12-27 21 16 0.14 4.9 32 1969-12-28 24 20 0.01 1.0 33 1969-12-29 26 16 0.00 0.0 29 1969-12-30 29 24 T T 24 1969-12-31 27 9 0.31 2.5 20 1970-01-01 19 5 0.00 0.0 19 1970-01-02 17 1 T T 18 1970-01-03 26 13 0.09 1.7 18 1970-01-04 20 9 0.01 0.3 18 1970-01-05 27 8 0.01 0.3 17 1970-01-06 24 17 T 0.1 18 1970-01-07 20 12 T T 18 1970-01-08 12 -1 T 0.3 18 1970-01-09 5 -7 T T 18 1970-01-10 17 5 0.06 2.1 19 1970-01-11 23 13 0.01 0.2 20 1970-01-12 22 14 0.15 2.3 21 1970-01-13 24 15 0.05 2.0 23 1970-01-14 15 7 0.02 0.6 24 1970-01-15 12 2 T T 24 1970-01-16 35 7 0.00 0.0 23

Finally looked back at Fridays stats for Tamaqua (my backyard). Max wind, as I mentioned earlier, was well below most places due to houses and nearby mountains sheltering my neighborhood. High temp: 57 Low temp: 24 Wind gust: 16.2 mph Rainfall: 1.26"

That has some merit

Let's do this.

6z GFS very meh