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Some of you people are truly sick in the head.
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While I’m at DCA in the TSA line probably lol
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thank you for sharing! I can't and won't argue any of that. And as I mentioned I think twice in my post, recency bias is something that I can struggle with. Sounds like our perception/opinion for the "true" winter months of December through February are quite similar, it seems like March is the month we have differing viewpoints of. As you mentioned, it can and hopefully will be a great discussion. -
2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
^ Stratosphere warming really busted with lagged -NAO probability.. for the 2nd year in a row in March. The November one worked though -
This was a fail. Those earlier predictions of going negative was wrong. This put an end to any winter threats.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I can't speak for the Philly forum, but I enjoy your posts much more than some of the new additions to our forum. -
hmm yeah
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It's a good thing the season opener series is in Cinnci, huh
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It’s obnoxiously cold today.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVblizzard replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
I don’t want to merge at all. I like this subforum even if it isn‘t as active as the others. If it’s a boring weather pattern like this why do we even need posts every few minutes like the NYC people? -
Father time is undefeated.
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Yeah ... I guess. It is about as objectively/meteorologically impressive, as it is becoming methodically apoplectic to bear witness too.
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You mean just pack, or including piles? I still have a couple of small mounds left at either side of the end of the driveway.
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March 27 1946: A record high of 78 is set at Redwood Falls. For Friday, March 27, 2026 1890 - An outbreak of tornadoes occurred in the Ohio Valley. One of the tornadoes struck Louisville KY killing 78 persons and causing four million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1950 - A three day snowstorm in the High Plains Region finally came to an end. The storm produced 34 inches of snow in 24 hours at Dumont, located in the Black Hills of South Dakota, and a total of 50 inches. (David Ludlum) 1984 - The temperature at Brownsville, TX, soared to 106 degrees, and Cotulla, TX, reached 108 degrees, equaling the March record for the U.S. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - The second blizzard in less than a week hit eastern Colorado and western Kansas. Snowfall totals ranged up to 24 inches at San Isabel CO. Winds gusted to 50 mph at Goodland KS. The high winds piled snow into massive drifts, closing roads for days and killing thousands of cattle. Snow drifts thirty feet high were reported in northwest Kansas. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Temperatures rose quickly, then dropped just as rapidly, in the central U.S. Eight cities reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the 80s. In southeastern Colorado, the temperature at Lamar CO reached 91 degrees. Strong southerly winds gusted to 63 mph at Gage OK. Strong northwesterly winds, gusting to 61 mph at Goodland KS, then proceeded to usher much colder air into the area. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in the south central U.S. Two tornadoes were reported, and there were 77 other reports of large hail and damaging winds. Baseball size hail was reported at Willow OK and Bartlesville OK. Twenty-six cities in the central and eastern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date, including Yankton SD with a reading of 84 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Temperatures dipped into the teens and single numbers in the northeastern U.S. Scranton PA tied their record for the date with a morning low of 18 degrees. Temperatures warmed into the 60s and lower 70s in the Pacific Northwest. The afternoon high of 65 degrees at Astoria OR equaled their record for the date. (The National Weather Summary)
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Hazy sun noon-2 PM pushed the temp to 48 before the clouds closed back in. GYX day crew upped QPF here from <0.10" to 0.10-0.25. Should've stuck with the lower call - got 0.02". Penobscot Valley towns reporting 1/4-1/2". Different air this AM after the CF, sunny with chilly wind. At 10 AM FVE 10° with WCI -7.
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It will be compared to tomorrow!
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It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
JakkelWx replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
- Snow in DJFM (all four months), can't remember the last time that happened. - The january 25th storm chase to Harriman NY with single digit temperatures the entire time and nearly 2 feet of snow, plus record cold after and a bulletproof snowpack back home Detractor: 1st coastal bomb miss in early Feb - Blizzard of mid-late feb dumping largest snow since 2010 & surpassing 2016 by an inch or two - Crazy temp swing from 70s in the morning to snow 6 hours later - The most frozen i've ever seen the ponds and tributaries around here (2015 comes close) Overall an A- -
Decent soaking overnight, 0.70" recorded for a liquid total so far this month of 3.98". Temp was nearly 70 at midnight and currently sits near 40 and still falling.
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today is a nice day!
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2026-2027 El Nino
Typhoon Tip replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Of course... Processes and forcing et al are still identifiable. But one would not be correct if they believed there is nothing observably different - in other words, these correlation failures is/are an emerging over time (on setting) aspect. There would be no need for RONI if that were not the case - just one example. The HC is expanding though (... get Ray going on that, he loves it! hahaha ). I'd also be a little leery in using that SST layout and "blaming" NINA outright. It seems pretty clear that the PDO is being augmented by a longer term pacific warm anomaly that's been meandering between the west and east Basin now for years actually - though it's been pretty packed toward Japan more recently. Not sure what the status is while typing this tl/dr paragraph but it is what it is. The mid latitudes are perhaps sucking in and stowing heat - which if we consider the fact that the Earth's oceans have actually absorbed ~90% of the total GW quotient since the turn of the IR ...that seems intuitive if not academically an echo of a longer term state. -
Wrecked
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It's time to grade Winter 2025-26(now that it's actually over)
AlexD1990 replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
The blizzard puts it as an A-. Largest snowfall since 2010, howling winds, drifts. The snowcrete storm in January stuck around long than any other snow event I can remember. November & December were cold enough to feel seasonally appropriate. The huge 50 degree cold front with snow to end it all in March. The 1st coastal bomb that missed and only hit part of NC was tough to lose, and I wish we had had more storms overall/into March, but this was a very solid winter overall by my standards. Not many change to rain while DC get buried events, which is always a plus in my book. -
Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Mount Joy Snowman replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This is fair, and as you've said, it's all subjective. I would go a bit higher though. I believe you've talked before about grading on the "how often does it look and feel like winter" scale, which I completely agree with, and for me this winter just looked and felt a lot like what winter is supposed to be. Even going back to some of the cold around the Thanksgiving time period and then the relentless cold through the first half of December and again from mid-January through mid-February. The staying power of the snowpack during that stretch was something to behold, plus a number of days where snow was at least in the air. While I agree my 22.3" of snow was nothing overly impressive, it just felt like more, and given expectations and some recent winters, I was pleased. Now, is it fair to grade on that type of curve? Probably not but everything is relative. You are right that March has been mostly a dud but there have still been some very potent cold fronts that have brought about some cool events and it hasn't lacked for feeling like March, despite the positive temp anomaly (some of that may have to do with those aforementioned midnight highs distorting our daily summaries ha). In any case, I thought it was a rock-solid winter pretty much from start to finish -- one I would sign up for again next year if I could right now -- and for that reason I'm going with a B+. Great discussion. -
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Mostly piles here except for some areas that receive less sun. It’s brutal out there this morning. Down to 29.9° after a 2am high of 45.6°.
