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any luck? What phone or o/s?
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The heat that's returning doesn't look like anything abnormal. For my area it looks like 87-92 for about 5 days before the low 80's return. I'm glad there's no sign of 98/78 type crap. I'll take no rain from now until my cannabis plants are ready to harvest in October lol
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I would strongly advise against using telescoping hurricane models, such as HAFS, or the now depreciated HWRF model, until an actual system has formed. These models will key in on spurious or hallucinated rotation to “justify” kicking off the telescoped run, thus will almost always be extremely overdeveloped for nascent systems. Not saying it’s not right, but the odds are stacked against that run, especially for a depreciated model like HWRF
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2025 Obs/Discussion
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Hurricane Agnes's topic in Philadelphia Region
I'm glad to inform you that the drought in my area ended around March 5. Although August has been dry, my area has experienced above precipitation for the previous 5 months (March-July). -
Cirrus here
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No doubt. It is starting to dump pretty good now though.
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No there’s not. Not in Nova Scotia. Its very dry but none burning. I think there’s a couple in Newfoundland.
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Fortunately, the heaviest rain this morning appears to be missing MKE and the city, but additional rain is still likely.
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Sounds like you dodged a bullet there. Wow.
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Do you still believe that November is a winter month?????
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I get that sometimes. If I refresh the page, it often works after that.
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Near freezing out here in West Yellowstone. Less than 1” of rain since July 17th back home.
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Much easier for JFK to go 10 days with minimums staying at or above 70°. Number of Consecutive Days Min Temperature >= 70 for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 29 1980-07-16 through 1980-08-13 2 24 2013-07-01 through 2013-07-24 - 24 1995-07-13 through 1995-08-05 3 21 2010-07-05 through 2010-07-25 - 21 1988-07-28 through 1988-08-17 4 20 2023-07-03 through 2023-07-22 5 19 2020-07-18 through 2020-08-05 6 18 1999-07-17 through 1999-08-03 7 17 1984-08-01 through 1984-08-17 8 16 2025-07-06 through 2025-07-21 - 16 2003-08-01 through 2003-08-16 9 15 1979-07-23 through 1979-08-06 10 14 2024-07-05 through 2024-07-18 - 14 2022-07-13 through 2022-07-26 - 14 2016-08-08 through 2016-08-21 - 14 2005-08-02 through 2005-08-15 - 14 1972-07-14 through 1972-07-27 - 14 1969-07-28 through 1969-08-10 11 13 2012-06-29 through 2012-07-11 - 13 1983-07-28 through 1983-08-09 - 13 1978-08-06 through 1978-08-18 12 12 2019-07-27 through 2019-08-07 - 12 2016-07-21 through 2016-08-01 - 12 2015-07-25 through 2015-08-05 - 12 1993-07-04 through 1993-07-15 - 12 1955-07-16 through 1955-07-27 - 12 1952-07-13 through 1952-07-24 - 12 1949-07-12 through 1949-07-23 13 11 2021-08-17 through 2021-08-27 - 11 2020-07-05 through 2020-07-15 - 11 2009-08-16 through 2009-08-26 - 11 1994-07-25 through 1994-08-04 - 11 1973-08-27 through 1973-09-06 - 11 1970-07-24 through 1970-08-03 - 11 1959-08-12 through 1959-08-22 - 11 1955-08-13 through 1955-08-23 - 11 1953-08-27 through 1953-09-06 14 10 2022-08-03 through 2022-08-12 - 10 2011-07-17 through 2011-07-26 - 10 2007-07-26 through 2007-08-04 - 10 2006-07-26 through 2006-08-04 - 10 2005-07-14 through 2005-07-23 - 10 1993-08-25 through 1993-09-03 - 10 1991-07-17 through 1991-07-26 - 10 1987-07-19 through 1987-07-28 - 10 1983-07-12 through 1983-07-21 - 10 1971-09-03 through 1971-09-12 - 10 1959-08-27 through 1959-09-05 - 10 1949-08-03 through 1949-08-12
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Kansas on the low side is interesting
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Spring/Summer NAO roll forward, and +2 years after Solar Max also support a Winter +NAO at 0.2-3 correlation. I suspect we'll have the same deal as the last few years where the CPC NAO index will be positive, but the AO will be negative a lot of the time, with +500mb heights up near the Pole. -
Yes, I'll log out and try logging in again
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That was 10-22-79 when there weren’t trees over the NYC ASOS. The warm spots in NYC made it to 90°. One spot in NJ made it to 88°. So that 87° at SMQ last year was the warmest so late for that station. But just behind Plainfield for the state record. Data for October 22, 1979 through October 22, 1979 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NY NEW YORK LAUREL HILL COOP 90 NJ PLAINFIELD COOP 88 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 88 NJ CRANFORD COOP 87 NY NY WESTERLEIGH STAT IS COOP 87 NY WEST POINT COOP 86 CT STAMFORD 5 N COOP 86 CT DANBURY COOP 86 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 86
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Fires? Theres a ton up there