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These are the days I feel potential. It's the "all in" days that usually disappoint.

Just watched the entire portion about the Os. Pretty interesting stuff. I doubt Elias ever hires a manager that has any real credentials unless Rubenstein pushes for it. I'd love to get Buck back here but that would never happen with Elias in charge I agree with you that Rubenstein seems clueless and just seems to defers to Mike. Not a Healthy business model when everyone is just a yes man to the president of baseball ops

87/73 in Tamaqua at 10:30am...

I was pretty astonished in July that it was hovering at the freezing line and are indeed astonished now it remained that way through peak summer heating at the poles.

84/76.3 dews creepin, creeps dewin

Yeah from my memory it was usually a widespread event like you said..a huge line that occassionally held together. With those expansive TWC yellow severe watch polygons from Maine down to the mid atlantic. Nocturnal convection seemed more frequent too. Again, all just a memory..and wonder about any stats. I'm too lazy to do the digging

90/72 and 86/73 scortchah

Get after it. These are the dews of our lives.

Where’s that dude in CT who goes and hides when temps get above 70? Reminds me of that dude from the movie Powder.

It is 10:20 am and already 81 Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Perfect low temp, roughly matching dew

Ya I noticed it just weakens right as it enters Fairfield County, but looks impressive for Western Fairfield county

The closest examples I could find since the 50's (unless my eyes are deceiving me). 1983/84 region 1+2 stayed warm through at least early winter but was a La Nina at about -1ish status. 1986-1988 timeframe we had the double Nino event but they were about moderate to strong status before we cooled down. 1991-92 went to neutral and had a bit of a lagged 1+2, went cool neutral the following winter (92-93) and then 93-94 had a warm neutral. 1997-98 went pretty well into Nina mode but was west while Nino 1+2 remained neutral before tumbling at the end 98-99 winter. 2015-16 cooled through most regions while 1+2 warmed as we went into winter of 17/18 other areas being cool neutral. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ersst5.nino.mth.91-20.ascii Some correlation to a weaker Nina state but not necessarily the only outcome. It really I think depends just how the Nino state breaks down what will determine the following year. Would be interesting to look at the wind patterns for the transitions of each of these years. Edit: Again all this assuming the 1+2 does not exactly cool down which is something we will have to watch as we head into fall.

The only bright side to growing up and spending 29 years in South Carolina... You get used to bullshit like this

Its always cool to compare stats versus memory. But it does feel like we used to do much better with convection in the 90's then we have for quite some time..and by that I mean these elongated squall lines (or usually multiple) that would be draped from like Maine into the mid-Atlantic. I remember many times during the summer watching the weather channel and following the radar on the Local on the 8's and seeing these squall lines moving from NY/PA into SNE...and more times than not they would fizzle before reaching West Hartford But I also remember several times a summer getting really loud overnight thunderstorms and evenings where the sky would just be lit up from distant thunderstorms and it seemed like the lightning would just go on for hours. It seemed like every period of high heat/humidity not only came with thunderstorms but multiple instances and the overnight stuff. 1990's were the king of the squall lines (and into the early 2000's).

Dodging the main storms like a ninja again. We picked up .18 on scraps but its been amazing to see.

Thats a bold statement this far out. I have no clue why people do this every year.

I do have many of these distinct childhood memories of being at baseball games in the early to mid 90s and seeing a wall of cumulonimbus in the distance, as the sun fades under the horizon. A harbinger of actual severe storms. And also being under actual Severe Thunderstorm watches many times during the summer. Barely see anything like that now. I'd like to see some stats to justify my childhood memories.

Will be interesting. Like you said last night too, dewpoints will spike back up this evening. Something to also watch because that may boost sfc instability a bit more or even maintain, despite losing the sun. May yield some room to keep convection sfc based and maybe a wind threat continuing into the region. I think its encouraging seeing CAMs continuing with activity tonight, though I wouldn't expect them to handle it very well.

I remember that morning really well. It was one of the biggest weather events from 2006 to 2008. The only time a rotating wall cloud came right over my location in Long Beach. So NWS issued a tornado warning for my area due to how strong the rotation was on radar. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UPTON NY 650 AM EDT WED AUG 8 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON NY HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHERN QUEENS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... SOUTHWESTERN NASSAU COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... EASTERN KINGS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK... * UNTIL 715 AM EDT... * AT 644 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR CANARSIE... OR ABOUT NEAR CROWN HEIGHTS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... JAMAICA BY 700 AM... KENNEDY AIRPORT BY 705 AM... CEDARHURST BY 710 AM... WOODMERE...VALLEY STREAM...LYNBROOK AND ATLANTIC BEACH BY 715 AM. WHEN A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED BASED ON DOPPLER RADAR...IT MEANS THAT STRONG ROTATION HAS BEEN DETECTED IN THE STORM. A TORNADO MAY ALREADY BE ON THE GROUND...OR IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP SHORTLY. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...MOVE INDOORS AND TO THE LOWEST LEVEL OF THE BUILDING. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS. IF DRIVING...DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER A HIGHWAY OVERPASS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY OBSCURE THIS TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW IF YOU WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR IT COMING...IT MAY BE TOO LATE TO GET TO A SAFE PLACE.

Depression in Tolland

I thought the same. Weak s/w will cause some slight cooling aloft too. I did see some models on and off show convection tonight so it’s possible.

The HRRR may be a bit too aggressive with weakening that activity tonight. One big key I think will be how organized the cluster is as it develops across PA/NJ (does it develop a cold pool to sustain on?) and what we are looking at for MUCAPE. Kind of hard to see an organized cluster weaken if MUCAPE is still pushing 2000+ J

Clipper salvation winter 2026/2027