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I'm more worried about the next. Short term forecast for ERIN isn't even close to being accurate. If this was my profession, I'd be very careful declaring A FISH. The thrill is why and how? This we all know but the timing is off. My memory is terrible, years and named storms. I recall a tropical entity that miss (3) troughs, looped a couple of times just off NC.

How much do you have for the summer?

Coming up on the 35th anniversary here in less than two weeks. 60mph gust from the outflow of a cell that clipped to the north, rainless, then picked up a quick 8/10” as it filled in. Second cell incoming now, also pretty gusty.

And they eye fills in and disappears when doing so looks like Erin starts getting shoved WSW a bit definitely going through a cycle now. I wonder what track implications this may have down the road we shall see.

CVs are pretty but they’re the 10 at the party that’s too good for everyone.

The pressure has risen all the way up to 930 mb.

This could “possibly” be like that deal we had in I think 2001. We had a strong offshore cane and strong HP to north and it created huge pressure gradient . There were HWW for all of SNE. I remember it distinctly. Was sunny/ cirrus but winds ripped during the day . I may not have year right, but I’ve talked about that event in here before

What a waste

Best fish storm evah!

Hmm… No rain, but the wind field is massive on all guidance. Significant hit for Newfoundland too.

Say no more.

Correct. Not worried about their immediate safety, but the ferrys may stop running for 2-3 days and that alone causes some big issues out there.

I’m just razzing you hahaha. I’m excited for tracking though. This is a good appetizer.

I’d say direct impacts are still unlikely but if EURO is correct it wouldn’t surprise me to see tropical storm advisories hoisted and given the expected size and wind field of the storm wave run up and over wash are almost a guaranteed issue at this point. I was there last week with the full moon and nor Easter and there wasn’t any beach at all

0.0” from that. he is here he is there he is everywhere.

50+ mph gusts in northern BVI.

Absolutely frog strangling storm out there currently. It was so humid, I figured something had to give at some point.

Nice shots. There’s nothing like weather advancing over water.

"Meanwhile, dewpoints start off the week in the 40s and 50s meaning no high humidity to speak of, though dewpoints may creep up into the 60s briefly on Wednesday before drier air is once again pulled in behind the exiting tropical system"

I told you its coming For weenies in Hatteras

Possible NC12 overwash. NCDOT may canx some of the ferries too. The bold is my add:

I don’t mean cane or direct effects. But it will not be a Coc k / smoke week as has been advertised. Not straight thru anyway

Tell me about it. Half my family is on Ocracoke this week for vacation. Ferries are filling up quick.

The inverted troff to the north is going to be funneling winds into the Mid Atlantic coast. This could help push some waves onshore.

Oh yee of little faith.