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Like I said. Not their forecast. That's an experimental thing you can look at. Their expected snowfall is 7 and puts NYC in the 6-8 band and Upton just updated their warning to 6-9 inches. They aren't buying the euro. .

Why are folks so obsessed with what BOX does? They aren’t the official voice, and usually are always in catchup mode. Will anyone be shocked when they have warnings for all of CT tonight?

Same here in rockland which is bizarre since I’m 30 ish miles nw.

The overcast is rippin' here. Gusts 0-1 mph.

Yup, Upton bumped up totals (floor and ceiling for all) to 6" - 9" in latest discussion/warning

Euro AI keeps the 6/7 system down in N.C..

The 12z Euro really wants to get rid of the Aleutian high. By roughly 162, it pretty much begins the process of wiping it out within hours. The run ends w/ the EPO hooking into the NAO. Now, I am not saying that is gonna happen, but if that does...that is the gold standard.

it looked good for a while...smh. the primary ended up going to far north

How many inches so far?

Euro often too dry in these scenarios I think.

Euro looks great. Held serve.

Yep, this close in that’s ridiculous. You can’t call it 3-6”?

20.1/4.5

Confused ?

Updated Warning from Upton 6-9 inches for NYC

Exactly . People clinging to euro runs when it’s now cast time.

Like I said yesterday, models aren't going to pick up discrete threats in the Jan 5-12 timeframe until we get to New Years and that's why the models look dry and "boring". Only now the Euro shows something for Jan 6. It won't verify verbatim probably, but something is there. I didn't think it would show a threat this soon. OTOH, 12z GFS has 2-3 cutters (which probably won't verify verbatim either).

Might as well hold off on any more cave talk since we will have a clear answer in about 14 hours 26/3 - Mostly Cloudy

They're forecasting double that in western Mass.

There was some freezing rain here but just plain rain now. When the temp hovers near 32-33 instead of 31-32 makes a huge difference. The heaviest amounts were to my north. Really nothing but a gross day. Though I suppose its better than the 60 that was progged for today like 4 days ago.

If you were expecting a big snowstorm south of NYC from this particularly near Trenton and south I’m not sure what to say. There was very little to support that from what I’ve seen the last 48 hours. These storm types-SWFE or overrunning type storms correct north so many times at the end. That being said from here I’m following the short range models like the HRRR and radar trends.

It was fairly foggy the past few days but DVN held off on issuing a winter storm warning.

we get 3” while NYC gets 15” lol

Hartford now in WSW.

Well maybe. We just don’t know?