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  2. Ephesians2
    I think there's been a lot of "bad luck" the last few winters. Relative to what you'd expect with the overall pattern: 2017-18: underperformed (Dec and Jan produced very little for most of the forum) 2018-19: near expected 2020-21: MAJOR underperformance for most of the forum. 2021-22: near expected 2023-24: near expected 2024-25: slightly underperformed 2025-26: underperformed 2016-17, 19-20, and 22-23 were all awful seasonal patterns but you could argue they underperformed because they could have been like 4-8 inch seasonal totals, not total shutouts. Like even 2011-12 had a 7 inch fluke storm down here that missed DC. Hopefully we finally get the flukes to break in our favor this winter.
  3. SnowenOutThere
    I think the main round is initiating. The cells are already 20-30 kft cloud tops so the ML lapse rates aren’t killing their ability to blow up.
  4. CAPE
    Had a nice view of impressive towers driving home from storms that formed just to the east near the MD-DE border, along the sea breeze boundary moving northwestward.
  5. dailylurker
    Woooo.. New storms blowing up west of DC.
  6. AlexD1990
    same storm that prompted the earlier warning. storm has maintained rotation throughout the afternoon
  7. yoda
    Madison to Culpepper storms going up
  8. frd
    Dover DE Tornado warning
  9. Snowlover11
    Rip subway system if we get 6”
  10. Brian5671
    3K NAM is bad for the city up to 6 inches
  11. frd
    Is Mount Holly's website down ? https://www.weather.gov/phi/ I really hope not, but I can't get it to load.
  12. vortex95
    Got this in College Park MD a short time ago. @CoastalWx can't get anything remotely close to this in Weymouth this year!
  13. Stormlover74
    Radar lighting up
  14. Dan76
    Really slow
  15. WxUSAF
    Yeah it’s a car wash out there. Deluge. But not much else outside some thunder
  16. yoda
    Looks like @WxUSAF got a nice quick hit
  17. ineedsnow
    Semi interesting EPS run
  18. dailylurker
    Yeah. Looking at radar and satellite gives me hope. That outflow boundary near DC might be the focal point of new storms that effect PG and AA countries. I need some action. I'd love one training event.
  19. vortex95
    Darn those mid level winds! Does not push the precip downwind enough! However, legit supercell passed just N of College Park w/ a ragged wall cloud (pix through the window ).
  20. guinness77
    Looks like when you specifically look for a forecast for a location.
  21. weatherwiz
    I'd be curious if something similar has happened before...I would think it has (just not very common). This would be a good question for @OceanStWx I actually kind of like this and this falls in line with the new modifications to the SPC outlooks. As we become more knowledgeable in the area of severe weather and with advancements in technology and modelling I think it's a great idea to be able to try and narrow down areas of "greatest" potential within an overall larger area. I agree it can be confusing to emergency management and the public but this is where educating and communicating to emergency management and the public becomes critical.
  22. Stormlover74
    Looks like it
  23. vortex95
    It may well be still.
  24. guinness77
    NWS.gov down? Past the main page?
  25. dailylurker
    That's Glen Burnies next tornado. I should just drive up there lol
  26. Kevin Reilly
    Severe thunderstorm watch moved to a tornado watch SE Pa points South and southeast
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