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This thread is for forecast discussions and speculation regarding the upcoming winter.

Let's Go!!!!

He seems to do this every year. He understands that the holiday season is a high profile season due to travel and other activities. He understands the romantic power of a "white Christmas." Thus, he seizes upon the element of timing to pull emotional triggers and set a digital wildfire with his calls for a cold and often snowy Thanksgiving to Christmas. Almost certainly, the mention of snow will be made as the holidays draw closer to ensure maximum attention and to keep the digital fire burning. He also understands that memories are short-term. All the failed forecasts will be forgotten. They always are. Thus, he recycles his calls over and over again in what ultimately is a successful pursuit of clicks. In this social media game, "winning" is defined by clicks not accuracy. Having said this, La Niña winters can get off to a fast start. But with some exceptions, they fade as the forcing shifts.

- I predicted 139 ACE in the contest before the season started. -There's still a long way to go based on it being La Niña and also considering that La Niña recent seasons have been more backended than in the past. -IF ACE ends up low, I’ll give you kudos. If not I hope you’ll be humble and admit you were wrong.

Based on early looks, we should have opportunities for them. Normal caveats apply down here in SEvilles tho. Take what we can get.

The GFS love giving the area super rare events. I'm still waiting for my 45" of snow in Annopoils from those runs last winter lol

GFS ensemble mean has -400dm over Wisconsin in 2 days. I wonder when was the last time we had the 5400dm line in the US within 45 days of the hottest of the year? It comes in as purple, and that's been a rare pattern lately, only really happening over the AO and NAO regions.

https://r.tapatalk.com/shareLink/topic?url=https://www.americanwx.com/bb/topic/62156-2025-2026-fallwinter-mountain-thread/&share_tid=62156&share_fid=13197&share_type=t&link_source=app 2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

Where can I find discussion about the upcoming winter? Hoping for lots of snow for the se crew! .

Here we go! Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

It's September 4th, who's kicking off the new thread?

OI LADS GTFIH AL, 91, 2025090412, , BEST, 0, 121N, 335W, 20, 1011, DB

Labor Day starts getting me pretty pumped for ski season! Hope is to get after it a bit more this season, didn't hit 100 for the first time in 4 seasons. Makes me sad. Gotta get after it more life is too short. Just ski!

I never like going into winter with a drought(if one wants a snowy winter). We are getting more rain this morning, and it is forecast agains this weekend. I mean I can remember recent fall months where we received less than 0.2" of rain at my house total for a 30d timeframe. So, this is welcome.

A heatwave at 49.2 early this morning.

Good perspective. Yes, the western half of the forum is very dry. This late summer and early fall season has kind of flipped from the recent decadal patterns for the forum area. This is the first time in a very long time that July/August rains have returned to an area where they used to be common(E TN). This recent stretch of La Ninas has thrown a wrench into what used to be NE TN's rainiest month - but not this year.

06z GFS brings a hurricane into the southeast around Myrtle Beach around the 18th.

Down to 41 this morning. If we can avoid 30s over the weekend it will be awhile before we hit them again

I’ll take this mornings 3km nam run for $100, Alex.

Don’t worry. By mid-November he will be right to very cold and snowy for the east coast. Severe cold cold snow from Thanksgiving until till New Year’s, “December to remember”

WPC saying 1 inch plus the next three days. I don't believe that for a second! I got all of 0.6 for the whole month of August and most of July's rain fell the first two days of the month. The crushing drought will continue

Well isn't that your name sir?

Ashcroft, BC, shattered Canada’s all-time September temperature record yesterday, with a high of 40.8 °C (105°F). This milestone caps off an extreme heat spell across B.C., following Lytton’s record-breaking run of four consecutive highs of 40°C (104°F) from August 24-27. The extreme heat in Ashcroft underscores the region's intensifying heat trends. Western Canada is expected to experience more frequent and intense heat waves in a warming climate. Warmer summers, extended wildfire seasons, and record-breaking highs in early autumn signal a continuing shift in the climate baseline. Extreme heat is becoming less of an anomaly and more of a recurring event.