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Canderson's good people, and nearly everyone, myself included, have deep respect for him and his posts. He doesn't deserve this kind of treatment.

Agree that we haven’t really experienced the chinook ourselves yet, but the problem is the chinook existing out west in the first place. We need that ridge to move further west and become more meridional, to allow moisture-laden lows to develop. Otherwise, it’s dry and boring NW flow, which can be ok if you get hit by a clipper or two…but there’s always a warm risk nearby since the ridge isn’t far away. I like seeing the cold drop down to the Rockies, with the associated upslope snows…because then that cold usually oozes over here and is longer lasting. Just my preference based on gut feel and observation over the years, not necessarily very scientific. Of course, La Niña does tend to lead to the current situation more often than not, so it’s not too surprising. As always, great discussion in this sub-forum.

1.5”/0.09.

1.8" final.

Boston to Weymouth to Plymouth getting it now

The dark green echoes are wrapping up Plymouth to the bay. Nice grand finale after minimal accumulation all day. Best the radar has looked since 3-5am

My temperature is down to 19 and the winds are gusty. Point and click say 12 for my low in the morning which is up from 8 early this morning. Cataloochee is reporting 11 currently.

There is also a part of me that wonders if modeling might not actually correct until inside of d10. The December 20th cold front is fierce as modeled by the 18z GFS. It has steadily gotten colder with each run. I think the time frame monitor after that is the 22-23rd, and then maybe another right after Christmas -a back and forth pattern. Ensembles still haven't caught up regarding the 20th likelihood.

What warm pattern?

Yep. If that occurs it'll be a pretty good indication of a pretty solid, great Winter imo.

I don’t worry to much about that really. This warmup almost certainly is going have some cold shots embedded. If it keeps eroding, it may become a base cold pattern with warmups. LOL

After a day of windless snow, really ramping up here on Cape Cod in the last hour. Gusting +30mph, sustained 15-20mph. Totally different feel outside, could make a run at +6 inches with these conditions.

A few snow squalls blowing through with sunset. 18.5F

You just can't stop trying to be a snake at every single opportunity. Are You really trying to flip this script as if i'm trying to say, no one got much snow, is that really what you're gonna do here. Do you think the people are really so dumb that they're not going remember my posts from last night. Just because everyone else has given you a free pass to be a snake in the grass doesn't mean I have to allow you to be one. I think your behavior last night was some of the most disgusting I've ever seen on the forum while people were actually trying to enjoy themselves. I've done some a****** things myself but I at least saved them for after the snow.

Really, early December is not snowy IMBY. Sometimes, yes. I have sat through many Christmas parades without barely needing a coat. Normally, the last of my leaves haven’t fallen until late December - that tree drives me nuts. All of my leaves have fallen this year. To be clear, we actually aren’t in the chinook pattern - yet. Let’s see how much of that materializes. The GFS will sometimes lead the way(albeit too quickly sometimes) in finding more cold. Again, we have been dealing with model feedback errors IMHO and still are. I think some type of warmup is nearly certain. I mean it has to warm up, right? I have been BN almost every day this month. Again, I need a few warm days.

Don’t feel bad. My weather station on Fire Island 100 yds from the ocean was frozen since midnight. It only thawed a couple of hours ago. I have a weather station and have seen it freeze however to have one at the ocean front and see this happen was quite unusual. It’s very rare that the wind is light enough for this to happen at the ocean front.

I had a feeling this would be an overperformer given the arctic air and trajectory of the clipper and it didn’t disappoint. We’re leaving at 5a tomorrow to get back home and in the office - will be hard to leave. Back for the week on 12/26 through New Years and hopefully more snow then!

expected 0.0”, ended up with 2”

Yeah, if they don't the Warmanista Drums will continue to beat loud.

Best snow of the day here

Out taking a walk. Probably the coldest it felt so far this season. 20F/Windy/Snow blowing into face. Christmas lights enhanced 100 percent with the snow addition...

Any shot at all for any accumulation tomorrow?

Right on. Even though it’s good to see the models trend a bit colder (relatively speaking) in the 7-14 day range, we really need to get out of this obnoxious chinook pattern. Besides the fact that the warm air is always lurking to the west, it’s an incredibly dry pattern/flow since it blocks any formation of low pressure systems and moisture return. I can’t count how many times on the operational runs, day after day, where it shows nearly zero precipitation over a 2-week period in the mountain west and plains. While it has generally maintained cold overall temperatures in these parts (at least so far), it’s a very dry and boring pattern. If I lived in Denver or SD, I would be tearing my hair out since it has felt like extended Fall forever. Hopefully something will shake up the pattern soon. We need a -AO.

We need ensembles of flip…at least one.