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Late May/June 2026 Medium/Long Range
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to JenkinsJinkies's topic in Mid Atlantic
Baltimore city forecast Thursday Sunny and hot, with a high near 106. Thursday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 81. Friday A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny and hot, with a high near 106. Chance of precipitation is 20%.- 233 replies
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- we got burned
- rugpull central
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Good chance for an -AO this Winter in my opinion! The correlation to reverse conditions there between the warm and cold seasons has been strong since 2012! I think the period looked at is through September though. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
That's the NAO. I think the folder code is always pna. Here's PNA: cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.pna.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table -
Need this here. Nearly 30k bolts detected in 30 minutes lol
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My response to calls to bring back Showalter specifically: Hypothetically speaking...Bring Showalter back and then what...still not win a WS that we all want? Lol Sure the regular season may go better...but we would still not have a ring as Showalter fell short in the playoffs his entire career. So that would be a no for me!
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Tell me can you feel it?
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Just checked myself and had to do a double-take. Would be the hottest weather in 14 years.
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The 12Z UKMET had nothing of note, even less than yesterday’s 0Z’s very weak low hitting near Daytona Beach. But the new 0Z is the 1st of its runs with a TD transitioning from an extratropical low that forms on a front. It then moves WSW but remains weak and then gradually weakens followed by dissipation on Thu well off the SE coast: MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 28.06.2026 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 32.1N 71.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 30.06.2026 60 32.1N 70.7W 1011 26 0000UTC 01.07.2026 72 31.2N 71.3W 1012 25 1200UTC 01.07.2026 84 30.4N 71.5W 1013 25 0000UTC 02.07.2026 96 30.5N 72.7W 1015 22 1200UTC 02.07.2026 108 30.6N 74.3W 1016 16 0000UTC 03.07.2026 120 CEASED TRACKING
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Those are the NAO values, not PNAs. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The values show -PNA for 09-10, unless this whole thing is wrong: https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/pna/norm.nao.monthly.b5001.current.ascii.table -
Per DMI, the daily mean temp in the Arctic N of 80N has still not reached 0C! As of today (6/27), it’s still barely <0C at -0.35C: Going all of the way back to 1958, the previous latest to first exceed 0C was a full week earlier, June 20th, and that was in 2013: So, even if it finally exceeds 0C tomorrow, that would still be a whopping 8 days later than the previous latest on record of June 20th! I checked every year. https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Per DMI, the daily mean temp in the Arctic N of 80N has still not reached 0C! As of today (6/27), it’s still barely <0C at -0.35C: Going all of the way back to 1958, the previous latest to first exceed 0C was a full week earlier, June 20th, and that was in 2013: So, even if it finally exceeds 0C tomorrow, that would still be a whopping 8 days later than the previous latest on record of June 20th! I checked every year. https://ocean.dmi.dk/arctic/meant80n.uk.php -
Just before a June full moon is jumbo season. Last year’s mudders
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Was thinking the same and almost guarantee Philly will stay above 80F for overnight lows for at least 1 and probably more nights... -
Are you petrified?
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Yes...I am from there...during floyd rescued the neighbors labradors from flooding. Lake Wilson rd...across the street
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E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Wouldn’t be surprised to see those overnight “lows” bump up. I imagine PHL records an overnight low of 80F or more next week. Only a T in the bucket today. Driest super El Niño ever. -
Had a few storms pop up here today, not much in the rain gauge. .13 fell here. And again now that I moved out of my old hood, they got nearly a third of an inch, go figure.
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I live in the north end of town, near Lake Wilson (which is now mostly a puddle). Was just getting on I-95 heading south on the way to a birthday party when I hit those storms. They were torrential.
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Went back and calculated: June 2025 10.00 July 2025 3.91 Aug 2025 3.18 Sept 2025 0.66 Oct 2025 2.96 Nov 2025 1.37 Dec 2025 2.15 Jan 2026 1.06 Feb 2026 2.47 Mar 2026 1.91 Apr 2026 1.57 May 2026 1.98 June 2025 - May 2026 33.22 June 2026 4.10 (so far)
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Yeah. At this point Elias and Albernaz both need to go. I think they messed up with not brining back Showalter.
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Where do live in wilson exactly? Those storms looked brutal going through there. I am from there
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lol jones beach air show is gonna be so wild
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O’s are the worst base running team in the majors. And that’s on the manager.
