All Activity

Earthlight

Brown sky

AccuWeather really going to bust on overnight lows...

I disagree. I’ve been an outspoken voice that what happened last winter with that storm was a travesty worse than the Feb 20th debacle of 2024. At four to five days out 95/100 permutations gave us an all time snow storm from synoptic sets, we then managed to bungle into one of the five outcomes that did not. However, the Nina shouldn’t be solely blamed for this. The setup wasn’t normal for a large snowstorm. It wasn’t a nor Easter. It was a giant lobe of energy dumped out in California that phased once to get moving east, then two NS disturbances phased, then all of that energy phased in the middle of the country. One could argue that the Nina ruined it by adding those NS disturbances but we wouldn’t have had a storm without them! A week out it looked to be a southern slider that missed south! We needed that initial phase out west and then a partial phase in the Great Plains. You need all of that energy to get a big storm. You need the NS and southern stream together. It just managed to do everything too perfectly while our NA blocking got too weak. Not to mention two other blizzards happened last winter. I think everyone knows I’m PSU’s decibel who will happily proclaim our winters suck because of climate change, but that wasn’t last year, we were just unlucky as possible.

88 today.

DCA: 99, 102, 103, 100 BWI: 99, 101, 102, 100 IAD: 99, 101, 101, 99 SBY: 98, 100, 101, 100 RIC: 100, 102, 102, 100 Total Rain: 2.67"

Yeah that winter was a pretty bad ratter. Hopefully not as bad this winter, although with the projected strength of the Nino it's hard to be overly optimistic about things.

July! DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 3.0 2.8 2.6 1.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 2.0 2.1

Heat contest closes tonight. Get your guesses in to win the jackpot.

Tbh, one of my favorite warm weather patterns

Mayor Of Kingston, Ontario about to get hit with their 2nd derecho in 10 hours

With climate change once in a century has no meaning, for both torch and snow events.

The forecast for the next few days.

Congrats to those localized areas that home grew convection today. Otherwise HRRR was right about everything died on approach. Now let’s see if it can right about that Canada complex surviving till morning.

Only hit 89 today at DCA and IAD.

And that was the only nina on record where it happened like that...that was like a once in a century kind of result for a nina! Folks are quick to point out "Well it almost happened in this year or that year" but that's the point: Why didn't it happen? NS too busy. Makes the odds that much lower, imo

June Dep JFK: +2.8 EWR: + 2.4 LGA: + 1.9 NYC: +1.3

Today's HighsBLM: 92EWR: 92New Brnswck: 91ACY: 91LGA: 91TEB: 91PHL: 91TTN: 88NYC: 87JFK: 85ISP: 85

Looks like we got a little too wild with .06

It’s only temporary. I’m like the emergency back-up goalie this week.

Today's Highs BLM: 92 EWR: 92 New Brnswck: 91 ACY: 91 LGA: 91 TEB: 91 PHL: 91 TTN: 88 NYC: 87 JFK: 85 ISP: 85

.06. Shaded areas stayed dry.

People laugh but man I swear by this rule. Summer storm patterns reveal themselves early and overall hit the same area repeatedly all summer while Stein areas Stein repeatedly. I don’t know that there’s any real scientific reason to it, but as a general rule .. it’s just how it works

It's rare in niñas, though it's been 30 years since the last time it happened in a niña.

Yeah well where people actually live (the corridor) they do not and have not! All those 6-10" events (except for last year) have been by the water or something, lol This is why I'm already grumpy abkut next winter...because it's gonna make the two winters after it suck too. Super niños spawn la ninas, and we know they double dip. So potential torch and no snow, followed by two more winters of NS dominance and barely median snowfalls. So you're looking at 3 more years of suckage before we can try something else. Hey at least it'll be solar minimum for 29-30 (though that was no good last time but I'd like to try again).