CoastalWx Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Almost looks like sn-ra-sn for you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 MOS is rolling in now, 850's skyrocketing upwards even up here before precip is even started yet. That is a change from last few runs. Without being able to see graphics I can not really tell why. Sounds like they crash. It hardly matters still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 looks like heavy wet snow? at 108 the 850 0c looks to back about to the blue ridge but it's brief it seems. main diff is probably more snow on the back end on this run. it's not really that east with track at least in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro has a bias of moving the high out to quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 no front end snow in the MA back end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Thats an impressive storm - 975 off of Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro might be 4:1 ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Was the ukie all snow? To my eye UK SLP track looks similar to Euro--I doubt it is all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 DC might do better than a good chunk of sne on this run...lol. No way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro might be 4:1 ratios You are talking sleet ratios, Jihad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 no front end snow in the MA back end? cities s/e prob not on the front end based on 850s. backend.. not far enough yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 From Tombo. Ny Board about to go into panic. "hr 114 sub 980 over lewes del, captured... dc area may be hvy wet snow with the dynamics." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 To my eye UK SLP track looks similar to Euro--I doubt it is all snow. UKIE had a SLP in the 980s offshore of the VA Capes at 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Sounds like they crash. It hardly matters still. yes they do, so far it looks like 1" of snow followed by .9 rain, then .7 snow so far on the back side, still more to come Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 both have an inland track but FWIW the evolution of the GGEM seems a bit more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 This might run right into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 Lol for the foot Dulles gets despite an inch of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 18Z Wed, surface is +2.6 and -.3C 850 6 hrs later, .53" has fallen with an 850 temp of -3.9C, but a surface temp of +3.2? I mean, wtf??? at BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Lol for the foot Dulles gets despite an inch of rain We will take it any way we can get it and be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baroclinic_instability Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 UKIE had a SLP in the 980s offshore of the VA Capes at 108 Timing difference. Need to consider general track along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 You are talking sleet ratios, Jihad. Who is jihad. My name is jay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 backend is tough to tell.. im sure 850 crash after 108 but how soon is crucial as a lot of precip falls in that panel. could be up to .5-.75 snow on the back or as little as .25. but honestly these maps are not hi res enough to know exactly where things are at 850. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Wait.. so we get like a brief window of a mix... to an inch of rain... to like a foot of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 doesn't look like BWI gets any snow this run surface temps way too high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 doesn't look like BWI gets any snow this run surface temps way too high the low is really freaking close to us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 Euro may be right in it's temp profile, but I've often seen it too warm at this stage (3-4 days out). Nice run and not like the GFS like some feared. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 backend is tough to tell.. im sure 850 crash after 108 but how soon is crucial as a lot of precip falls in that panel. could be up to .5-.75 snow on the back or as little as .25. but honestly these maps are not hi res enough to know exactly where things are at 850. Generalities are fine anyway. Even the mighty Euro can't nail temps at 100+ hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22, 2011 Author Share Posted January 22, 2011 Feb 88 I got 12 inches with temps at 38 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 backend is tough to tell.. im sure 850 crash after 108 but how soon is crucial as a lot of precip falls in that panel. could be up to .5-.75 snow on the back or as little as .25. but honestly these maps are not hi res enough to know exactly where things are at 850. it depends...the 850's crash the surface does not so if you are using 850's its actually like a foot of snow backend. But the surface temps stay at like +3 until after the precip shuts off. THis of course seems wrong given the dynamics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22, 2011 Share Posted January 22, 2011 backend is tough to tell.. im sure 850 crash after 108 but how soon is crucial as a lot of precip falls in that panel. could be up to .5-.75 snow on the back or as little as .25. but honestly these maps are not hi res enough to know exactly where things are at 850. even IAD per Euro MOS is +3.7 at 0Z Thursday despite -4C 850's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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