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Midweek Storm DISCO part II


DomNH

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In the very next post I asserted in no uncertain terms that I will warm above freezing....it's not a hockey game....it's meteorology lol.

You are a far better winter spot than I am...hands down, but you should be concerned about the mid levels in this event.

3/-3.5, lol, just messin' with you Ray. It always sucks to hear pingers long before any change over was forecast to occur. However, in this event , while I am 'concerned', I just feel that we'll see a prolonged period of snow before any taint might happen. Seems like the cold is overperforming well to our south already, look for that to be the theme here.

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Of course, can'ts see what's happening off-shore. But, the national radar looks like a big NAM-like surge of QPF heading straight toward the Hudson.

it would appear that way mike

however the HPC 1 day graphic shows the initial QPF Spike in a N /NNW fashion over eastern Delmarva then diverting a bit NE...then a secondary one seemingly assoicated with the CCB Of the low..running up from the ct/ri border eastward...

however this is not etched in stone .

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ZCZC BOSPNSBOS

TTAA00 KBOS 241717

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT...FINAL

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA

1210 PM EST WED DEC 24 1997

HERE ARE SOME SNOWFALL REPORTS RECEIVED AT NWS TAUNTON FROM THE STORM

WHICH BEGAN VERY LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. THANKS TO

SPOTTERS...OTHER AGENCIES AND MEDIA OUTLETS FOR PROVIDING REPORTS. ALL

AMOUNTS ARE IN INCHES. ALL AMOUNTS WITH TIME REFERENCES ARE FOR

TUESDAY.

THIS PRODUCT CAN ALSO BE FOUND ON OUR INTERNET HOMEPAGE AT:

HTTP://WWW.NWS.NOAA.GOV/ER/BOX

NWS TAUNTON MA (BOX) FINAL 5.8

BOSTON LOGAN (BOS) FINAL 6.8

WINDSOR LOCKS (BDL) FINAL 5.5

BLUE HILLS OBS (BHO) FINAL 11.1

WORCESTER APT (ORH) 700 PM 18.0

...MASSACHUSETTS...

...BRISTOL COUNTY...

MANSFIELD 800 PM 4.3

EASTON 830 PM 4.0

ACUSHNET 830 PM 1.0

FAIRHAVEN 830 PM 0.2

...ESSEX COUNTY...

METHUEN 625 PM 14.5

W PEABODY FINAL 10.5

PEABODY FINAL 10.0

MANCHESTER FINAL 10.0

ROCKPORT FINAL 9.5

GLOUCESTER 410 PM 8.0

NEWBURYPORT FINAL 8.0

...FRANKLIN COUNTY...

CHARLEMONT FINAL 8.2

GREENFIELD FINAL 8.0

SUNDERLAND FINAL 6.0

SHELBURNE 1045 AM 6.0

...HAMPDEN COUNTY...

EAST BRIMFIELD FINAL 13.0

WESTFIELD 440 PM 9.5

AGAWAM 1215 PM 8.0

MONSON 150 PM 6.5

SPRINGFIELD 1050 AM 5.5

...HAMPSHIRE COUNTY...

AMHERST FINAL 16.0

WARE FINAL 9.0

NORTH HATFIELD 1215 PM 8.5

WORTHINGTON FINAL 7.1

...MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

DRACUT FINAL 23.5

PEPPEREL FINAL 22.0

AYER FINAL 21.0 (8.0 BETWEEN 1030AM-1130AM)

TOWNSEND FINAL 21.0

CHELMSFORD FINAL 20.4 (6.0 BETWEEN 11AM-1230PM)

WESTFORD 615 PM 19.0

LITTLETON FINAL 19.0

WEST TOWNSEND 150 PM 16.5

TYNGSBORO 220 PM 16.0

HOPKINTON FINAL 16.0

NATICK FINAL 16.0

MAYNARD FINAL 15.3

READING FINAL 15.0

ACTON 125 PM 15.0

EAST WOBURN 630 PM 15.0

READING FINAL 15.0

BEDFORD FINAL 14.0

NORTH WOBURN FINAL 14.0

LEXINGTON FINAL 14.0

BILLERICA FINAL 14.0

NORTH READING FINAL 12.0

WOBURN CTR. 145 PM 9.0

WALTHAM FINAL 9.0

TULLY LAKE FINAL 8.0

...NORFOLK COUNTY...

BELLINGHAM 145 PM 10.0

WALPOLE FINAL 9.0

WEST MEDWAY FINAL 9.0

DEDHAM 615 PM 8.2

FRANKLIN FINAL 8.0

MILTON FINAL 8.0

STOUGHTON 130 PM 7.5

SHARON 205 PM 7.3

RANDOLPH 545 PM 6.5

FOXBORO FINAL 6.5

...PLYMOUTH COUNTY...

HANOVER 430 PM 4.0

BROCKTON 830 PM 4.0

W. BRIDGEWATER 150 PM 3.5

PEMBROKE 830 PM 3.0

MARSHFIELD 430 PM 0.5

...SUFFOLK COUNTY...

WINTHROP 740 PM 5.9

REVERE 1040 AM 3.0

BOSTON 1010 AM 3.0 (DOWNTOWN - NOT AIRPORT)

...WORCESTER COUNTY...

CLINTON FINAL 19.0

WEST BOYLSTON FINAL 18.5

GRAFTON 500 PM 17.0

WESTBORO 500 PM 17.0

SHREWSBURY 510 PM 16.8 (6.0 BETWEEN 930AM-1030AM) WEST

NORTHBRIDGE FINAL 14.0

ASHBURNHAM FINAL 13.5

GARDNER 310 PM 11.0

MILFORD 310 PM 11.0

LEICESTER 1140 AM 10.0

BARRE FALLS FINAL 9.0

SPENCER 1045 AM 9.0

FITCHBURG 1050 AM 6.0

...BARNSTABLE COUNTY...

WEST DENNIS 645 PM TRACE

...RHODE ISLAND...

...KENT COUNTY...

WARWICK 255 PM 4.5

COVENTRY 850 PM 3.3

...PROVIDENCE COUNTY...

BURRILLVILLE 405 PM 13.5

WOONSOCKET FINAL 7.8

CUMBERLAND 330 PM 7.5

N. FOSTER 315 PM 5.9

CLAYVILLE FINAL 4.0

WEST CRANSTON 840 PM 4.0

EAST PROVIDENCE 300 PM 3.4

SMITHFIELD 1045 AM 3.5 AT SFZ ARPT

PROVIDENCE 1155 AM 1.5 (DOWNTOWN - NOT AIRPORT)

...NEWPORT COUNTY...

TIVERTON 830 PM 0.5

...NEW HAMPSHIRE...

...CHESHIRE COUNTY...

JAFFREY APT 235 PM 10.5

RINDGE 1250 PM 9.5

MARLOW FINAL 7.5

...HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...

NASHUA FINAL 20.5

AMHERST 305 PM 17.5

GREENVILLE FINAL 15.0

NEW IPSWICH 530 PM 14.0

BEDFORD 400 PM 14.0

MANCHESTER 510 PM 13.7

FRANCESTOWN FINAL 13.5

WEARE FINAL 13.0

HOLLIS 1150 AM 10.0

...CONNECTICUT...

...HARTFORD COUNTY...

EAST GRANBY FINAL 5.0

WETHERSFIELD FINAL 4.5

FARMINGTON FINAL 3.3

NEWINGTON FINAL 3.0

AVON FINAL 2.5

UNIONVILLE FINAL 2.5

SOUTHINGTON FINAL 1.8

...TOLLAND COUNTY...

UNION FINAL 7.0

VERNON FINAL 2.3

MANSFIELD FINAL 1.3

...WINDHAM COUNTY...

WEST THOMPSON FINAL 6.2

PUTNAM FINAL 3.0

STRAUSS

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good to see dc starting as flakes, nice that the atmosphere is cold throughout always a good sign.

will like to see them stay snow for awhile

0.0 + C 850's lurk a hair SW of extreme w. md. as well as over part of chesapeake bay. ....right now alligned with the heavy batch of precip chugging north

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Burlington just switched their advisories to warnings and expanded the advisory further north (I believe). What could cause a switch from advisories (issued at 4) to warnings (issued at 6).

This is what they said.

http://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=BTV&product=AFD&format=CI&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off

.SHORT TERM /6 AM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...

-- Changed Discussion --AS OF 637 PM EST MONDAY...BASED ON MORE CONSISTENT 18Z GFS/NAM

MASS FIELDS AND QPF DISTRIBUTION...HAVE UPGRADED TO A WINTER STORM

WARNING FOR RUTLAND/WINDSOR/ORANGE COUNTIES IN S-CENTRAL VT. A ROW

OF WINTER WX ADVISORY COUNTIES NOW EXTENDS FROM ADDISON-

WASHINGTON-CALEDONIA-ESSEX COUNTIES. WITH 18Z GFS/NAM SHOWING A

MIDDLE COMPROMISE AND MORE CONSISTENT SOLN AS COMPARED TO THEIR

12Z COUNTERPARTS. THE 12Z ECMWF IS VERY SIMILAR AS WELL...WHILE

15Z SREF MEAN QPF AMTS REMAIN A BIT HIGHER THAN EXPECTED. BELIEVE

0.5" QPF LINE WILL GENERALLY LIE FROM JUST NORTH OF KRUT TO 20S

KMPV TO 20 S 1V4. SOME SELY UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT CONTINUES LIKELY

INTO THE ERN SLOPES OF THE GREEN MTNS...WITH HIGHEST SNOWFALL

TOTALS EXPECTED THERE. UPSLOPE COOLING MAY ALSO LIMIT SLEET

PRODUCTION IN THIS AREA DESPITE WARMING ALOFT TO NEAR 0C. ONLY

SLIGHT ADJUSTMENTS NEEDED TO SNOWFALL TOTALS FROM PREVIOUS

SHIFT...WITH 5-9" ACROSS WARNING AREA AND 4-6" FROM ADDISON COUNTY

UP INTO THE NE KINGDOM. LEFT 2-4" IN THE BTV AREA WITH LESSER AMTS

ACROSS MUCH OF NRN NY /1-4"/ WITH POTENTIAL DRY SLOT AND MORE

INTERMITTENT PCPN CHARACTER TO THE WEST. SLEET SHOULD ACTUALLY BE

MOST PROLIFIC TUESDAY AFTN ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY. NARROW

AXIS OF WARM AIR APPEARS TO MOVE NWD IN ADVANCE OF PRIMARY

LOW...WHILE SECONDARY LOW TAKES OVER SOUTH OF LONG ISLAND.

THUS...BEST POTENTIAL FOR MAX TEMPS ALOFT IN EXCESS OF 0C IS

ACROSS NRN NY. MAINTAINED A CHANCE OF SLEET AREAWIDE TUESDAY AFTN

INTO TUESDAY EVENING. MAIN HAZARD WILL BE WITH SLIPPERY/SNOW

COVERED ROAD CONDITIONS LATE TUES MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT WITH

THE MORE DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS CENTERED ACROSS

SERN/S-CENTRAL VT.

SFC WINDS WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT TO MORE NORTHERLY AS LOW MVS INTO

THE CANADIAN MARITIMES DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW

FOR FOCUS TO SHIFT TO NORTHERN ZONES/MTS FOR ANY OTHER ADDITIONAL

SNOW ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH ORORGAPHIC SNOW SHOWERS...WITH

MORE LIMITED SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT. -- End Changed Discussion --

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