ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SREFs got more bullish for SNE than 15z...and there's still a lot of spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 SREFs got more bullish for SNE than 15z...and there's still a lot of spread. Yup. And a nod to Kevin, it looks like the trough has shifted NE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 // Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SREFs got more bullish for SNE than 15z...and there's still a lot of spread. Link? J/k good news, Nam should come in amped and spread out with QPF hopefully. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You guys do realize when you immediately lock a thread it screws those who are responding? Anyway Bull****e he turns every great GFS snow forecast into a rain at the coast storm. Biggest warminista ever, hate those kind of weathermen, Gary Ley in PvD is the same way. Joe L is great but would not like him here as he hates snow too. My ideal guy is Herb Stevens the skiing weatherman, always looking for that outside chance, at least he mentions it. Is he still around?!!? He was my favorite when I was a kid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SREFs got more bullish for SNE than 15z...and there's still a lot of spread. Looks like a big cut SW of NE in NYC metro with not much spread down there. Good news for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Sure is, me too, but dude man that's some funny stuff he writes seriously, he is Ray with the writing skills of Tolstoy. sometimes I use his phraseology to think up funny quips or insults "Why don't you just subsume my correction vector!" for example "STFU before I go meridional on you!" or a great pickup line like "Hey baby I'd like for my meridional expression to teleconnect with your subsuming vortex -y a up for it?" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Looks like a big cut SW of NE in NYC metro with not much spread down there. Good news for us. There's probably some real weenie solutions in there for SNE because the spread is still very large for this time range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yup. And a nod to Kevin, it looks like the trough has shifted NE? Nice way to start off the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 SREF's blow. They really haven't performed well at this range this season. NAM is a rollin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Is he still around?!!? He was my favorite when I was a kid. http://www.snocountry.com/index.php/ski-news-and-links/skiing-weatherman/ski-weather-forecast.html I see him at random times on TV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 FYI top CIPS analog is 12/21/95 , Teleconnections look similar too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 FYI top CIPS analog is 12/21/95 , Teleconnections look similar too http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/NARR/1995/us1220.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 FYI top CIPS analog is 12/21/95 , Teleconnections look similar too How can we really teleconnect all that much when the models change vastly every 12 hours? -- The major changes v 12z seem to be that the s/w digging into the TN valley is a little more SW, the main energy coming down is heading somewhat east of the earlier track and the energy coming off the coast of the Carolinas a 24 hours is a wee bit stronger. May not be bad to have some sep. between the two bits of energy coming down...let the first one round the base of the trough and the other one come right in and phase with it. EDIT: NAM has blown up the pre-early troughing in favor of a closer to the coast track. We'll be able to watch returns on the KTAN radar to the SE Thursday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You can see why what was supposed to be an 18 inch storm underperformed. H7 low position was suboptimal. Still a decent event but not the blockbuster it was modeled to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Yup. And a nod to Kevin, it looks like the trough has shifted NE? And a gangsta nod back at you homes..as i pull the brim on my hat a lil lower Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 How can we really teleconnect all that much when the models change vastly every 12 hours? -- The major changes v 12z seem to be that the s/w digging into the TN valley is a little more SW, the main energy coming down is heading somewhat east of the earlier track and the energy coming off the coast of the Carolinas a 24 hours is a wee bit stronger. May not be bad to have some sep. between the two bits of energy coming down...let the first one round the base of the trough and the other one come right in and phase with it. EDIT: NAM has blown up the pre-early troughing in favor of a closer to the coast track. We'll be able to watch returns on the KTAN radar to the SE Thursday night. F'N great ...i think we need this POS to stay NE of nova scotia and not muck things up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 And a gangsta nod back at you homes..as i pull the brim on my hat a lil lower Bedtime? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Ray FTW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 F'N great ...i think we need this POS to stay NE of nova scotia and not muck things up I only point it out because that seems to be the case whenever they get "closer" the trough goes bye bye. This is the early stage pre-snow it had forecast. I hope it's a pre-cursor to what looks like a much better setup 30+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 F'N great ...i think we need this POS to stay NE of nova scotia and not muck things up It's way east at 30 hours.....500 miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 You can see why what was supposed to be an 18 inch storm underperformed. H7 low position was suboptimal. Still a decent event but not the blockbuster it was modeled to be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 It's way east at 30 hours.....500 miles. And the NAM be digging a trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Don't tell Tip...he's already broken into the local high school in Acton and turned on all the bunson burners with a box of long handled matches in tow lol, where do you guys come up with this ****?!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Snow breaks out in much of the region by mid morning Friday. SE MA excluded but it should be coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 This is an interesting run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 Very erect and circumcised penis of enhanced qpf from just W of NYC up to and beyond SYR at 42 hours. Snowing in all of SNE save for the Rev to ginx to the cape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 lol, where do you guys come up with this ****?!? I'm guessing personal experience? -- The new NAM is lowering heights rapidly at 36. It's going to be close stinks that so much moisture got ejected out with that first storm. It's a trend towards stronger at 500mb. Wouldn't take much more from here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 6, 2011 Share Posted January 6, 2011 at the surface 36 hr....thing is that second low may be popping a bit further east ....when i would have liked the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 6, 2011 Author Share Posted January 6, 2011 This is an interesting run. I like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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