MaineJayhawk Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 They all look nice a week out. Glad about the active pattern, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The Canadian is almost a 12/26 repeat..lol. Only difference is that it heads east at a latitude that is slightly south of that storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 I thought I was pretty straight foreward....no bellyaching from me, but it's just not looking great. LOl..not you... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The Canadian is almost a 12/26 repeat..lol. Only difference is that it heads east at a latitude that is slightly south of that storm. That would be a better soloution for us.....sure, we wouldn't jackpot, but the mid level lows wouldn't be able to tuck near MTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 Are these squalls today lake related or just influx of arctic air? Another one heading into the office here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 LOl..not you... We need a Shwartz seven rule application and quick.....something to instill hope. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 That would be a better soloution for us.....sure, we wouldn't jackpot, but the mid level lows wouldn't be able to tuck near MTP. Yeah, probably. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 We need a Shwartz seven rule application and quick.....something to instill hope. lol Well I gave up on the big storm idea 2 days ago. IMO that was off the table early this week.. I'm focusing my hopes..admittedly precariously on the norlun delivering a few inches of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well I gave up on the big storm idea 2 days ago. IMO that was off the table early this week.. I'm focusing my hopes..admittedly precariously on the norlun delivering a few inches of snow Good luck with that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 We'll see how the euro looks, but I think 12z tomorrow will probably finally nail the details down. It's a volatile setup with the NORLUN, and also the potential for low pressure to back in snow from the se. I don't see a major event, but that doesn't mean someone can't get low end warning. Hopefully 12z euro is promising. There seems to be a long duration potential here, so someone near the coast may do well? Again, just too early to nail down the details, but long duration erly flow probably should not be totally ignored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 We'll see how the euro looks, but I think 12z tomorrow will probably finally nail the details down. It's a volatile setup with the NORLUN, and also the potential for low pressure to back in snow from the se. I don't see a major event, but that doesn't mean someone can't get low end warning. Hopefully 12z euro is promising. There seems to be a long duration potential here, so someone near the coast may do well? Again, just too early to nail down the details, but long duration erly flow probably should not be totally ignored. Don't you think everyone sees at least some accumulating snow? Tough to see how that won't happen with the flow/forcing and convergence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 We'll see how the euro looks, but I think 12z tomorrow will probably finally nail the details down. It's a volatile setup with the NORLUN, and also the potential for low pressure to back in snow from the se. I don't see a major event, but that doesn't mean someone can't get low end warning. Hopefully 12z euro is promising. There seems to be a long duration potential here, so someone near the coast may do well? Again, just too early to nail down the details, but long duration erly flow probably should not be totally ignored. Well, I'm out on this one....an inverted trough over NYC and oes leaves me looking toward the Miller A. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Don't you think everyone sees at least some accumulating snow? Tough to see how that won't happen with the flow/forcing and convergence I'd say the area has a shot at some light snow, yes. However, I don't know if I would say everyone is getting at least 2-4". It's early for that. Maybe the euro changes it...but if peeps are happy with an advisory type stuff..then I wouldn't give up at this stage. As usual, some may be screwed and some may do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well, I'm out on this one....an inverted trough over NYC and oes leaves me looking toward the Miller A. Well, hold the thought. That doesn't mean you won't see snow. By OES I don't mean confined to the rt 3 corridor. I explained earlier why it could be a little more widespread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2011 Author Share Posted January 5, 2011 I'd say the area has a shot at some light snow, yes. However, I don't know if I would say everyone is getting at least 2-4". It's early for that. Maybe the euro changes it...but if peeps are happy with an advisory type stuff..then I wouldn't give up at this stage. As usual, some will be screwed and some will do well. I think the problem is some folks are under the assumption they won't at least see a few inches of snow. Seems like some posters are thinking it's sunny while it's pouring snow 10 miles away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 I think the problem is some folks are under the assumption they won't at least see a few inches of snow. Seems like some posters are thinking it's sunny while it's pouring snow 10 miles away It's possible some might not, that's why I said some may be screwed. I think it's too early other than to say...if you are happy with 1-3 or 2-4, then don't give up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well, hold the thought. That doesn't mean you won't see snow. By OES I don't mean confined to the rt 3 corridor. I explained earlier why it could be a little more widespread. Yea, outside of there, interior se MA and the immediate N shore, it's nuisance variety......aka non-accumulating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The wheels on the bus go round and round. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Yea, outside of there, interior se MA and the immediate N shore, it's nuisance variety......aka non-accumulating. We won't see much probably. But NYC will pine for 3 days before the Norlun whiffs and hits downeast ME regardless of modeling and think how pissed those guys will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Haven't been on the board since yesterday, nor have I watched any news, weather, etc. I came into work today, and everyone is talking about a "big" snow storm for the weekend (both facebook comments, and people talking). I come here, and low and behold people are talking about the possibility of anything but a big storm. What gives? What exactly do I miss with regard to the television forecasts (I never watch any of the weather forecasts on t.v.)? Did the mets on t.v. promis a big storm last night or this morning? From the looks of the conversations here, a big storm doesn't seem to be in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 at this point, i would put higher probabilities around the nyc metro, but it could easily jump between philly and ct we might not know until it actually sets up great i think ray has the right idea with this kev "some don't think they'll at least see a few inches" ummm correct some if not most look now like they wont. i mean what is the QPF spitting out for those outside w/SW CT? .12 ? .14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 if anyone still is craving some big accums....look at the plots on the models better with meso scale features like the MM5 or the other one (forget name) the first has a 985 mb low just east of ACY friday am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 anyone care to share the word from uncle Ukie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well, The folks down in NY are not going to see a norlun according to the Euro...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mad River Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well, The folks down in NY are not going to see a norlun according to the Euro...... Is anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
larvay Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Haven't been on the board since yesterday, nor have I watched any news, weather, etc. I came into work today, and everyone is talking about a "big" snow storm for the weekend (both facebook comments, and people talking). I come here, and low and behold people are talking about the possibility of anything but a big storm. What gives? What exactly do I miss with regard to the television forecasts (I never watch any of the weather forecasts on t.v.)? Did the mets on t.v. promis a big storm last night or this morning? From the looks of the conversations here, a big storm doesn't seem to be in the cards. I've been wondering since yesterday why my TWC local forecast has "snow / wind" for Saturday, given what I've gathered from here. Of course, I expect the answer to that would be, "TWC sucks." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 anyone care to share the word from uncle Ukie? When no one says anything, it usually means that the run was bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 The euro starts the inv trough over NYC but then slowly lifts it ne and weakens. At the same time, Atlantic inflow combined with s/w starts to spread some light snow over sne. Actually a tiny bullseye in extreme ne CT at hr 72. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 5, 2011 Share Posted January 5, 2011 Well, The folks down in NY are not going to see a norlun according to the Euro...... I think that's good news. We really want to see a focus on that middle system coming up from the south which it sounds like it is kind of doing, similar to the NAM. Whether it's a trough or rough comma head who knows I'm not looking at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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