Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,040
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

October 2026


MJO812
 Share

Recommended Posts

Milder weather has now returned to the region. Tomorrow through Monday will see the mercury top out to the upper 60s and lower 70s across the region.

The week will also be dry. The next chance for precipitation could be Sunday or Monday. The moisture could be enhanced by the remnants of Isaiah.
 
The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +5.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +3.2°C for the week centered around September 30. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.63°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.92°C. Both ENSO regions have set new all-time records. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. 

The SOI was -22.63 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.722 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 55% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal October (1991-2020 normal). October will likely finish with a mean temperature near 58.4° (0.5° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 1.5° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 10/7/2026 at 7:30 AM, MANDA said:

Same here.  We kept the heat off but chilly in here.  Overnight low 38 here on top of the hill.  Valley spots a few degrees lower.

Overall a very chilly morning across NJ:

Screenshot 2026-10-07 at 7.28.59 AM.jpg

Screenshot 2026-10-07 at 7.27.04 AM.jpg

Screenshot 2026-10-07 at 7.27.47 AM.jpg

Low of 35 here I'll post some frost photos. Edit can't post them darned file size limit so here is another fall foliage photo instead.

1936837985_HT3Fn1NXAAAkvTD(5).thumb.jpeg.157457ce40270cc9cd3d27172f776b41.jpeg1821527449_HT3Fn1LWgAACwYc(5).thumb.jpeg.df510587514eda0f6ce80bec21060644.jpeg

On 10/7/2026 at 7:39 AM, TWCCraig said:

40.2°F low. No frost here. Looks like Westhampton dropped to 30 degrees.

Avoided the 30s here for now

If they got down to 30 they beat Mount Pocono by 1 degree.

On 10/7/2026 at 7:52 AM, bluewave said:

The names only get retired if they cause significant enough effects. While the first Isaias gave me my strongest wind gusts to 78 mph back in SW Suffolk, it didn’t produce wide enough damage as a weaker hurricane and then tropical storm to have the name retired. Many big majors get retired along with weaker systems which produce historic rainfall. 

All Cat 1 landfalls should be retired.

On 10/7/2026 at 7:55 AM, lee59 said:

I remember, not only for the strong southerly wind as it passed to our west but that wind brought the ocean spray so far inland and killed the foliage on many of the south facing side of the trees.

Worst since Sandy both for winds and damage. 

On 10/7/2026 at 7:57 AM, Brian5671 said:

some frost on the rooftops here-down to 37 but recovering quickly now with the sunrise

Rooftop only frost but 35 for the low 37 is the lowest temperature you can have frost.

On 10/7/2026 at 8:12 AM, bluewave said:

First frost of the season here on the cartops with a low of 36°.

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khvn

Interesting temperature difference 35 here with light rooftop frost 31 at Mount Pocono first freeze and 37 at Scranton. 

On 10/7/2026 at 8:27 AM, WestBabylonWeather said:

Being in southwest Suffolk I can tell you how serious Isaias was here. We had no power for about 8 days. Trees down everywhere. It was worse than Sandy for us personally 

It was also unexpected. 

On 10/7/2026 at 8:40 AM, bluewave said:

Luckily, my power was only out for 24 hrs. Took down a bunch of trees. But borderline TS to Cat 1 systems don’t get retired unless they cause historic flooding like Agnes in 1972.

It should be mandatory for all Cat 1 landfalls to be retired.

On 10/7/2026 at 8:52 AM, jm1220 said:

I remember being on the phone and watching a huge tree come down behind my backyard. That was an intense few hours. Luckily up here the heavy rain and intense winds are completely separate in tropical systems. 

Worst since Sandy.

On 10/7/2026 at 9:00 AM, Poker2015 said:

Same thing here. On the phone and hear a huge crash next door. 3 huge oak trees all went down and only missed their house because 2 of them landed on another tree and held them up.

This is why you need to remove weak trees near the house. 

On 10/7/2026 at 9:18 AM, WestBabylonWeather said:

My neighbors tree fell and took out a pole. PSEG had no poles. An out of state crew replaced it 8 days later. 
 

the tree that fell was hollow and had the largest carpenter ant nest I’ve ever seen. Because of that tree falling during the storm my property was inundated with carpenter ants. Had no choice to get an exterminator they were on the house from that stupid storm 

Yikes that's NASTY!

On 10/7/2026 at 9:27 AM, FPizz said:

35 here too, but did turn on the heat.  Most likely will turn it back off tomorrow morning.

And the air conditioning the following day lol.

On 10/7/2026 at 9:34 AM, nj08822 said:

Down to 34 in Nazareth PA (75 miles west of NYC).  Light frost everywhere, hope my peppers have a little more life left.

35 here and light frost but only on my roof. 

On 10/7/2026 at 10:02 AM, the_other_guy said:

Why is everyone bragging about no heat?

I dont get it.

41F here this morning. Heat was on…and has been on at least 5 times already. 

The weekend of 26/27, it was on several times during the day.

Who wants to be cold and damp in their house? Bizzaro

I had both air conditioning and heat on in August. 

On 10/7/2026 at 10:11 AM, FPizz said:

Agreed, turn on the heat or A/C as needed.  

Or even both at the same time lol.

On 10/7/2026 at 10:40 AM, Brian5671 said:

it's a badge of honor thing to some to see how late they can go without flipping the heat on.   Kinda weird but whatever floats your boat

Meh I'll turn it on in August if it's cold.

On 10/7/2026 at 11:36 AM, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

Bottomed out at 34.7. Frost on the roofs and many areas of the grass. 

35 here and frost but only on my roof.

On 10/7/2026 at 11:37 AM, jm1220 said:

PSEG really went to work in my neighborhood after Isaias and some other wind events and trimmed a lot of branches near wires so thankfully in this last storm I just had power flicker a couple times but was good. A few streets away though where they didn’t trim had no power for 2.5 days. :( 

Weak trees close to the house need to be removed I had to do that after a microburst in 2018.

On 10/7/2026 at 3:53 PM, jm1220 said:

First freeze at Westhampton-dropped to 31.

Same temperature as Mount Pocono 31 first freeze.

1 hour ago, SACRUS said:


Today's Highs

PHL: 80
ACY: 79
EWR: 78
JFK: 78
BLM: 77
New Brnswck: 77
LGA: 76
TEB: 76
ISP: 76
TTN: 75

NYC: 73

Wow only 68 here but tomorrow should be warmer in the 70s with less wind. Maybe you will hit 80.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

56 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Low of 35 here I'll post some frost photos. Edit can't post them darned file size limit so here is another fall foliage photo instead.

1936837985_HT3Fn1NXAAAkvTD(5).thumb.jpeg.157457ce40270cc9cd3d27172f776b41.jpeg1821527449_HT3Fn1LWgAACwYc(5).thumb.jpeg.df510587514eda0f6ce80bec21060644.jpeg

If they got down to 30 they beat Mount Pocono by 1 degree.

All Cat 1 landfalls should be retired.

Worst since Sandy both for winds and damage. 

Rooftop only frost but 35 for the low 37 is the lowest temperature you can have frost.

Interesting temperature difference 35 here with light rooftop frost 31 at Mount Pocono first freeze and 37 at Scranton. 

It was also unexpected. 

It should be mandatory for all Cat 1 landfalls to be retired.

Worst since Sandy.

This is why you need to remove weak trees near the house. 

Yikes that's NASTY!

And the air conditioning the following day lol.

35 here and light frost but only on my roof. 

I had both air conditioning and heat on in August. 

Or even both at the same time lol.

Meh I'll turn it on in August if it's cold.

35 here and frost but only on my roof.

Weak trees close to the house need to be removed I had to do that after a microburst in 2018.

Same temperature as Mount Pocono 31 first freeze.

Wow only 68 here but tomorrow should be warmer in the 70s with less wind. Maybe you will hit 80.

Amazing Liberty! 20 post responses within one post……. Should we contact Guinness? As long as a ‘Daily Post Within A Post limited member’ designation is not created, you’ve certainly found a way. Five of these would be equivalent to a hundred post/responses daily. You would definitely secure a place in the New Englands Forums post count hall of fame. Stay well, as always ….

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...