October 2026 general discussion

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

And here I thought peaches come from a can and were put there by a man in a factory downtown. 

When I moved here I started eating a lot of peaches

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, mreaves said:

Up to .62" now and it is much appreciated.  We aren't as dry as last year but still need rain.  Growing season is done here with 28° last week so this should be able to soak in pretty good.

He’s moving in mysterious ways again

[WinterWolf]

28 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Sure…we’re stepping down. I get it. But an early CAA freeze with a period of warmth following is just a bit of a bummer for me with my late ripening stragglers. If I can steal another week of ripening time by having a 33° min versus a breezy 28° I’ll take the 33°. There’s plenty of winter and cold to come.

Reminder to everyone…I don’t control the weather despite what I wish for.

Completely see your idea…and I agree 100%. 

[Typhoon Tip]

Oh great ... instead of early season snow chance(s), the last half of the month is way better with higher chances for 59 F mist instead

[Damage In Tolland]

37 minutes ago, dendrite said:

When I moved here I started eating a lot of peaches

 

[Brewbeer]

53/53 currently with misery mist in the air at the office in Burlington

[WxWatcher007]

 

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

Yes please 

[weatherwiz]

7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

There as actually a presentation similar to this at the Tri-State Weather conference this past Saturday.

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

 

My area was the worst on that map….that 38 cane crushed us. While I’d love to experience that type of ferocity….i don’t think I’d want to be without power for 3 months. 

[Typhoon Tip]

First El NINO -related risk event of the season ?

[OldSkool]

Upper 60s is shorts and flip flops??

[WinterWolf]

Was nicer earlier here…felt milder too.  Now you can feel the east flow marine puke even..clammy and damp.  

[OldSkool]

6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like a two day cold shot this weekend and then we warm up for days and days. Just enough of a tease for people to post pics of snowliage and snow guns blowing mice out, only to be replaced with shorts and flip flops early next week. 

60s are flip flop weather?

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Oh great ... instead of early season snow chance(s), the last half of the month is way better with higher chances for 59 F mist instead

Putrid and rancid ass mist?

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

There as actually a presentation similar to this at the Tri-State Weather conference this past Saturday.

it's probably underdone.  

these types of science -based studies result in estimates.  Sophisticated as they may be compared to oh say ..., Kevin-types and their brilliant objective-based illustrations of what is going to happen to trees and building and stuff... , they are still based upon more linearly algebraic resolutions using available/reanalaytic metrical inputs.

what they don't include are the synergistic products of complex higher order energetic systems.   one question that immediately leaps to mind for me is the 'domino effect' thereof.   You get to a certain pervasive failure quotient and the weight just topples everything.  We actually observed something similar to this during the 2008 ice storm up there in N Worcester and Middlesex Co.  The margin towns that didn't record any icing, or if so... limited amounts, lost power by load balancing when substations reeled - often times safety measures built in cut regional grids... This is particularly true in tangled messes of major events where regions are a labyrinth of partially mixed with total and non disrupted messes.  Everyone goes down in that region...

I'm sure their science takes that into consideration, but when events get in that GOAT range ... which comparing to 1938, heh  ... there's almost always unexpected emergent properties. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, OldSkool said:

60s are flip flop weather?

Putrid and rancid ass mist?

Where is it putrid and mist?

[Brian5671]

32 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

My area was the worst on that map….that 38 cane crushed us. While I’d love to experience that type of ferocity….i don’t think I’d want to be without power for 3 months. 

Not to mention the breakdown of society and local government that would come with that.

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's probably underdone.  

these types of science -based studies result in estimates.  Sophisticated as they may be compared to say ... oh, Kevin-types and their brilliant objective-based illustrations of what is going to happen to trees and building and stuff... , they are still based upon more linearly algebraic resolutions using available/reanalaytic metrical inputs.

what they don't don't include are the synergistic products of complex higher order energetic systems.   one question that immediately leaps to mind for me is that is the 'domino effect' thereof.   You get to a certain pervasive failure quotient and the weight just topples everything.  We actually observed something similar to this during the 2008 ice storm up there in N Worcester and Middlesex Co.  The margin towns that did record any icing, or if so... limited amounts, lost power by load balancing when substations reel - often times safety measures built in cut regional grids... This is particularly true in tangled mess of major events where regions are a labyrinth partially mixed with total and non disrupted mess.  Everyone goes down in that region...

I'm sure their science takes that into account, but when events get in that GOAT range ...there's almost always unexpected emergent properties. 

Yeah, I agree. October 2021 was basically a category 1 in Plymouth county with over 500k out. Imagine a cat 3 into CT. 

[Brewbeer]

24 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Not to mention the breakdown of society and local government that would come with that.

and, if you have a private well, good luck flushing your toilet

[Brian5671]

7 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

and, if you have a private well, good luck flushing your toilet

it's interesting some of the road names here, Lakeview and Soundview-everyone says you can't see the water....but then someone mentions that when the area was settled in the 40's there was a clear view b/c alot of the trees were felled by 1938....just could not imagine the destruction here today with all the development and tree canopy.

[weatherwiz]

36 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

it's probably underdone.  

these types of science -based studies result in estimates.  Sophisticated as they may be compared to oh say ..., Kevin-types and their brilliant objective-based illustrations of what is going to happen to trees and building and stuff... , they are still based upon more linearly algebraic resolutions using available/reanalaytic metrical inputs.

what they don't include are the synergistic products of complex higher order energetic systems.   one question that immediately leaps to mind for me is the 'domino effect' thereof.   You get to a certain pervasive failure quotient and the weight just topples everything.  We actually observed something similar to this during the 2008 ice storm up there in N Worcester and Middlesex Co.  The margin towns that did record any icing, or if so... limited amounts, lost power by load balancing when substations reeled - often times safety measures built in cut regional grids... This is particularly true in tangled messes of major events where regions are a labyrinth of partially mixed with total and non disrupted messes.  Everyone goes down in that region...

I'm sure their science takes that into account, but when events get in that GOAT range ...there's almost always unexpected emergent properties. 

100% agreed. 

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Oh great ... instead of early season snow chance(s), the last half of the month is way better with higher chances for 59 F mist instead

Lock that in for winter

[Great Snow 1717]

18 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

and, if you have a private well, good luck flushing your toilet

...only idiots want to experience a repeat of 38.  I'd like to know how many people here have taken the time to read the fine print in their homeowners insurance policy.

I guarantee most people here have done little in the way of preparation for a storm of that magnitude. ..the butter knives in the draw are sure going to scare off looters..lol...perhaps they can toss some acorns at them to scare them off..

[WinterWolf]

54 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

it's interesting some of the road names here, Lakeview and Soundview-everyone says you can't see the water....but then someone mentions that when the area was settled in the 40's there was a clear view b/c alot of the trees were felled by 1938....just could not imagine the destruction here today with all the development and tree canopy.

The scary part is….its only a matter of time before it happens again.  Maybe we don’t live to see it happen again…but it most certainly will. 

[WxWatcher007]

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

The scary part is….its only a matter of time before it happens again.  Maybe we don’t live to see it happen again…but it most certainly will. 

Only a matter of time, because wx will be wx. Our mistake as humans is thinking we’re immune to Mother Nature. 

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Only a matter of time, because wx will be wx. Our mistake as humans is thinking we’re immune to Mother Nature. 

For sure. Much more population near the ocean is one issue why it would be way worse now, than in 1938.  But ya…it’s just a matter of time. 

[FXWX]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

The scary part is….its only a matter of time before it happens again.  Maybe we don’t live to see it happen again…but it most certainly will. 

There's a restaurant in the middle of Norfolk, CT... they have pictures of the landscape (hill sides) taken shortly after the 38 event; nary a tree to be seen!!!