Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    19,021
    Total Members
    49,013
    Most Online
    loganboehmewx
    Newest Member
    loganboehmewx
    Joined

September 2026


 Share

Recommended Posts

31 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This has been our pattern since March. Ridge out West builds east from time to time. With the warm ups being stronger than the cool downs which followed. 

IMG_7569.png.fce4ee4983fbadfc0cd432d89bc12774.png


IMG_7570.png.5eace2aef8ac62b0ef9d80e201837eaf.png

Doesn't look very Nino esque to me. Strongest warm anamolies across southern tier. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said:

Doesn't look very Nino esque to me. Strongest warm anamolies across southern tier. 

This was our warmest developing super El Niño summer relative to the long term averages. These used to be reliably cooler summers. 2015 was the first one that was warmer but not as warm as this year was. 

IMG_7574.png.5f1e0935c8a4a47e286327127f16ca01.png

 

 

IMG_7575.png.2c34168edce97569ac2c437292902728.png

 


IMG_7576.png.b0cf467f3b558ae49fb38e895285351e.png

 

IMG_7577.png.54a83220fd24ec905c4cec8527816e3e.png
 

IMG_7578.png.d83ca296cdd3a6909daf4c1995f9508a.png

 

 

IMG_7579.png.9504310ccc8fc548fb2b86bbe0024565.png
 

 

  • Like 1
  • Sad 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, bluewave said:

This was our warmest developing super El Niño summer relative to the long term averages. These used to be reliably cooler summers. 2015 was the first one that was warmer but not as warm as this year was. 

IMG_7574.png.5f1e0935c8a4a47e286327127f16ca01.png

 

 

IMG_7575.png.2c34168edce97569ac2c437292902728.png

 


IMG_7576.png.b0cf467f3b558ae49fb38e895285351e.png

 

IMG_7577.png.54a83220fd24ec905c4cec8527816e3e.png
 

IMG_7578.png.d83ca296cdd3a6909daf4c1995f9508a.png

 

 

IMG_7579.png.9504310ccc8fc548fb2b86bbe0024565.png
 

 

Cool El Niño summers are a thing of the past

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Somewhat cooler air will overspread the region tonight. In the wake of the frontal passage, highs tomorrow and Friday will likely peak in the upper 70s. In general, the temperature should top out in the upper 70s and lower 80s from the weekend through the middle of next week. Some rain is possible Saturday night into early Sunday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.7°C for the week centered around September 2. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +4.12°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.57°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, will continue to strengthen through the mid-fall. The Region 1+2 anomaly surpasses the all-time record of +4.5° that was set during the week centered around June 29, 1983. 

The SOI was -19.73 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +2.175 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 58% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.0° (0.8° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.0° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...