George BM Posted yesterday at 01:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:18 AM Tuesday, August 4, 2026 11:38AM EDT Skies continue to clear from west to east following this morning’s rain and storms. Much of the region generally picked up between half an inch and an inch of rain. As we go through the afternoon temps will rise into the lower 90s w/ dewpoints getting into the mid/upper 70s leading to 3000-4000 J/kg MLCAPE beneath the 6.5-7 C/km MLLRs. As the unseasonably strong shortwave approaches from the west it will most likely bring with it a complex of thunderstorms congealing into a severe MCS. At the same time, a couple of supercells may develop over the region ahead of the main cluster and with near 60kts of EDWD and effective SRH in excess of 250m2/s2 these have the potential of producing strong to intense tornadoes. SPC has us under a 10% CIG1 tornado risk to account for this. We are also under a 60% CIG1 wind risk resulting in a level 4 out of 5 Moderate risk of severe weather. With the high CAPE, decent DCAPE (1000+ J/kg) and high Pwats around 2 inches, the MCS could bring widespread 65 to 80+ mph wind gusts across the region with even higher gusts in any embedded microbursts resulting in widespread and potentially long-lasting power outages along with major tree damage and some structural damage to boot. Stay tuned to the evolving weather situation and take all the necessary precautions. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted yesterday at 10:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 10:55 AM Not sure i love getting anything from the Orioles but maybe this Kremer dude can be salvageable...my guess is no but hey my Twins are at least looking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 11:04 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:04 AM 8 minutes ago, aldie 22 said: Not sure i love getting anything from the Orioles but maybe this Kremer dude can be salvageable...my guess is no but hey my Twins are at least looking He’s been a reliable (and cheap) fifth starter for several years. Will occasionally throw a gem, occasionally a major clunker. He’s been pretty rough lately though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted yesterday at 11:32 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:32 AM 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: He’s been a reliable (and cheap) fifth starter for several years. Will occasionally throw a gem, occasionally a major clunker. He’s been pretty rough lately though. I say good riddance. He’s Minnesota’s problem now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 11:45 AM 12 minutes ago, Interstate said: I say good riddance. He’s Minnesota’s problem now. Gonna miss him when Cade Povich gets the ball every 5 days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted yesterday at 01:15 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:15 PM 2 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Not sure i love getting anything from the Orioles but maybe this Kremer dude can be salvageable...my guess is no but hey my Twins are at least looking This seems like a load management move for Prielipp, who is now already over his highest number of innings pitched in his career. You have Ryan, Taj, Ober and then fill in the starts with Prielipp, Matthews and Kremer. It isn’t a great rotation, but somehow the Twins lead the AL in scoring. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM 2 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Gonna miss him when Cade Povich gets the ball every 5 days Nah. We are setting up for a trade 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted yesterday at 08:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:46 PM I'm pretty excited for winter. I'm one phone call away from closing a deal on a seasonal cabin rental at Barns Corner, NY. That's ground 0 on the Tug Hill. It's from Dec 1 to February 31. If my location isn't being hit directly I'll still be able to quickly get right where I'll need to be from base camp on the top of the hill. I won't be far from the Adirondacks if I need to get even higher up in elevation. Pretty exciting times. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted yesterday at 08:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:57 PM 9 minutes ago, dailylurker said: ... February 31.... I'm sensing some difficulties with this deal. Proceed with caution. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted yesterday at 09:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:32 PM What’s the cost of Gaussman? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted yesterday at 09:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:52 PM 52 minutes ago, GramaxRefugee said: I'm sensing some difficulties with this deal. Proceed with caution. March first. My typo lol. It's an Airbnb. I'm just taking it for the entire winter. It's got the best location I've found out there. It's right near the famous snow town of Montague. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GramaxRefugee Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 46 minutes ago, dailylurker said: March first. My typo lol. It's an Airbnb. I'm just taking it for the entire winter. It's got the best location I've found out there. It's right near the famous snow town of Montague. Seriously congratulations. Looking forward to some good videos. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: I'm pretty excited for winter. I'm one phone call away from closing a deal on a seasonal cabin rental at Barns Corner, NY. That's ground 0 on the Tug Hill. It's from Dec 1 to February 31. If my location isn't being hit directly I'll still be able to quickly get right where I'll need to be from base camp on the top of the hill. I won't be far from the Adirondacks if I need to get even higher up in elevation. Pretty exciting times. You are HARD CORE! It's only Aug 1 and ALREADY JONESING for heavy snows! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Baz is such a hard luck pitcher. Their second best starter but gets horrible run support and shoddy defense behind him. The Orioles are what they are. Mediocre at best. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago 5 hours ago, nw baltimore wx said: What’s the cost of Gaussman? Ham sandwich 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gloves Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago We are spending 4 nights in a cabin near Davis, WV in a week. I know some of you have spent some time there - any trails, out of the way place we should know about? I've looked into the immediate area and well known hikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 1 hour ago, Gloves said: We are spending 4 nights in a cabin near Davis, WV in a week. I know some of you have spent some time there - any trails, out of the way place we should know about? I've looked into the immediate area and well known hikes If you want to be adventurous, try Dolly Sods. Very rugged and very unique for the area and has a Canada vibe- 'Features rare sphagnum bogs, heath barrens, and stunted red spruce trees typical of Canada rather than the mid-Atlantic.' Rough ride up from Canaan Valley but lots of trails and a great view east from Bear rocks, at about 4000 ft. Also check out Seneca Rocks. Not a long hike up but steep so a decent workout and a great view. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 14 hours ago, CAPE said: Baz is such a hard luck pitcher. Their second best starter but gets horrible run support and shoddy defense behind him. The Orioles are what they are. Mediocre at best. He went up against arguably the best pither in the NL. The Orioles had their changes twice and just could cash in. That 15 pitch at bat in the 7th did him in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Interstate said: He went up against arguably the best pither in the NL. The Orioles had their changes twice and just could cash in. That 15 pitch at bat in the 7th did him in. Agree, but its a season long thing. What's his record now, 4-10? Could be 10-4 lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago If this is the end of the Adley era in Baltimore it's been largely disappointing. They tanked for a lot of years for 2 seasons of competitive baseball and 0 post season wins. ( games) not series. Elias absolutely needs to be fired,but I get the feeling he will be back next year. Watching the little media availability that you do see Rubenstein do, it's starting feel like incompetence at the ownership level. All three levels of incompetence in the organization with Ownership, baseball ops and coaching. In 2023 they had the best record in baseball and the #1 ranked farm system to this in 3 years... Think about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 23 minutes ago, Chris78 said: If this is the end of the Adley era in Baltimore it's been largely disappointing. They tanked for a lot of years for 2 seasons of competitive baseball and 0 post season wins. ( games) not series. Elias absolutely needs to be fired,but I get the feeling he will be back next year. Watching the little media availability that you do see Rubenstein do, it's starting feel like incompetence at the ownership level. All three levels of incompetence in the organization with Ownership, baseball ops and coaching. In 2023 they had the best record in baseball and the #1 ranked farm system to this in 3 years... Think about that. Really have no confidence that Elias is going to make a move here that'd positively impact the team but moving Roger's and Adley would bring some value. Moving Jackson seems like overkill and would probably alienate what's left of the fanbase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, snowfan said: Really have no confidence that Elias is going to make a move here that'd positively impact the team but moving Roger's and Adley would bring some value. Moving Jackson seems like overkill and would probably alienate what's left of the fanbase. If you move both Adley and Holliday you tell the fan base the rebuild was for nothing, since those are both 1.1 picks. Elias and Alby are gone at the end of the season is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted 47 minutes ago Share Posted 47 minutes ago 33 minutes ago, Chris78 said: If this is the end of the Adley era in Baltimore it's been largely disappointing. They tanked for a lot of years for 2 seasons of competitive baseball and 0 post season wins. ( games) not series. Elias absolutely needs to be fired,but I get the feeling he will be back next year. Watching the little media availability that you do see Rubenstein do, it's starting feel like incompetence at the ownership level. All three levels of incompetence in the organization with Ownership, baseball ops and coaching. In 2023 they had the best record in baseball and the #1 ranked farm system to this in 3 years... Think about that. But management did sign Baz, Bradish, and Alonso to long term deals... We have not had that in the past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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