July 2026

[jm1220]

Some high end heat possible Wed. GFS has the city hitting 100, 850 temps around 22C and WNW winds. That's usually been the recipe to rocket our temps in the city/coast.

[winterwx21]

A line dropping down from the north. About to pour here. 

[winterwx21]

Coming down in buckets. 

[NEG NAO]

This line of heavy rain moving south from Northern NJ into Middlesex County is moving slowly and should produce an inch or 2 of rain in some places and wouldn't be surprised if there is more flooding in the usual areas prone to it. No wind thunder etc yet temp dropped from 83 to 69

[winterwx21]

20 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

This line of heavy rain moving south from Northern NJ into Middlesex County is moving slowly and should produce an inch or 2 of rain in some places and wouldn't be surprised if there is more flooding in the usual areas prone to it. No wind thunder etc yet temp dropped from 83 to 69

It produced a quick half inch of rain here. Moving slowly as you said, but it's a very skinny line so it doesn't last too long. It was absolutely torrential rain for a little while though. Happy to get the half inch today after the 2 inches the other day. It'll be good to go into the heat wave with high soil moisture. 

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It produced a quick half inch of rain here. Moving slowly as you said, but it's a very skinny line so it doesn't last too long. It was absolutely torrential rain for a little while though. Happy to get the half inch today after the 2 inches the other day. It'll be good to go into the heat wave with high spoil moisture. 

there was an area of very heavy rain just to your east on radar - would like to hear of any amounts from those areas

[BoulderWX]

Dropped .80” in Morristown - wasn’t expecting anything but will definitely take the moisture. 

[FPizz]

52 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Coming down in buckets. 

Heading to you're area in a few for a grad party.  Hope it stops soon for it.  

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Heading to you're area in a few for a grad party.  Hope it stops soon for it.  

clearing is headed this way for mid - late afternoon - temps will rebound to close to 80 or above in some areas but high humidity for awhile

[winterwx21]

28 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

there was an area of very heavy rain just to your east on radar - would like to hear of any amounts from those areas

I'm in Piscataway but near the border of South Plainfield. Those heaviest red radar echoes went right over me. It was a quick half inch. 

[FPizz]

Just got a quick .15" here in a 5 minute downpour

[winterwx21]

28 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Heading to you're area in a few for a grad party.  Hope it stops soon for it.  

Have a great time! 

[Stormlover74]

30 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

I'm in Piscataway but near the border of South Plainfield. Those heaviest red radar echoes went right over me. It was a quick half inch. 

Definitely wasn't expecting that much

[SACRUS]

76 / 71  0.12 in the bucket - monthly now to 3.79

 

[SACRUS]

Records:

HIghs:

EWR: 100 (1988)
NYC: 98 (1988)
LGA: 98 (1988)
JFK: 98 (1966)



Lows:

EWR: 58 (1934)
NYC: 57 (1898)
LGA: 62 (1945)
JFK: 61 (2002)



Histprical:

1888 - Heavy snow reached almost to the base of Mt. Washington, NH, and the peaks of the Green Mountains were whitened. (David Ludlum)

 

1909: A deadly, estimated F2 tornado moved ESE across the Simpson Park section of Big Stone City in South Dakota. A bus was thrown from the road and the driver was killed. Two homes and several barns were destroyed. As the tornado crossed the foot of Big Stone Lake, it tore apart a railroad yard and killed four of the 26 Armenian laborers who were living in box cars at Ortonville, MN. 19 people were injured.  A tornado in the eastern St. Louis metropolitan area in Missouri began as a waterspout on the Mississippi River, drove a steamer into a bridge. On land, the tornado destroyed several barns and damaged 15 homes and two factories in the west part of Alton.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1912: Boston, MA recorded the end of the longest heat wave ever. It was 9 consecutive days with 90 °F or more.
(Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

 

1936: From July 5-17, temperatures exceeding 111 degrees in Manitoba and Ontario claimed 1,180 lives (mostly the elderly and infants) during the most prolonged, deadliest heat wave on record. Four hundred of these deaths were caused by people who drowned seeking refuge from the heat. In fact, the heat was so intense that steel rail lines and bridge girders twisted, sidewalks buckled, crops wilted and fruit baked on trees. Some record temperatures include; 112 degrees at St. Albans and Emerson, Manitoba, 111 at Brandon, Manitoba, 108 at Atikokan, Ontario, and Winnipeg, Manitoba.

1936: Unbelievable heat occurred across the Mid Atlantic states and the deadliest heat wave ever in parts of Canada. Ontario, Canada recorded its hottest temperature ever as the town of Atikokan hit 108°. On the same day in Manitoba, Winnipeg also reached 108°, the highest recorded temperature there since records began in the 1870's. St. Albans set Manitoba’s all-time record as they soared to 112°. In the United States, the all-time record high was set at Rochester, MN with 108°. Other daily record highs were set at Lincoln, NE: 109°; Peoria, IL: 108°; Rockford, IL: 108°, Grand Forks, ND: 108°, Decatur, IL: 107°, Moline, IL: 107°, Dubuque, IA: 107°, Minneapolis, MN: 106°, St. Cloud, MN: 106°, Fargo, ND: 106°, Springfield, IL: 105°, Champaign, IL: 105°, (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)


1939: All-time record highs of 110 °F and 106 °F were set for the city of Scottsbluff, NE and Kimball, NE, respectively, while Cheyenne, WY tied their all-time record high of 100°. Sioux City, IA also tied their all-time record high with 111°. Chadron, NE recorded its 3rd warmest day on record with a record high of 110°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1970: Seminole County in Oklahoma was hit hard by severe weather during the evening hours. Thunderstorm winds, estimated between 90 and 100 mph, damaged several buildings and blew out several plate-glass windows. Up to 5 inches of rain was also reported producing isolated flash flooding. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: Hot weather prevailed from the southeast to the Plains. Daily records included: Wichita, KS: 111°, Columbia, MO: 108°, Dodge City, KS: 108°, Topeka, KS: 107°, DFW Airport, TX: 107°, Macon, GA: 104°, Savannah, GA: 103°, Memphis, TN: 103°, Houston, TX: 103°, Columbus, GA: 102°, Paducah, KY: 102°, Atlanta, GA: 101°, Chattanooga, TN: 100 °F. (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

1981: Severe thunderstorms moved eastward across the entire length of South Dakota along the northern portion of the state. The storms produced large storms and an incredible amount of wind damage. Hail chicken egg size and up to 9 inches in circumference resulted in 100% crop loss in some areas. Many farmers reported that their crops were devastated by the storms winds and hail. Many trees were stripped of their leaves and large limbs were frequently lost. Winds exceeded 70 mph in many areas. Damage was so extensive that damage estimates were not even attempted. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Parkston, SD, and wind gusts to 87 mph at Buffalo, MN. Later in the day strong thunderstorm winds at Howard WI collapsed a circus tent injuring 44 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Texas, with totals ranging up to 13 inches near Medina. Two men drowned when their pick-up truck was swept into the Guadalupe River, west of the town of Hunt. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Baltimore, MD, reported a record high reading of 102 degrees for the second day in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Dakota to Indiana. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced tennis ball size hail at Carson. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fort Wayne. Five cities in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lakeland, FL, with a reading of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1990: The costliest hailstorm in U.S. history occurred along the Front Range of the Colorado Rockies. (Denver, Colorado): Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing more than $600 million in total damage.


1992: An isolated thunderstorm developed over northeast Nebraska and moved into west-central Iowa. Windows were blown out at a store in downtown Onawa and high winds downed trees about 6 miles northwest of Onawa. Golf ball size hail also produced crop damage in Monona County and 3.50 inches of rain fell in a short period of time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1993: The Great Midwest Flood continued as flood waters came close the Des Moines, IA water treatment plant, leaving the city's 250,000 residents without water for 12 days. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1995: Winds gusted to 86 mph at Barstow, FL damaging several small airplanes and buildings.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1995: Shortly before 2 a.m. a house in Danielsville, PA, was hit twice by lightning. The chimney and roof were damaged and debris from the house damaged 3 cars. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will again feature highs mainly in the lower 80s. Temperatures will remain in the lower to middle 80s on Monday before heat begins to push in from the Plains States.

Some heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains could send temperatures into the 90s near mid-month. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -30.66 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.244 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 64% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

[steve392]

Warmed up nicely once clouds cleared.  A tad humid.  Got start the fungus treatments on lawn with this weather.  

[Stormlover74]

Looks like no rain chances for at least a week

[SACRUS]

Today's Highs:


PHL: 89
TEB: 84
LGA: 83
New Brnswck: 82
ISP: 82
NYC: 82
TTN: 82
EWR: 81
BLM: 81
JFK: 81
ACY: 77

[NEG NAO]

[bluewave]

Really extreme over the top heatwave with parts of the Rockies and Plains approaching all-time highs today.

The record 600 DM ridge will become very compressed leading to the 850 mb heat plume tracking through the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario next few days.

The heat should peak in our area on Wednesday. Both the Euro and GFS have 100°-103° highs at the warm spots around the region.  101°+ would be a first to follow so quickly after 104°-106° heat earlier in the month. 
 

 

 

[SACRUS]

79 / 62 clear - great day ahead.  Warming Monday and hot Tue - fri peaking 48 hours Tue/Wed with mid 90s - upper 90s. Overall warm to hot at times pattern as western heat builds comes east focused south of the area.  Next shot at storms Fri - Sat-Sun

 

[SACRUS]

1 hour ago, bluewave said:

Really extreme over the top heatwave with parts of the Rockies and Plains approaching all-time highs today.

The record 600 DM ridge will become very compressed leading to the 850 mb heat plume tracking through the Upper Great Lakes and Ontario next few days.

The heat should peak in our area on Wednesday. Both the Euro and GFS have 100°-103° highs at the warm spots around the region.  This would be a first to follow so quickly after 104°-106° heat earlier in the month. 
 

 

 

 

EWR hit 100 twice in July several times / separated by more than a week. Maybe you mean 103+ heat or more widespread?

[SACRUS]

Records:


Highs:

EWR: 99 (2011)
NYC: 99 (1966)
LGA: 98 (1966)
JFK: 98 (2011)



Lows:

EWR: 52 (1945)
NYC: 57 (1926)
LGA: 59 (1940)
JFK: 58 (1973)




Historical:

 

 

1842: One of the most severe hurricanes in the history of the coastal Carolinas struck the Outer Banks of North Carolina on the evening of the 12th into the 13th. The entire village of Portsmouth was destroyed except for one building. The storm apparently passed inland near Norfolk, VA and caused massive flooding from Virginia into Pennsylvania. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1936: The hottest three-day periods up to this time in United States history occurred beginning on this date as the average temperature was 88.5°; the second warmest such period occurred three days earlier. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1951 - The Kaw River flood occurred. The month of June that year was the wettest of record for the state of Kansas, and during the four days preceding the flood much of eastern Kansas and western Missouri received more than ten inches of rain. Flooding in the Midwest claimed 41 lives, left 200 thousand persons homeless, and caused a billion dollars property damage. Kansas City was hardest hit. The central industrial district sustained 870 million dollars property damage. (The Kansas City Weather Alamnac)

 

1974: Philmont Scout Ranch, Colfax County, N. Mex.-- Lightning struck a group of scouts and leaders who had gathered beneath a nylon dining canopy to avoid heavy rain; killed one, injured six. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf)

1975: A nearly stationary front north to south over Pennsylvania caused rain and thunderstorms over the region for 3 days beginning on this date. Amounts of two inches plus in 24 hours and 4 inches plus for the 3 days were common. In Pennsylvania, Perkasie reported 7 inches, Lansdale: 5.11 inches, West Chester: 6.94 inches through the 13th; and Schwenksville reported 6 inches in 30 hours. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1979: First 90° day of year was very late in the year. This was the latest 90°F day ever recorded in Washington, DC. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA)

1980 - Lightning struck a large broiler house in Branford, FL, and the ensuing fire broiled 11,000 nearly ready broilers. Firemen were able to save a few thousand chickens, however. (The Weather Channel)

1987 - Cool air invaded the High Plains Region. Eight cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Sheridan, WY, with a reading of 37 degrees. Thunderstorms developing along the cold front in the central U.S. produced 6.5 inches of rain at Fort Dodge, IA, and 2.5 inches in one hour at St. Joseph MO. (The National Weather Summary)

1988 - Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather over the Dakotas, including baseball size hail at Aberdeen, SD, and softball size hail near Fullerton, ND. Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in Arkansas and northeastern Texas, with 6.59 inches reported at Mesquite, TX, in just an hour and fifteen minutes. Garland, TX, reported water up to the tops of cars following a torrential downpour. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1989 - Early morning thunderstorms over eastern Kansas deluged McFarland with more than six inches of rain. Afternoon thunderstorms in Wyoming produced up to eighteen inches of dime size hail near Rock Springs, along with torrential rains, and a three foot high wall of mud and water swept into the town causing more than 1.5 million dollars damage. Evening thunderstorms produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Arkansas, deluging Dardanelle, AR, with 3.50 inches of rain in less than twenty minutes. About seventy cows were killed when lightning struck a tree in Jones County, TX. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1993: Thunderstorms dumped up to 4 inches of rain in 30 minutes in the Pierre and Ft. Pierre areas in South Dakota. As golf ball size hail also pounded the area the runoff from the heavy rains piled the hail into drifts five feet high. On the same day a severe thunderstorm dumped large hail and heavy rains in the Lantry area in Dewey County. The water which could not be absorbed by already saturated ground ran four to five feet deep through some buildings in town.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1995: An intense heat wave affected much of the Midwest for a 4-day period beginning on this day. The worst effects of the heat were noted in the Chicago metropolitan area, where 583 people died from the heat. Temperatures across the region reached as high as 104 degrees, overnight lows on falling to the upper 70s to low 80s. Dew point temperatures in the upper 70s to low 80s created heat indexes peaking at 125 degrees. Electricity and water usage reached record levels, causing periodic outages.



1996: Hurricane Bertha makes landfall near Wrightsville Beach, NC with maximum winds of 105 mph, but the storm surge dealt the most devastation. The U.S. Virgin Islands, along with North Carolina, were declared federal disaster areas. Surveys indicate that Bertha damaged almost 2,500 homes on St. Thomas and St. John. For many, it was the second hit in the ten months since Hurricane Marilyn devastated the same area. The primary effects in North Carolina were to the coastal counties and included storm surge flooding and beach erosion, roof damage, piers washed away, fallen trees and damage to crops. Over 5,000 homes were damaged, mostly from storm surge. Storm total rainfall amounts ranged from 5 to 8 inches along a coastal strip from South Carolina to Maine. Overall, as many as 12 deaths resulted with 8 in the U.S. and territories.

 

1997: Lightning can hit the ground 15+ miles from the thunderstorm. Two golfers at a Tampa Florida course were hit by the first observed lightning bolt of a distant thunderstorm; it came from the storms cirrus anvil. The sun was shining at their location and one of the two men was killed.  (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2007 Accord Publishing, USA)

1998: The temperature at the Dallas/Ft. Worth Airport in Texas rose to 100°. Dallas saw the temperature go to 100° or hotter on 56 days during the summer of 1998. There were 39 nights that the mercury never dropped below 80°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2004: Hail up to the size of softballs fell in and around Onaka, SD damaging vehicles, farm equipment, and homes. High winds along with hail up to the size of baseballs caused some structural, vehicle, crop, and tree damage in and around Astoria, SD and Toronto, SD.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

2005: July 12th to July 20th Reno, Nevada: A record string of days with temperatures above 101°F: nine straight days. (Ref. WxDoctor)

2011: High humidity levels and dew points were higher during the summer 2011 compared with 2010, resulting in unusually warm nighttime temperatures. A low temperature of 81 at Richmond on July 12th was the first ever daily low of 80 and above. A steady southwest wind overnight also contributed to this event. (Ref.NWS, Wakefield, Virginia - A New Record High Minimum Temperature)

2022: On the evening of July 12 between 8PM and 10 PM around 4.50 inches of rain fell in the Buchanan County, Virginia area. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

[bluewave]

31 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

EWR hit 100 twice in July several times / separated by more than a week. Maybe you mean 103+ heat or more widespread?

This will be the first 101°+ potential less than 15 days after 104°+ during July and August. 

[SACRUS]

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This will be the first 100°+ potential less than 15 days after 104°+ during July and August. 

Yeah 1993 , 2011 came the closest for that criteria but not quite in the 15 day range.  Will be interesting and will the next heat spike east in the 7/23 - 7/30 timeframe .

[bluewave]

20 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

Yeah 1993 , 2011 came the closest for that criteria but not quite in the 15 day range.  Will be interesting and will the next heat spike east in the 7/23 - 7/30 timeframe .

Newark came closest in July 1966 but only made it to 100°. So the number to watch will be 101°+. All the other years stayed under 100° within 15 days of 104°+. July 1949 made it back to 101° on the 28th.

1966-07-03	105	75	90.0	12.6	0	25	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-04	100	78	89.0	11.5	0	24	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-05	87	74	80.5	2.8	0	16	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-06	87	73	80.0	2.2	0	15	T	0.0	0
1966-07-07	93	76	84.5	6.6	0	20	T	0.0	0
1966-07-08	91	70	80.5	2.4	0	16	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-09	89	67	78.0	-0.2	0	13	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-10	93	70	81.5	3.3	0	17	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-11	96	72	84.0	5.7	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-12	98	72	85.0	6.6	0	20	0.00	0.0	0
1966-07-13	100	77	88.5	10.1	0	24	0.00	0.0

 

1949-07-04	105	74	89.5	12.0	0	25	0.08	0.0	0
1949-07-05	95	73	84.0	6.3	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-06	83	68	75.5	-2.3	0	11	0.47	0.0	0
1949-07-07	81	64	72.5	-5.4	0	8	0.06	0.0	0
1949-07-08	81	65	73.0	-5.1	0	8	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-09	81	61	71.0	-7.2	0	6	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-10	76	64	70.0	-8.2	0	5	0.13	0.0	0
1949-07-11	86	67	76.5	-1.8	0	12	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-12	81	69	75.0	-3.4	0	10	0.17	0.0	0
1949-07-13	85	69	77.0	-1.4	0	12	0.56	0.0	0
1949-07-14	91	67	79.0	0.5	0	14	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-15	80	71	75.5	-3.0	0	11	0.22	0.0	0
1949-07-16	81	71	76.0	-2.5	0	11	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-17	75	70	72.5	-6.0	0	8	1.17	0.0	0
1949-07-18	93	70	81.5	3.0	0	17	T	0.0	0
1949-07-19	94	72	83.0	4.5	0	18	T	0.0	0
1949-07-20	94	74	84.0	5.5	0	19	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-21	94	77	85.5	7.0	0	21	T	0.0	0
1949-07-22	97	75	86.0	7.5	0	21	0.01	0.0	0
1949-07-23	90	71	80.5	2.1	0	16	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-24	90	63	76.5	-1.9	0	12	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-25	94	69	81.5	3.2	0	17	0.03	0.0	0
1949-07-26	88	71	79.5	1.2	0	15	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-27	97	71	84.0	5.8	0	19	T	0.0	0
1949-07-28	101	75	88.0	9.8	0	23	T	0.0	0
1949-07-29	100	75	87.5	9.4	0	23	0.00	0.0	0
1949-07-30	101	75	88.0	9.9	0	23	0.05	0.0