kdxken Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Not sure why folks were wishing for this. To each his own I guess. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortex95 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 18 minutes ago, kdxken said: So all states would be skewed in the same manner pretty much right? How would that data be invalid for hypothesizing about a movement east of tornado Alley? Yes, but normal waxing and waxing decadal cycles of tornado activity occur by default in the large picture. For instance, there was a distinct minimum in annual totals inn the second half of the 1980s, and another in the mid 2010s. We would really need another 30-40 years of high quality data IMHO o map out normal cyclic activity in tornado patterns. It could be shifts W-E and then E-W as part of a larger cycle over many decades. Also, all states are not created equal for symmetric tornado count changes. Population change/distribution and visibility are two factors. Also, seasonal trends. For instance, there appears to be a shift for more tornadoes in the cool season w/ a decrease in the warm season. This would tend to make tornadoes under-reported in the cool season b/c of less daylight. Hence, uniform extrapolation over all areas/states can not be applies here. There is still and increase net-net of course. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 16 minutes ago, kdxken said: Not sure why folks were wishing for this. To each his own I guess. 60s and rain after a high of 73F here. Congrats on the 59s to the cars on blocks in the Berks though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Nothing is modeled Did you look? It sure is 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 9 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Did you look? It sure is Yup and there’s nothing but a few showers overnight / early morning . I’m sure you picked one model that shows different 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 38 minutes ago, kdxken said: Not sure why folks were wishing for this. To each his own I guess. On a non-holiday weekday when we need the rain, we can deal with the shitty temps for a day or two if that's what gets us some steady soaking precipitation. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup and there’s nothing but a few showers overnight / early morning . I’m sure you picked one model that shows different I’ll end up with an inch from this today so that works. Final total should be in the 1.0-1.2 range as this winds down with maybe another shower overnight . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I’ll end up with an inch from this today so that works. Final total should be in the 1.0-1.2 range as this winds down with maybe another shower overnight . You could end up with more, but the showers seem to be of a more scattered nature over the next 24 hours, so it could be more of a hit and miss situation. The HRRR shows 1 - 2" over next 18 hours, and it's been more accurate showing the QPF in short term than some of the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 6 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: You could end up with more, but the showers seem to be of a more scattered nature over the next 24 hours, so it could be more of a hit and miss situation. The HRRR shows 1 - 2" over next 18 hours, and it's been more accurate showing the QPF in short term than some of the other models. HRRR has handled this terribly . This batch is about it . Should wind down shortly .An inch give or take should do it. Which is double what i thought 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 14 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said: You could end up with more, but the showers seem to be of a more scattered nature over the next 24 hours, so it could be more of a hit and miss situation. The HRRR shows 1 - 2" over next 18 hours, and it's been more accurate showing the QPF in short term than some of the other models. He’s drunk. Hrrr has done well. I can’t wait to pour bleach on his lawn. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Guy bitched his way to a Jack. I’ll be lucky for a half inch with this batch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Guy bitched his way to a Jack. I’ll be lucky for a half inch with this batch. Ha. He’s about to hit 1” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: He’s drunk. Hrrr has done well. I can’t wait to pour bleach on his lawn. It had route 2 north for days. It was awful . Put the cake and cookies away 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: Ha. He’s about to hit 1” Hopefully an infestation of grubs and fungus. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yup and there’s nothing but a few showers overnight / early morning . I’m sure you picked one model that shows different Congrats on a good soaking tonight and tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Nothing crazy here, but something. .20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 1 minute ago, ineedsnow said: Congrats on a good soaking tonight and tomorrow Yeah we had that this afternoon but it’s just about done now . Was a nice positive model bust for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 It’s raining men, hallelujah! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah we had that this afternoon but it’s just about done now . Was a nice positive model bust for once What planet are you on? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 17 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Hopefully an infestation of grubs and fungus. 9.5” since 4/1. Not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: What planet are you on? Not sure what you’re talking about. Other than the globals. Hi res was all north and they busted pretty badly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 .75” so far. All in the last three hours. 8 minutes ago, dendrite said: 9.5” since 4/1. Not bad. 11.75” up at WXW2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 Ended up with .94. Sun peeking out a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 15 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Not sure what you’re talking about. Other than the globals. Hi res was all north and they busted pretty badly They all had rain today. I’ve been watching. Had the best near you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 22 Author Share Posted June 22 Just now, CoastalWx said: They all had rain today. I’ve been watching. Had the best near you. Actually not one of them did . Not at 6z anyway . HREF had .50 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah we had that this afternoon but it’s just about done now . Was a nice positive model bust for once More starting to develop in eastern NY that will head your way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 .07", but things could get interesting tomorrow. let's get some boomers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 6 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: More starting to develop in eastern NY that will head your way Don’t bother 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 Jesus congrats MVY. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 22 Share Posted June 22 25 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: .75” so far. All in the last three hours. 11.75” up at WXW2 12.37” here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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