Summer 2026 Med/Long Range Discussion

[CheeselandSkies]

Models give some hope for a return to activity on or about June 14-15, at least for northwestern portions of the sub. Will have been a very long four weeks by that time.

[A-L-E-K]

i want 2 believe

[hawkeye_wx]

There is definitely some hope on the horizon.  The pattern switches to wetter Friday.  It feels like an eternity since we've had a thunderstorm.

EPS mean

[michsnowfreak]

Pretty pumped that after a coolish May ill be looking at a 10 day alaskan forecast with highs/lows in the upper 50s/upper 40s dominating. Really makes the summer more tolerable when you shorten the heat part. 

[A-L-E-K]

Coworker weather

[A-L-E-K]

Torch incoming?

 

 

[Chicago Storm]

3 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

Torch incoming?

 

 

there's been a signal for about a week now, favoring next week for a ridge to poke up into the region.

i wouldn't say it'll be a heat-wave, but it looks to be deep summer-like.

[cyclone77]

I could be down for a ring of fire pattern. Tis the season is the reason.

[michsnowfreak]

3 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

Torch incoming?

 

 

Love it! Ill be in Alaska 

[mjwise]

That ridge is fading fast in the models. LOT still had us well into the 90s for Thurs and Fri next week on this morning's forecast package but I think they're going to have to pull back on that.

ETA: LOT noted in the morning discussion the point and click and zone forecasts are married to the NBM and that appears to be having some issues.

Quote

Note that the NBM depicted temperatures centered Tuesday through
Friday (most notably on Wednesday and Thursday) are well
outside of the ensemble spectrum due to likely spurious upward
bias correction. Thus we will withhold from any heat messaging
locally. It looks to be very warm and humid, but not hazardously
so, per the current global ensemble guidance consensus.