May 2026 Obs/Discussion

[Prismshine Productions]

Why can't we keep this pattern through August then have a cold and snowy winter

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[CoastalWx]

Gonna be nice today except for the 50mph winds lol. Finally feels close to summer. 

[Damage In Tolland]

SW wind events tend to do a lot of damage.. especially with leaves on trees 

[jbenedet]

Sub 70 temps through June 1 on SSW/SW winds low level WAD would piss me off to no end in these pahts. 
 

Couldnt live here. Portland is often in that zone, as much as I love that city. 

[Damage In Tolland]

70-75 Mothers Day

[dendrite]

56° already

Meanwhile a low of 31° at BML

[jbenedet]

Another factor to your local forecast. UHI + DCHI

I do believe this already impacts locations downwind…à la imby

[SouthCoastMA]

Um yea SW/SSW arent the best here early in the season, especially. But 60's is doable in May. 

As long as we flush the 40-50° crap out of here I'm good. 

[Typhoon Tip]

2 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Sub 70 temps through June 1 on SSW/SW winds low level WAD would piss me off to no end in these pahts. 
 

Couldnt live here. Portland is often in that zone, as much as I love that city. 

Not sure it matters as an augment or not but it may be worse than usual.  It seems we've been through an unusually proficient upwelling circumstance along the interface water where the Labradorian flow abuts the warmer Atlantic.  Those 'tuck' waters running parallel to the coast out there are impressively colder than normal according to this source:  https://climatereanalyzer.org/wx/todays-weather/?var_id=sstanom&ortho=1&wt=1

so yeah...intuitively any S or even SSW flow is unusual doctored.

I wonder if this also the case NW Pacific.  Because from the vantage provided above, ...we are uniquely cold abused.   F'n weird...   air and sea since last October is like a cold targeting attack right here

[CoastalWx]

Still 47F in Boston Harbor. Waters actually really cooled off this winter. 

[Typhoon Tip]

12 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Everything points to Big pattern flip post mid month. Energy Mets also all over it . These silly tweets 

Not sure about "big" per se... but I agree.  

I explained this yesterday/why...   at the time, the signal is/was mostly numeric, with some hint in the actual spatial synoptics of the general ensemble means.  The operational models were, and in some cases still are, lagging a bit on that. 

The 00z operational Euro's extended is now just detecting the change. First to do so.  It's got some spuriously oddly wrapped cyclones in the interim running up where it shouldn't but removing those and normalizing out those daily aspects that look engineered by the run .. the height changes paint an 80/60 day-night regime from IND-BOS, in real seasonal move.  We'll see if the others begin to do so.

[Brewbeer]

Nice morning, 61/53 here already, but showers heading this way, where did those come from ?

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Not sure about "big" per se... but I agree.  

I explained this yesterday/why...   at the time, the signal is/was mostly numeric, with some hint in the actual spatial synoptics of the general ensemble means.  The operational models were, and in some cases still are, lagging a bit on that. 

The 00z operational Euro's extended is now just detecting the change. First to do so.  It's got some spuriously oddly wrapped cyclones in the interim running up where it shouldn't but removing those and normalizing for the height changes paints an 80/60 day-night regime from IND-BOS, in real seasonal move.  We'll see if the others begin to do so.

JMA monthly sniffed it out last week 

[Typhoon Tip]

8 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

JMA monthly sniffed it out last week 

  well sign me up

 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

56° already

Meanwhile a low of 31° at BML

Had 37F for a min and already 64F.  Just straight up temperature curve.

[CoastalWx]

Ensembles also showed the trough shifting out so that usually implies a warm up.

[weatherwiz]

Was doing nicely warming up but clouds have put a lid on things 

[Ginx snewx]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ensembles also showed the trough shifting out so that usually implies a warm up.

That's a day 14 hope. Really don't see any huge pattern change that DIT  is touting. What happened to his hot Mayorcĥ? He was touting 80 today. Gonna be tough 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

That's a day 14 hope. Really don't see any huge pattern change that DIT  is touting. What happened to his hot Mayorcĥ? He was touting 80 today. Gonna be tough 

It's basically just seasonal increases in baseline temps, which we take. But yeah I don't see a torch imminent either

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

That's a day 14 hope. Really don't see any huge pattern change that DIT  is touting. What happened to his hot Mayorcĥ? He was touting 80 today. Gonna be tough 

The weeklies and charts performed extremely poorly for this whole cold month period you had 

[SouthCoastMA]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

The weeklies and charts performed extremely poorly for this whole cold month period you had 

After May 20th I think 

[Brian5671]

TORCH!   up to 70 here

[Typhoon Tip]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Gonna be nice today except for the 50mph winds lol. Finally feels close to summer. 

70

so far the wind's a no show here.   Perhaps we have a thinly stable layer just yet...  

[SouthCoastMA]

breezy but yesterday was far windier. we'll see if that changes

60° so far, hope to touch the mid 60s

[Ginx snewx]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The weeklies and charts performed extremely poorly for this whole cold month period you had 

Wait wut? Weeklies nailed the last 25 days you were-7 over that period according to the Staffordville coop. 

[Ginx snewx]

28 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

After May 20th I think 

He has had one too many craft beers.

[weatherwiz]

At least tomorrow should provide some widespread rains...nothing eye opening in terms of totals but a nice little drink. PWATS are rather high though so could be some room to get towards the higher end guidance tomorrow

[HIPPYVALLEY]

3 hours ago, jbenedet said:

Sub 70 temps through June 1 on SSW/SW winds low level WAD would piss me off to no end in these pahts. 
 

Couldnt live here. Portland is often in that zone, as much as I love that city. 

Believe me, I would love to live on the coast of Maine, but there’s just not enough warmth.

[weatherwiz]

Winds may end up underperforming today too