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Potential Sever Weather Outbreak 4/27/2026

pen_artist

By pen_artist,
in Lakes/Ohio Valley

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Jackstraw

Jackstraw

Posted
Posted
On 4/25/2026 at 2:03 PM, TheNiño said:

Am I being a weenie thinking this has high risk potential around the STL to Springfield area? I know it’s still too early to tell but the models certainly aren’t backing down. 

Nah. Old chasing friend of mine was trying to talk me into going with him last night. We've been talking about this setup, the potential mess it could be most of the weekend. That's the area, IMO, I'd be IF I were chasing. I decided not to go. He left last night is in a hotel just S of Springfield. I'll be playing base camp for him lol. Do believe for any lone sups its gonna be highest chance in that area. Could be a lot of embedded sups and MCV spin ups but chasing those just sux. Think kind of like the last system, Tail End Charlies will be best isolated sup options when you get bows and shrimps like this setup could be full of. Like you said that area just got elevated to MOD so yeah, thats a good call IMO if your going. Anything isolated East into IL/IN is probably going to be close to or after dark. Another reason I'm not going. Good chance for a late night MCS/MCV rolling through here. I've got a donkey, 2 goats and 2 dogs. They get quite upset when there's big thunder dragons outside lol.

Good luck to anyone who dares and be safe. Idiots IPhones and storms don't mix lol. 

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Jackstraw

Jackstraw

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Posted

Tor warning near Taylorville IL embedded in that very shrimpy looking bow in Central IL. Right on top of my friend over there. Said he hasn't even left the parking lot. He's going to head S/SW and get into the clearing out warm sector. Think that area is where the best potential for some explosive cap busters.

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Lurkess

Lurkess

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Tornado watch 160 just issued for my area.  I'm not real excited about this.  I'm homebound now, with no real Tornado shelter.  I can't believe I'm saying this because I love to watch nature do her thing, from afar of course.  Cleaned up after 2005 outbreak, so heartbreaking. It truly sucks getting old.  Cancer part 2.0 did this to me.

Here's to hoping that being surrounded by oil fields will spare us.  It has in the past.

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mob1

mob1

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Posted

Based on current observations, the northern extent of true surfaced-based severe weather should extend roughly on a line from St Louis east/northeast ward. 

HRRR has the southern portion lit up with discrete cells before going linear. 

download (2).png

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nvck

nvck

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Quote

The National Weather Service in Grand Rapids has issued a

* Special Marine Warning for...
  Nearshore and Open Waters from St Joseph to Pentwater MI...

* Until 630 PM EDT.

* At 323 PM EDT, destructive winds behind an area of precipitation 
  will spread east across the waters. Winds will be from the east or 
  southeast, making it extremely difficult for small craft to return 
  to port if caught in these winds.

  HAZARD...Wind gusts in excess of 50 knots.

Pretty aggressive wording on this SMW over Lake Michigan

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