Potential Sever Weather Outbreak 4/27/2026

[King James]

Soooo just a rainy day? Lolz

[pen_artist]

I feel like if there is really any chance at svr in NIL it would be late evening. 10 and 11z (haven't look back more) hint at at least thunderstoms with some rotation moving through the 9 PM -12 AM timeframe.

[TheNiño]

Moderate now for parts of Missouri and Illinois. I feel somewhat vindicated.

[Jackstraw]

On 4/25/2026 at 2:03 PM, TheNiño said:

Am I being a weenie thinking this has high risk potential around the STL to Springfield area? I know it’s still too early to tell but the models certainly aren’t backing down. 

Nah. Old chasing friend of mine was trying to talk me into going with him last night. We've been talking about this setup, the potential mess it could be most of the weekend. That's the area, IMO, I'd be IF I were chasing. I decided not to go. He left last night is in a hotel just S of Springfield. I'll be playing base camp for him lol. Do believe for any lone sups its gonna be highest chance in that area. Could be a lot of embedded sups and MCV spin ups but chasing those just sux. Think kind of like the last system, Tail End Charlies will be best isolated sup options when you get bows and shrimps like this setup could be full of. Like you said that area just got elevated to MOD so yeah, thats a good call IMO if your going. Anything isolated East into IL/IN is probably going to be close to or after dark. Another reason I'm not going. Good chance for a late night MCS/MCV rolling through here. I've got a donkey, 2 goats and 2 dogs. They get quite upset when there's big thunder dragons outside lol.

Good luck to anyone who dares and be safe. Idiots IPhones and storms don't mix lol. 

[A-L-E-K]

shame about missing the bangers, glad for more consolation prize rain