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Nice outside.  Too warm inside.  A/C turned on for first time this season on second floor.  With sun pouring in the temperature up there was 78 degrees.  No thanks.  Still cool on the main floor 73 degrees.  A very comfortable 68 degrees down in the Man Cave.  Pollen season underway with green dust building up on everything.  Another reason to keep the windows closed.

Beautiful outside though.  Low humidity, a nice breeze and temperature 84 down from a high 85.

Will be watering the grass seed again this evening.  Could use some rain.

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Tomorrow and Thursday will feature exceptional early season warmth. Temperatures will likely peak in the middle and upper in most of the region. Records will likely be challenged tomorrow. 

Daily Records for April 15:

Albany: 86°, 2003
Bridgeport: 81°, 1960
Hartford: 88°, 1941
Islip: 78°, 2002, 2024
New York City-Central Park: 87°, 1941
New York City-JFK Airport: 80°, 1960, 2002, 2006
New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 86°, 1941
Newark: 88°, 1960
Philadelphia: 88°, 1941
White Plains: 83°, 1960

Some of the guidance suggests that the hot spots could approach or reach 90° during the height of the warmth. Long Island will be cooler with highs peaking in the 70s due to onshore breezes. However, there is a chance that Islip could approach or reach 80° on Wednesday.

Following the bout of early season heat, readings will return to the 70s to end the week and start the weekend. It will turn cooler on Sunday. A sharp cold shot is possible early next week.

Generally dry conditions will also persist through at least Friday.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.2°C for the week centered around April 8. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.30°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was -9.45 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -1.087 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 84% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal April (1991-2020 normal). April will likely finish with a mean temperature near 56.6° (2.9° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 3.6° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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4 hours ago, IrishRob17 said:

As much as I dislike the heat, its hard for me to consider this swamp ass weather with the dews relatively low when compared to what has become normal around here in the summer. 

Dews are in the mid to upper 50s so it's def not a dry heat but definitely no swamp weather 

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