Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs

[Brian5671]

Whole house fan here.  Sucks the heat right out.   Too early to run the CAC and haven't had it serviced yet

[tunafish]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It was 77 on the thermostat last evening . 

Your house must have 0 insulation.

A few less $6/pint IPAs a week and you can probably save enough for better insulation, maybe even a mini-split.

 

42 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Why? Did you mean to ask Tblizz this since he’s been divorced and married 4 times at age 25?

Not really a dunk.

Recognize it early and pull the plug before kids >>> pretend it's working just to protect the institution of marriage while deep down everyone is miserable.

[Damage In Tolland]

Torch!!

 

[Brian5671]

14 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Your house must have 0 insulation.

A few less $6/pint IPAs a week and you can probably save enough for better insulation, maybe even a mini-split.

 

Not really a dunk.

Recognize it early and pull the plug before kids >>> pretend it's working just to protect the institution of marriage while deep down everyone is miserable.

Mini splits are a great invention-alot less ugly than window units hanging out of the house.

[weatherwiz]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Both nams have a lot of elevated instability tonight. Overnight bangers.

That's some pretty impressive elevated instability by the NAM overnight. Even the latest HRRR is pretty solid. Think we want to watch for whether we can sneak into the northern edge of the steep lapse rate plume which should at least graze the coast. Regardless, still decent elevated instability but could be looking at something along the lines of 500-800 J versus upwards of 1500+ if we can get into those steeper lapse rates. 

Perhaps some risk for large hail?

[IrishRob17]

51 minutes ago, tunafish said:

Your house must have 0 insulation.

 

Agreed, I live in an old ass house (mid 1800's)with poor insulation and it only got to 70, windows closed, on my second floor yesterday after a high of 86.

[CoastalWx]

My house gets warm, especially upstairs, but it cooled down fine last night, especially with those strong south winds.

[powderfreak]

Nice Fata Morgana optical illusions this morning distorting MWN area.

[rimetree]

Temps going the wrong direction now. 51.6 and falling

[Typhoon Tip]

I'd like to assess where the main boundary is toward evening. 

We may also distill the present status quo with new convection during the daylight today ?   seems humid and warming fast, with a residual plumb/outflow propagating through NYS poised to move into this warming environment.   Not sure if that holds together as a trigger or continues to fan out and ultimately disappears like sometimes happens as the sun fixes the atmosphere in the morning. 

Anyway, right now some of those NAM solution with BD from two days ago are proven false.  WPC's analysis doesn't look anything like that... not that they do a very good job charting BD fronts, but given to the regional obs layout with wind and temperatures, the fronts not moving and is situated central NE with no observable evidence of its kinking/collapsing along the Maine coast - so far.  Watch that... soon as PSM goes NE at 16kts and crashes to 52 ...we're doomed.  Otherwise, if we do erupt, rain cooling will probably "team up" and the whole thing repositions south.  Guidance et al not likely picking up on those kind of meso nuances.  

If things reposition south ...elevated rise over a make-shift boundary makes elevated instability more "enlightening"

[dendrite]

9 minutes ago, rimetree said:

Temps going the wrong direction now. 51.6 and falling

Stratus is backing in there from Maine too.

It’s been sun and clouds here and it’s finally nearing 60°. But it just has a feel with the E breeze that it isn’t getting much higher than mid 60s.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'd like to assess where the main boundary is toward evening. 

We may also distill the present status quo with new convection during the daylight today ?   seems humid and warming fast, with a residual plumb/outflow propagating through NYS poised to move into this warming environment.   Not sure if that holds together as a trigger or continues to fan out and ultimately disappears like sometimes happens as the sun fixes the atmosphere in the morning. 

Anyway, right now some of those NAM solution with BD from two days ago are proven false.  WPC's analysis doesn't look anything like that... not that they do a very good job charting BD fronts, but given to the regional obs layout with wind and temperatures, the fronts not moving and is situated central NE with no observable evidence of it's kinking/collapsing along the Maine coast - so far.   If we do erupt, rain cooling and will probably "team up" and the whole thing reposition south.  Guidance et al not likely picking up on those kind of meso nuances.  

If things reposition south ...elevated rise over a make-shift boundary makes elevated instability more "enlightening"

Looks like the front is in coastal Essex County.

[Typhoon Tip]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like the front is in coastal Essex County.

If that's the case we're probably doomed.   Make it to noon,  ... 1pm tops here in Ayer.   Could be one of those days where it's 74 and dewy with sun, and then 2 hours later, jacket and slate misty sky weather.

It's hard to say.      Well, sore anus April climate tells us it's likely, but sometimes tho rarely ...fronts will dangle there. 

[dendrite]

12z 3k is definitely warmer further east than previous runs. We pray.

[Typhoon Tip]

Oh yeah...that's coming ...

It looks like it in this vantage

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

If that's the case we're probably doomed.   Make it to noon,  ... 1pm tops here in Ayer.   Could be one of those days where it's 74 and dewy with sun, and then 2 hours later, jacket and slate misty sky weather.

It's hard to say.      Well, sore anus April climate tells us it's likely, but sometimes tho rarely ...fronts will dangle there. 

You’ll be ok being inland. This is almost a Seabreeze type deal vs violent back door 

[Typhoon Tip]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

You’ll be ok being inland. This is almost a Seabreeze type deal vs violent back door 

really?   heh.

that sat image I posted looks pretty ominous... 

okay, we'll bide time

[Typhoon Tip]

70 fwi temporarily w

[weatherwiz]

Glad we don't have to worry about that

[powderfreak]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Stratus is backing in there from Maine too.

It’s been sun and clouds here and it’s finally nearing 60°. But it just has a feel with the E breeze that it isn’t getting much higher than mid 60s.

We are really wedged in down low.  Torch at the summits but feels CAD down low and 10F cooler.

[tamarack]

Only 0.16" from this event, and the 0.03" overnight makes it 11 days with rain this month, with a grand total of 1.39".  April average is a bit over 4" so the deficit continues to grow.  Farmers were able to disk the fields along Route 2 last week, by far the earliest I've seen that.  Low water table.

[Typhoon Tip]

Oh ...I see... that thrust thru the lower GOM waters nearing Essex appears to be around the backside of a weak meso-beta scale low scooting E along the stationary front.   WPC at least analyzes that low below-left.

Were they also analyze a standard boundary as a cfront along the VT/NH border as is illustrated.  As usual, they don't acknowledge really the BD mechanics going on below-right.   If the low moves east more that might terminate the momentum with that plume/BD aspect there but ... not sure how that all entangles with the main boundary. Plus the convective sewage coming out of NY is there, too

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

70 fwi temporarily w

Well I mean in a relative sense. Better there vs Ipswich lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

Yeah there ain’t no door coming west . This is deep heat until Friday . Even Ayer

[Typhoon Tip]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Well I mean in a relative sense. Better there vs Ipswich lol.

OH f yeah.   I lived in Rockport ( cold north Atlantic hiny cockport ) for year back in the day.   You pretty much just assume there is no other reality but the stench of kelp and the distant wine of gull fly-bys, when there isn't the ghostly howl of hypothermic wind gust through telegraph lines.  

There's a couple of coffee breaks where something vaguely similar to continental summer merriment shows up from late June to early August ...along with droves of tourism... otherwise, that's a different climate driven salt culture out there, period.

Ipswitch?  mm... perhaps a hybrid of that but enough genetics to still look just as ugly. 

I guess tho - in fairness - once your stuck out there and accept it ?  It kinda does have a charm.   Then aspects like ocean fury and tidal challenges/Nor'easters can be fun.

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Mini splits are a great invention-alot less ugly than window units hanging out of the house.

My wife wants us to get those.  I've been hesitating...  

[Torch Tiger]

Had mini-splits installed in my last house, was $10k for two units and that was 2009.  They were OK

[CoastalWx]

Yeah, I can see the door coming south on TDWR now.
76 currently.

[Torch Tiger]

ugh can see the nasty stratus bank out of my window. borrowed time

[powderfreak]

33 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

My wife wants us to get those.  I've been hesitating...  

Amazing for A/C… more lackluster for heat but enough to take chill out in late spring and early fall before you want real heat.

The A/C has been amazing from our minisplits.  Dead quiet, cold rapidly, energy efficient with low electric bills.

Given how recent summers go with dews, it was worth the $10K for a couple heads here.  We just close off a couple rooms and let those bake lol.