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Napril 2026 Discussion/Obs


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, ma blizzard said:

I'd imagine an April 1976 redux today would have the favored areas approaching 100

lets do it 

Perhaps lol.  well.. .not lol but yeah. 

anyway, I was being a little tongue in cheek just based upon that GFS run showing an anomalous deep troposphere ridge over the eastern mid latitude continent, in a pretty ideal spatial layout.  It's way out there in time though... so not much predictive skill.    

I will say though, the operational model runs are all vastly colder than the indexes suggest they really should be.   But when they are all doing it, it makes it harder to argue against just the same. So not sure what to do in the interim.  We may have to deal with IP bombs going off under 570 dm heights, I guess. 

For f-sake can these models admit to seasonal change already?   

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