March 2026

[MJO812]

11 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

 

0z lost it

 

Fantasy 

[NEG NAO]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

0z lost it

 

Fantasy 

several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ?

Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary

Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary

[MJO812]

3 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ?

Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary

Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary

The Anafront was a fantasy. The cold also since the Euro is way warmer than the gfs going forward.

[snowman19]

3 hours ago, NEG NAO said:

several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ?

Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary

Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary

  

[bluewave]

22 hours ago, snowman19 said:

It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too

Yeah, back to our regularly scheduled programming following a rare 4 month hiatus. 
 

 

 

 

[jm1220]

6 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Im not sure. There are photos just like that. 

They got absolutely blasted and the official ob from 2 days ago had 51” on the ground. I believe it. 

[bluewave]

19 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

They got absolutely blasted and the official ob from 2 days ago had 51” on the ground. I believe it. 

The lake effect zones usually do pretty well unless there is a strong El Niño.
 

 

[jm1220]

5 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The lake effect zones usually do pretty well unless there is a strong El Niño.
 

 

Not a typical La Niña snow distribution. You’d at least expect the NW and N Rockies to do very well and better in the upper Midwest. NNE still has a ways to go but they usually do very well also in a Nina. 

[bluewave]

3 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Not a typical La Niña snow distribution. You’d at least expect the NW and N Rockies to do very well a better in the upper Midwest. NNE still has a ways to go but they usually do very well also in a Nina. 

Yeah, the record ridge covering the West into Central states completely overpowered the pattern with warm and dry for much of the country. So we have moved past the usual old school La Niña correlations. This is now the age of the super 500 mb ridge that is going to cancel your winter in the locations where it gets stuck in place.