MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: Anything past 5 days on an OP model should be in banter. I think the models shouldn't go past 5 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 minutes ago, gravitylover said: Anyone still hoping for cold can contribute to my home heating oil fund At heart I'm a wacky winter weather freak but my wallet has been abused lately and it needs a break. Outside of a couple cold days it's over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 14 minutes ago, Brian5671 said: TORCH!!!!!!! Yep Sunday could be a sneaky warm day away from the south shore. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 well this didn't age well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 minute ago, The 4 Seasons said: well this didn't age well Long range predictions are fickle. Take them with a grain of salt. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Long range predictions are fickle. Take them with a grain of salt. it's just they release these to the public whom take this very literally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: it's just they release these to the public whom take this very literally. EPIC bust for sure for the northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 I was one who thought this would be another lame to maybe average at best winter. We really lucked out with the Nov SSW and somewhat slowed Pacific Jet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 19 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: it's just they release these to the public whom take this very literally. There were many on here who also predicted close to those amounts for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 13 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I was one who thought this would be another lame to maybe average at best winter. We really lucked out with the Nov SSW and somewhat slowed Pacific Jet. Yep that changed everything along with a persistent-WPO and -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 Marquette 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, MJO812 said: Marquette it said it only had 36 inches of snow cover, that looks like 60 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 8 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Yep back to normal. March is going to be a solidly AN month for temps. It would be the first solidly AN month for temps since September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 3 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Outside of a couple cold days it's over Remember, I'm ~45 miles in and at 700 feet so nights are cold. I think I undershot and therefore underbudgeted for the cold 3 months and with the pop in oil (and diesel) prices it's a bad time to be stuck buying enough for 6 cold weeks when I probably only need 30-50 more gallons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 9 hours ago, SACRUS said: March 1958 The finishing touches of a wall-to-wall cold and snowy winter. For those who love cold and snow, 1957-58 is one of the very few universal A+ seasons. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 5 hours ago, Brian5671 said: TORCH!!!!!!! F this. April 22nd I'm okay with it, not March 22. Basically 20-25 degrees above normal. To much too soon, like last weeks travesty. 2 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 It will begin to turn milder tomorrow. The temperature will return to the middle 40s tomorrow afternoon. Readings will then return mainly to the 50s for Friday through the weekend. The mercury could reach 60° on Saturday. The major weather story this week is the super March heatwave that is under way in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are being set in numerous cities. Today, Flagstaff, Palm Springs, and Phoenix are among the cities setting March monthly records. Additional records are likely in coming days. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring. The SOI was +3.73 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.539 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 74% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.7° (1.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 29 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said: F this. April 22nd I'm okay with it, not March 22. Basically 20-25 degrees above normal. To much too soon, like last weeks travesty. And add 5-10 degrees to those temps this time of year with no leaves on the trees and where winds aren’t onshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmillzz Posted March 18 Share Posted March 18 1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said: It would be the first solidly AN month for temps since September. And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 1 hour ago, cmillzz said: And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48. The warmth finally came east after geting stuck in the west all winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
liwxfan Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 What an amazing sky tonight! Cold. Calm. Clear. And new moon. Looks like a planetarium out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Claus Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 7 hours ago, Brian5671 said: TORCH!!!!!!! this looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 4 hours ago, gravitylover said: Remember, I'm ~45 miles in and at 700 feet so nights are cold. I think I undershot and therefore underbudgeted for the cold 3 months and with the pop in oil (and diesel) prices it's a bad time to be stuck buying enough for 6 cold weeks when I probably only need 30-50 more gallons. Exactly yeah, next week is the last full week of March, and I'm not seeing anything crazy warm. Monday through Friday most highs are 40's to low 50's with 20's and 30's at night. I'm not saying we don't end up AN this month but it's not like we wall to wall torched. The crazy departures last week will make the month look worse on paper of course. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 38 for the high today, 23 now. Probably coldest until December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 9 hours ago, MJO812 said: Marquette Clearly fake bro come on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 10 minutes ago, psv88 said: Clearly fake bro come on Im not sure. There are photos just like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 11 hours ago, NEG NAO said: 0z lost it Fantasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 3 hours ago, NEG NAO said: several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ? Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary The Anafront was a fantasy. The cold also since the Euro is way warmer than the gfs going forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted March 19 Author Share Posted March 19 3 hours ago, NEG NAO said: several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ? Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted March 19 Share Posted March 19 22 hours ago, snowman19 said: It would appear that the trend we saw since November of the models getting colder as we get closer in time has finally ended this month. Sunday continues to warm on the models. Last week overperformed too Yeah, back to our regularly scheduled programming following a rare 4 month hiatus. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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