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March 2026


snowman19
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13 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

I was one who thought this would be another lame to maybe average at best winter. We really lucked out with the Nov SSW and somewhat slowed Pacific Jet. 

Yep that changed everything along with a persistent-WPO and -NAO.

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3 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Outside of a couple cold days it's over

Remember, I'm ~45 miles in and at 700 feet so nights are cold. I think I undershot and therefore underbudgeted for the cold 3 months and with the pop in oil (and diesel) prices it's a bad time to be stuck buying enough for 6 cold weeks when I probably only need 30-50 more gallons.

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It will begin to turn milder tomorrow. The temperatue will return to the middle 40s tomorrow afternoon. Readings will then return mainly to the 50s for Friday through the weekend. The mercury could reach 60° on Saturday.

The major weather story this week is the super March heatwave that is under way in much of the western U.S. March monthly records are being set in numerous cities. Today, Flagstaff, Palm Springs, and Phoenix are among the cities setting March monthly records. Additional records are likely in coming days. 

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +1.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was 0.0°C for the week centered around March 11. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.98°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.15°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will continue through at least mid-spring.

The SOI was +3.73 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.539 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 74% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal March (1991-2020 normal). March will likely finish with a mean temperature near 44.7° (1.9° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.2° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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29 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

F this. April 22nd I'm okay with it, not March 22. Basically 20-25 degrees above normal. To much too soon, like last weeks travesty. 

And add 5-10 degrees to those temps this time of year with no leaves on the trees and where winds aren’t onshore. 

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1 hour ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

It would be the first solidly AN month for temps since September.

And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48.

MonthTDeptUS.png

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1 hour ago, cmillzz said:

And it's already been solidly above average over halfway through the month. Quite a different pattern from what we saw this winter with parts of the Northeast actually experiencing the greatest temp departures from normal in the lower 48.

MonthTDeptUS.png

The warmth finally came east after geting stuck in the west all winter.

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4 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Remember, I'm ~45 miles in and at 700 feet so nights are cold. I think I undershot and therefore underbudgeted for the cold 3 months and with the pop in oil (and diesel) prices it's a bad time to be stuck buying enough for 6 cold weeks when I probably only need 30-50 more gallons.

Exactly yeah, next week is the last full week of March, and I'm not seeing anything crazy warm.  Monday through Friday most highs are 40's to low 50's with 20's and 30's at night.

I'm not saying we don't end up AN this month but it's not like we wall to wall torched.  The crazy departures last week will make the month look worse on paper of course.

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