Steckstacks Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 To me this seems like a storm that the mountains will dry out. No moisture coming from gulf and progressive flow usually kills us. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 More than the last? It went from a dusting to a dusting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, Ji said: It went from a dusting to a dusting Perfect lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 9 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: I mean it was wrong lol. Just cause a model shows a low over the Midwest an it ends up in the Ohio valley doesn’t mean it was right. Ya all the models show outputs that maybe somewhat close but when we are looking at our area what happens matters. Right but the point is it was LESS WRONG then all the other models day 5-8 and so on a chart of verification scores it would look good. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, Ji said: Nothing worse than a met hyping model run that falls on its face Hell yeah I’m considered a met 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 hours ago, 87storms said: This was the gfs yesterday for today’s system: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gfs®ion=neus&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026022512&fh=30 Talk to me when the euro shows me a snowstorm. The current radar is making me think I should delete this post. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 the Euro AI insistence that this will be beefier should not be ignored. The euro is struggling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Did euro show significant ice for moco and north, or largely a nothing burger?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 It’s gonna snow. Get on the bus weenies 1 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 45 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Hell yeah I’m considered a met you might have member next to your tag but so do PSU and Bobby Chill. that's kinda how I see you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Have we ever had a widespread 6" from a storm with no low pressure whatsoever? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Eps look worse than 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: It’s gonna snow. Get on the bus weenies 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 59 minutes ago, 87storms said: The current radar is making me think I should delete this post. Ya it’s raining when most models said no precip. Def not snow though lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 17 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s raining when most models said no precip. Def not snow though lol That is true. Gfs tried lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 33 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Ya it’s raining when most models said no precip. Def not snow though lol Damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: It’s gonna snow. Get on the bus weenies I’ve got one if you need it after the next Euro run. Just picked up a couple guys from the southeast forum. Plenty of room. 3 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 26 Author Share Posted February 26 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn the euro has become unusable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 minutes ago, Ji said: the euro has become unusable Yeah, that was a notable fumble 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 11 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Damn The icing on the cake is that the GFS hasn’t shown precip in that area for the past 3 runs. It decided to give up right as it was at the finish line 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 hours ago, stormtracker said: Just skip this run. It's not horrific like Ji said, but it's pretty paltry Initial wave is weak sauce with the cold high in place(we get a coating verbatim), then stronger shortwave energy follows close behind as the HP is moving off the coast. We get some light mixed crap on the southern edge while it snows in NE. Some tweaks in timing aloft could yield a better outcome. We just cant know.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, Ji said: the euro has become unusable Do you really believe that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Well written snippet from the Mt Holly AFD describing the key features that models likely have not resolved yet- A much colder air mass is forecast to be in place early next week as arctic high pressure from Canada builds nearby. There will be one or more ripples of energy in the northern stream that will initiate some precipitation. The timing and strength of these features within a trough aloft will determine the details. Some guidance is weaker with the trough and associated energy and therefore less precipitation, while focusing on a secondary short wave that delivers more of the precipitation on Tuesday compared to Monday. There still remains the potential for a period of wintry precipitation Monday and/or Tuesday, however uncertainty remains as the model guidance continues to differ on the handling of the upper- level features. The pattern does look conducive though for an overrunning snow or wintry mix setup with arctic high pressure to the north and energy arriving from the west. It is a matter of how much the moisture attacks the cold air across our region, with also how far south the arctic high pushes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Damn Yep that is were the GFS had the mex qpf up until yesterday... the problem is it is 15 warmer than the GFS thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 We have been playing this stuff for years. How about, MARCH is HERE Below 1000 ft., it is mostly over. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, stormy said: We have been playing this stuff for years. How about, MARCH is HERE Below 1000 ft., it is mostly over. And we’re worried about suppression in March, but whatever you say 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 minutes ago, stormy said: We have been playing this stuff for years. How about, MARCH is HERE Below 1000 ft., it is mostly over. St Patty's day 2014, and another late March snowstorm in 2018 are recent examples of how it isnt mostly over. Lowlands got significant snow in both those events. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Gfs south again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Gfs south again Put us out of our misery 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 14 minutes ago, CAPE said: St Patty's day 2014, and another late March snowstorm in 2018 are recent examples of how it isnt mostly over. Lowlands got significant snow in both those events. Paging Dr PSU and his warming theory. 1 2 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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