Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale

[stormtracker]

42 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Looks fine 

Yeah, that's why you gotta stay close when I do pbp.  Looking at SV maps is like looking at a child's coloring book

[stormtracker]

16 minutes ago, bncho said:

I'd give them their gold back for this

[CAPE]

0z GEFS a bit drier but fine. 

[jayyy]

CMC / GFS seeing something the euro isn’t? Ooooor

How far out is this thing?

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

CMC / GFS seeing something the euro isn’t? Ooooor

How far out is this thing?

Euro has it- 12z looked pretty damn good. 18z weaker and a bit too far south.

[NorthArlington101]

EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own

[CAPE]

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own

Yeah I'm out. Gotta be up in 5 hours.

[stormtracker]

Euro better than 18z.  BUT thats not saying much.  Still not like the CMC or GFS

[mitchnick]

[Ji]

Gfs no storm

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

Gfs no storm

There is a storm, just not for us on this run. Congrats Bob Chill

[Weather Will]

WB 0Z EPS has another shortwave behind Monday's storm which is kicking our threat out to sea.  Not enough spacing.  Too bad but right now threat for anything is greatly diminished in the DMV. No model is showing a storm here.

[snowfan]

Just sliding away…

 

[snowfan]

WPC got this out before the 6Z GFS OP. LOL

 

[North Balti Zen]

50 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Just sliding away…

 

Consistent with the seasonal trend @mitchnick 

[mitchnick]

EuroAI  came north. Lol

[mitchnick]

7 minutes ago, North Balti Zen said:

Consistent with the seasonal trend @mitchnick 

See my post re EuroAI.  Lol

These models have done nothing but ruin this winter.

[mitchnick]

Euro doesn't look like it will be south. Dry? Can't tell.

[mitchnick]

Euro dry as a bone east of mts.

[TSSN+]

12 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro dry as a bone east of mts.

Every way to fail. Dry/south/north etc 

[DDweatherman]

25 minutes ago, mitchnick said:

Euro dry as a bone east of mts.

Thats because it comes in from the WNW, not our favorite vector…SW is best. That said, I’ll take my chances vs watching one more suppressed POS slide south of us. AI looked pretty good this morning who knows. 

[Terpeast]

On a CWG post on facebook I saw a quote from Wes Junker saying that the atmosphere doesn't really support a storm here, the models are "overcooking" it rn. Upside is only a dusting and maybe a few lucky inches. He's one I respect and knows what he's talking about, so that dampened any remaining enthusiasm for tracking this (not that I had much to begin with).

 

[paulythegun]

So much juice

[Pityflakes]

2 hours ago, TSSN+ said:

Every way to fail. Dry/south/north etc 

It's right where we want it at this lead time!  :/

[stormtracker]

We truly might be out of gas and time.   We’ve had miracles in less lead times tho.  I’m arranging the deck chairs  and playing my violin.  If we go down, might as well go down with glory.   Let’s bring whatever this is home. 

[aldie 22]

So I shouldn't cancel my trip to California next week?

[dailylurker]

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

We truly might be out of gas and time.   We’ve had miracles in less lead times tho.  I’m arranging the deck trains and playing my violin.  If we go down, might as well go down with glory.   Let’s bring whatever this is home. 

Let's get those houses washed, decks restored, paver patios and walkways looking new, shutters and doors painted! I'll give my family discount to anyone on the board. 

[Ji]

4 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We truly might be out of gas and time.   We’ve had miracles in less lead times tho.  I’m arranging the deck trains and playing my violin.  If we go down, might as well go down with glory.   Let’s bring whatever this is home. 

GFS ensemble laughs at 6z GFS

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

5 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

We truly might be out of gas and time.   We’ve had miracles in less lead times tho.  I’m arranging the deck trains and playing my violin.  If we go down, might as well go down with glory.   Let’s bring whatever this is home. 

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

GFS ensemble laughs at 6z GFS

I lost 3" of snow since 0z