March Madness

[SouthCoastMA]

Convective inner eyewall snow squalls? Sign me up

[metagraphica]

11 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

"desperate" is more like it ...but I know what meant.  

It's really funny - all these complex solutions when the simple answer is, stop creating greenhouse gas at a faster rate than the background geological processes of this world can compensate. 

It's really that simple.  

Carbon sequestration is probably the best solution I've ever heard/read about.   However, ...that doesn't do any good if the sequestration only matches the production at the other side.  The sequestering tech would have to somehow gulp in that mass of the Earth's atmosphere, every year.  One Earth Atmosphere/yr process rate.  Otherwise, even won't cut it. Because what 2023 showed us - most likely - is that the Earth's system may not have caught up with the d(fluxes) of the last century's-worth of Industrial farts.  The latter happened too quickly.

I read a study that the increase in C02 since 1900 exceeds any increase spanning 430 million years of geological history and reconstruction/analysis, using everything from deep sediment coring to carbon dating.  That's what it means - most likely - to taut a system... The 2023 temperature burst, strikes me as some of that tension being release. 

Anyway, seeding?  These are like Road Runner/'ACME' solutions.  Unless the compendium of the greater science brain knows every possible quantum consequence of effecting a system, ...not to mention the unpredictable realm beyond the synergistic emergence horizon..., anything that is done at a planetary scale is probably going to result in the greatest Darwin award in history.  

The Great Filter.  Coming soon to a civilization near you.

[metagraphica]

How do they get this so wrong so many times:

 

With all these clouds moving in from the west. "Mostly Sunny", really???

 

[Brian5671]

5 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

How do they get this so wrong so many times:

 

With all these clouds moving in from the west. "Mostly Sunny", really???

 

yep looks socked in rest of the day unless it burns off

[WinterWolf]

9 minutes ago, metagraphica said:

How do they get this so wrong so many times:

 

With all these clouds moving in from the west. "Mostly Sunny", really???

 

It’s just computer generated bullshit. I don’t  even look at that junk anymore…unless I just want a VERY general idea of what might happen. It’s mostly Garbage. 

[Layman]

46 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I read a study that the increase in C02 since 1900 exceeds any increase spanning 430 million years of geological history and reconstruction/analysis, using everything from deep sediment coring to carbon dating.  That's what it means - most likely - to taut a system... The 2023 temperature burst, strikes me as some of that tension being release. 

I marvel at your apparent confidence in research that proclaims to cover periods of time stretching back 100's of millions of years.  It's a bold stance and you do it with conviction.  

[Typhoon Tip]

29 minutes ago, Layman said:

I marvel at your apparent confidence in research that proclaims to cover periods of time stretching back 100's of millions of years.  It's a bold stance and you do it with conviction.  

I never stated my confidence level.

I'm merely stating what the study indicated.   The aspects about taut/tension in the system is pure logic after the fact.

Having said that, it is based on elemental sciences like coring deep sediments, where trapped air extracts can be analyzed for atmospheric chemistry/volatiles ..etc, doing so in strata, knowing factually the layers downward are older as rudimentary fact ... this goes on quite a ways.  It's clear that for some reason, these aspects of the world and research we live in escapes you for whatever reason.

But that all enables a history with high confidence interval - see... you have to know how these things are determined.   That might help the knee jerk tendency to doubt. There was a universe that existed, long before we were ever here.  That does not mean we out of hand doubt what the universe had/or did. 

 

 

[dendrite]

The Vostok cores are pretty accurate. But that’s only back about 380k years.

 

[MJO812]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah, it’s over.

Agree

 

[WinterWolf]

32 minutes ago, Layman said:

I marvel at your apparent confidence in research that proclaims to cover periods of time stretching back 100's of millions of years.  It's a bold stance and you do it with conviction.  

It’s BS!  Period.  

[dryslot]

OES on the move, Special weather statement for up to 4”

[WinterWolf]

16 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Agree

 

Time to root for nice weather bud…doesn’t have to be hot..just nice. 60’s and dry is perfect.  I know it’s boring..but it’s enjoyable nonetheless.  You can root for a cane late summer, early autumn to break up the monotony. But let’s put winter to bed now in SNE. 

[CoastalWx]

2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Seems like it's mostly the operational GFS?

The Euro and CMC ( though the latter only out to 10 days) appear to be seeded by anti CC moles in the modeling division of their foreign sources.

heh  but the operational GFS is trying to lift the ambient polar boundary somewhat N. It's not obvious like you said. "sighs". But it's coherent enough. 

Shit, we're after the Equinox in a coffee break.  Eventually, the Euro/CMC are going to lose to the fact the June is still coming.  In other words, seasonality gives a nod to the operational GFS.  

EPS is what I was referring to.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS is what I was referring to.

Let’s get some Spring like weather…doesn’t have to be 75-80, just 60’s with sun and light winds is beautiful. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

This weekend looks miserable. Typical March 

[WinterWolf]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This weekend looks miserable. Typical March 

Some were saying yesterday it was looking good…WOR is usually nicer than out your way in early spring…so hoping for that. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

Some were saying yesterday it was looking good…WOR is usually nicer than out your way in early spring…so hoping for that. 

Spring isn’t usually bad here. The ocean affect garbage is oversold once you are 10 miles inland.

But it looks cloudy and raw with some rain Saturday. Not sure how that’s good lol

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Spring isn’t usually bad here. The ocean affect garbage is oversold once you are 10 miles inland.

But it looks cloudy and raw with some rain Saturday. Not sure how that’s good lol

Saturday should be dry and ranging from upper 40's to 50's 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Spring isn’t usually bad here. The ocean affect garbage is oversold once you are 10 miles inland.

But it looks cloudy and raw with some rain Saturday. Not sure how that’s good lol

What are you smoking dude 

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Spring isn’t usually bad here. The ocean affect garbage is oversold once you are 10 miles inland.

But it looks cloudy and raw with some rain Saturday. Not sure how that’s good lol

We had guys saying yesterday that the Euro looked good for the weekend..mild. Guess that shit the bed. ? 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

What are you smoking dude 

lol…

[psv88]

1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s just computer generated bullshit. I don’t  even look at that junk anymore…unless I just want a VERY general idea of what might happen. It’s mostly Garbage. 

Why do you think that is?

[Typhoon Tip]

13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

EPS is what I was referring to.

Ooh, I didn't check the EPS ...

Hopefully, they're right

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, psv88 said:

Why do you think that is?

Cuz it changes every few hrs with the next cycle of the GFS. 

[CoastalWx]

I mean maybe it’s not sunny and 80, but Saturday looked ok and Sunday looked at least 60-65 SoP. Sunday has danger of being crappy but that’s how it looks.