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March Madness


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2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Please be snow, please be snow, please be snow, please be snow

posted a chart an hour ago to show this but the synopsis of having that newly arriving polar high through QUE, dammed in, having also arrived over this impressive cryosphere.. the low levels should at least "look" colder than the warmer solutions are giving us. 

It's interesting that the NAM is as warm as it is; you'd think it's resolution in the lower 300 mb would be colder.  I wonder if the NAM being a weaker QPF is limiting systemic cooling or something. 

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2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

posted a chart an hour ago to show this but the synopsis of having that newly arriving polar high through QUE, dammed in, having also arrived over this impressive cryosphere.. the low levels should at least "look" colder than the warmer solutions are giving us. 

It's interesting that the NAM is as warm as it is; you'd think it's resolution in the lower 300 mb would be colder.  I wonder if the NAM being a weaker QPF is limiting systemic cooling or something. 

Yea, saw you post that earlier...probably a dynamics issue.

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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I remember I sarcastically said to Will late last week "of course next week won't trend south like the Blizzard"....but that is exactly what happened....yesterday verified south, too...so it's been consistent.

Yup..it has been for sure. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I do hope for some warm days next week. I could use some sitting back simlin' weather before we go for one last hurrah and get a mass exodus out of New England going. 

We have this thing in my household where we call my 3 year old, Reed, "a big guy"...I always get him to laugh no matter how moody he is.....so everyone was musing about how "Reed is my favorite", and why...so my 6 yr old daughter out of nowhere comes up with "Is it because he's a big guy, and you like big guys"....I could not stop laughing :lol: She said it in the most innocent, straight forward, unassuming manner ever.

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We have this thing in my household where we call my 3 year old, Reed, "a big guy"...I always get him to laugh no matter how moody he is.....so everyone was musing about how "Reed is my favorite", and why...so my 6 yr old daughter out of nowhere comes up with "Is it because he's a big guy, and you like big guys"....I could not stop laughing :lol: She said it in the most innocent, straight forward, unassuming manner ever.

Sounds like Kevin is out of the picture?

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Pretty well summarize what I’ve been saying in that the northern jet which has been comfortably south of our region all winter now has a mean position right over our hood. It’s mid wintet north of it and mid spring south of it. 
 

Yesterday and today a perfect juxtaposition especially with no big storms and associated fronts, before, during or after….

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It was a Saturday, 12:15 pm March 29, 1997 up at UML.  Over the previous hour I had been looking over weather charts from Unisys internet site; the ECMWF and the MRF 12Z runs were updating every couple of frantic mouse click moments. Over my shoulder, up upon the WX Lab monitor, the temperature read 63.3F ... despite what those model presentations were telling me. 

I recalled in the moment how an early week broadcast, Harvey Leonard performed his 20 second synoptic rundown before he gave us the numbers. He spoke in deference to "...A strong disturbance... closing off as it is crossing New York State.." He waved his hand in a rotational gesture and added,  "...Should this vigorous feature manage to pass under Long Island, we'll be watching this for having much more important implications..."  - may not have been his exact words, but after 30 years, that was the gist of it.  I remember in that moment's mind while looking over those charts, '...That's exactly what these models are doing, now.'

It was one of those things you just knew was going to happen?  From the moment I saw that broadcast of his several days before, I knew we were going to end up in that destiny.  Not sure why - why we sometimes do this in life.  It's so weird.  Like ... Grady Little leaving Pedro on the mound in the 2002 ALCS.  The 'Sox were still up 5-3, just in the 6th, but when he stabbed our hearts with that decision, one that would prove so pivotally instrumental in ending their season, we didn't have to wait for the 9th inning of that game to prove it.  We just knew.  

Moments later I walked across the University Ave bridge that spans the Merrimack in some of the most utopia sun drenched spring conditions physically make-able on planet Earth.  It shown intensely through a random smattering of picturesque fair weather cumulus, leaning their shallow turrets south like the tipping masts of dinghy race. That sky and those clouds in no way shape or form inspired what would transpire a mere two days from now.   Lawns were already well green.  And a curious bumble bee bobbed temporarily by me like something out of Disney.

I thought about just how non suspectingly oblivious everything about that reality, and the scene within it, were. 

This dichotomous memory came back to me as I stood in under that sun during lunch ... though there is no storm like that coming, just the idea that it was the way it was, outside, just yesterday, and now it is 51 here with steaming streets under fervent spring sun, and knowing that 4.5" of snow followed by more glaze is due on deck ... it's amazing how we do this revolving door seasonality in spring around here.

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