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March Madness


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21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

I just hope my drive to work isn't like this morning.. Rt 2 was a disaster traffic stopped at one point driving in..

Jeez you leave early. Looks like it's still a 5 mile back up or so. Glad I can WFH today yikes. 

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1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

I think so. Best chance for snow and sleet is rt 2 north but we’ll see.

Dude....when I say I am DONE....I am DONE with these nickle-dime week-day affairs. This system yesterday was the most disruptive to my life all season long.....100 times more so than the Blizzard of 78's red-headed stepchild. Holy shit, what an unmitigated nightmare-

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1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Dude....when I say I am DONE....I am DONE with these nickle-dime week-day affairs. This system yesterday was the most disruptive to my life all season long.....100 times more so than the Blizzard of 78's red-headed stepchild. Holy shit, what an unmitigated nightmare-

Congrats on another one tomorrow night. 

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22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t think it will be for you. 

Honest-to-god-truth....I didn't get much more snow in the blizzard than I got yesterday...difference? The world paused for the former because some crack-whore on crystal meth caught a 40" bonannza in Fall River. I'll be perfectly honest...yesterday, in a vacuum, was more disruptive than the blizzard because it was a blend of just about every abomination that can descend from the sky at the most inopportune time possible-which is categorically worse than 10" of sand during a full-shut-down that blows off the road before the plow is inconvenienced by it. 

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1 hour ago, dendrite said:

AIGFS is almost like a kuchie clown at this point

image.png

I'm wondering a couple of things. 

one, will all this snow really be down to just piles in time.  That's only 6 days away and the specifics of the CMC/GFS/Euro ops offer enough clouds and mean frontal position headaches to perhaps level the melt potential some.  I mean, I've seen it approach 70 over a snow pack, sure. But that's with howling S gales and tons of steam rollin off the fields in firehose melt off that will be bare ground in a coffee break.  I'm not sure it is environmentally possible to put 80 F over a geographic pan dimensional cryosphere and keep it sunny, when heights are really only marginal for mid 80s.   There's kind of a 'absurdity limit'  lol.  

two, if so ... does this approach on te 10th/11th period possibly expose a flaw in these AI versions? ie., not defining or integrating that aspect of the environmental precondition.  For that matter, are we abundantly confidence the standard versions are doing that proficiently enough.  I suspect the answer's no on the AI's, anyway. They still illustrate like 1993 MRF runs with that larger fuzzy granularity.    That doesn't look like discrete systemic awareness really. 

Thing is... even the operational runs are bursting warm sector surge through all across those two days. The CMC with it's own 570+ dm plume now.   Probably just go with whatever model's most conservative with temperatures until the ground snow is much much less. 

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