"Don’t do it" 2026 Blizzard obs, updates and pictures.

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

BDR at SN now. 

Game on…starting to pick up steam here now. Just the start and radar looking very healthy and increasing.

[kdxken]

3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Game on…starting to pick up steam here now. Just the start and radar looking very healthy and increasing.

Do you have your sled?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1.5" (.5" last hour) puking snow between mod/heavy blowing pretty good .. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Few small flakes falling now.

[WxWatcher007]

Lightning showing up more offshore 

[OrangeCTWX]

Smidge over an inch here. Snowing nicely.  No wind yet.

[DavisStraight]

Light snow already up here.

[butterfish55]

First flakes here in TBlizz land. Can we do 24"?

[FRWEATHA]

Snowing lightly here.

[Brian5671]

about an inch-picking up in intensity and wind starting to increase

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Mesoscale Discussion 0115
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0624 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

   Areas affected...New York City into Southern New England

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 230024Z - 230530Z

   SUMMARY...A long-duration moderate/heavy snowfall event will
   increasingly impact NYC into parts of southern New England this
   evening into Monday morning. 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates will
   be likely, particularly after midnight EST.

   DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery from the northern
   Mid-Atlantic/southern New England shows a band of moderate to heavy
   snow moving slowly northward into Long Island. Already, recent
   surface observations reported 1 inch in the last hour at Islip,
   LaGuardia, and JFK. This band should continue to impact parts of
   southern New England this evening. The highest snowfall rates will
   at least initially remain near the coast. With time, the 994 mb low
   analyzed off the Mid-Atlantic coast will deepen, particularly after
   11 pm/midnight EST. This will eventually promote a broader zone of
   stronger isentropic ascent that will promote more widespread
   moderate/heavy snow farther north. Surface winds will also
   concurrently increase with the deepening of the low. Blizzard
   conditions will be possible late this evening into Monday morning.

[WxWatcher007]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Mesoscale Discussion 0115
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0624 PM CST Sun Feb 22 2026

   Areas affected...New York City into Southern New England

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 230024Z - 230530Z

   SUMMARY...A long-duration moderate/heavy snowfall event will
   increasingly impact NYC into parts of southern New England this
   evening into Monday morning. 1-2 inch per hour snowfall rates will
   be likely, particularly after midnight EST.

   DISCUSSION...Recent regional radar imagery from the northern
   Mid-Atlantic/southern New England shows a band of moderate to heavy
   snow moving slowly northward into Long Island. Already, recent
   surface observations reported 1 inch in the last hour at Islip,
   LaGuardia, and JFK. This band should continue to impact parts of
   southern New England this evening. The highest snowfall rates will
   at least initially remain near the coast. With time, the 994 mb low
   analyzed off the Mid-Atlantic coast will deepen, particularly after
   11 pm/midnight EST. This will eventually promote a broader zone of
   stronger isentropic ascent that will promote more widespread
   moderate/heavy snow farther north. Surface winds will also
   concurrently increase with the deepening of the low. Blizzard
   conditions will be possible late this evening into Monday morning.

Beat me to it

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Radar is lighting up over southern CT, this is way ahead of schedule

[Ginx snewx]

Well this escalated in a minute got the cold wind too

[Brian5671]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Radar is lighting up over southern CT, this is way ahead of schedule

weird all the models missed that

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

weird all the models missed that

We had a feeling that it didn't make sense , hopefully this trend continues the whole storm, check out that band over long island thats 3-4" per hour stuff that the models didn't have at 7pm

[Hoth]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Radar is lighting up over southern CT, this is way ahead of schedule

Already picking up some 30 dbz echoes.

[Ginx snewx]

Just now, Brian5671 said:

weird all the models missed that

Everything we said. Nw band undermodeled

[CoastalWx]

Hrrr had this hours ago. Seems on track to me. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Fight?

[CoastalWx]

3k had that band too. Just looked. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Hrrr had this hours ago. Seems on track to me. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Fight?

Beer

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

3k had that band too. Just looked. 

3km had it best, most guidance way underdone.. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

3km had it 

Yeah I mean things seem on track? Maybe ahead an hour. 

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Everything we said. Nw band undermodeled

you're right the NW edge is often better than modeled

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Everything we said. Nw band undermodeled

WTTTE…

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I mean things seem on track? Maybe ahead an hour. 

Seems underdone that's all besides the 3km NAM, check out OKX radar I did not expect this at 7pm.. 

[WxWatcher007]

 

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

3km had it best, most guidance way underdone.. 

No spiking, but my hips are moving. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Quickly became moderate . It is time to fly