Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Off to a bad start...WB 12K NAM at 7am Sunday is a dud; nothing like the GFS at 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Off to a bad start...WB 12K NAM at 7am Sunday is a dud; nothing like the GFS at 18Z.You are off to a bad start. Why are you posting a short range model 84 hours out ? 3 7 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 This-12K NAM pretty much useless at 24 hours- let alone 84 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 24 minutes ago, Weather Will said: Off to a bad start...WB 12K NAM at 7am Sunday is a dud; nothing like the GFS at 18Z. Go to bed 1 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 ICON looks similar to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, Ji said: why are we not talking early March yet. I am seeing 1993,1958,2014 stuff lol I’m starting to crave another Feb 87. That storm had elite, top tier rates that overcame a mild day leading into it. 1-3” was forecasted and we ended up with a foot. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Icon looked a little worse at h5 than 18z. Further east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, bncho said: ICON looks similar to 12z 0Z ICON is east of 18Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 9 minutes ago, Ji said: You are off to a bad start. Why are you posting a short range model 84 hours out ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, 87storms said: I’m starting to crave another Feb 87. That storm had elite, top tier rates that overcame a mild day leading into it. 1-3” was forecasted and we ended up with a foot. remember that forecasting skill has increased by like 4 days since then... Day 1 was about as accurate as day 5 is now 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, Ji said: You are off to a bad start. Why are you posting a short range model 84 hours out ? BS Ji. There should be something on the map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 RDPS is running; first big test of 0Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Rgem looks good to my eyes. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 8 minutes ago, wasnow215 said: This-12K NAM pretty much useless at 24 hours- let alone 84 hours. Yeah and certainly not when the globals don't even have a handle on how the waves interact 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah and certainly not when the globals don't even have a handle on how the waves interact Not a bad post from you. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 C'mon guys, Reel this one home! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 The 12 Km NAM is putrid. Garbage. It should be legacy already. Stop. Next legit run is the GFS. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Not a bad post from you. Slow progress, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 RDPS is running; first big test of 0Z.No it’s not. It’s a garbage model 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 0Z RDPS looked a lot better than the NAM. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Ji said: No it’s not. It’s a garbage model Doesn't the CMC usually follow the RDPS? I do agree with you that until the EURO shows something who cares about the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: 0Z RDPS looked a lot better than the NAM. RDPS vs NAM 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 While we wait for the garbage GFS to run, in all seriousness, would anyone think a big storm is really coming until the EURO is on board? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Poor will. This is like some old school back alley jumping after school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Weather Will said: While we wait for the garbage GFS to run, in all seriousness, would anyone think a big storm is really coming until the EURO is on board? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: While we wait for the garbage GFS to run, in all seriousness, would anyone think a big storm is really coming until the EURO is on board? I think the storm is a lock and the Euro will fold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 21 minutes ago, Nomz said: remember that forecasting skill has increased by like 4 days since then... Day 1 was about as accurate as day 5 is now I wouldn’t go that far lol, but it has improved. I can recall numerous winter storm watches and warnings growing up that ended up being a bust for a variety of reasons (downsloping, temps, etc.). Models didn’t seem to handle the impacts of terrain very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, Weather Will said: While we wait for the garbage GFS to run, in all seriousness, would anyone think a big storm is really coming until the EURO is on board? We are a cursed bunch. This time last year the script was flipped, and the Euro was the snowy solution right before its brutal cave. Maybe psu's simulation idea is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Just now, Interstate said: I think the storm is a lock and the Euro will fold. Hope you're right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Is there anything to the LA rain rule? Forecast is for heavy rain there Th. Usually that means a big east coast storm is coming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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